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We propose a general method to carry out a valid Bayesian analysis of a finite-dimensional `targeted' parameter in the presence of a finite-dimensional nuisance parameter. We apply our methods to causal inference based on estimating…
Network reliability is an important metric to evaluate the connectivity among given vertices in uncertain graphs. Since the network reliability problem is known as #P-complete, existing studies have used approximation techniques. In this…
Modeling uncertainty in deep neural networks, despite recent important advances, is still an open problem. Bayesian neural networks are a powerful solution, where the prior over network weights is a design choice, often a normal…
An algorithm is described that enables efficient deterministic approximate computation of the bootstrap distribution for any linear bootstrap method $T_n^*$, alleviating the need for repeated resampling from observations (resp.…
The usage of psychological networks that conceptualize psychological behavior as a complex interplay of psychological and other components has gained increasing popularity in various fields of psychology. While prior publications have…
Copula modeling has gained much attention in many fields recently with the advantage of separating dependence structure from marginal distributions. In real data, however, serious ties are often present in one or multiple margins, which…
In statistical network analysis, models for binary adjacency matrices satisfying vertex exchangeability are commonly used. However, such models may fail to capture key features of the data-generating process when interactions, rather than…
To address the difficult problem of multi-step ahead prediction of non-parametric autoregressions, we consider a forward bootstrap approach. Employing a local constant estimator, we can analyze a general type of non-parametric time series…
For discrete-valued time series, predictive inference cannot be implemented through the construction of prediction intervals to some predetermined coverage level, as this is the case for real-valued time series. To address this problem, we…
We consider network autoregressive models for count data with a non-random neighborhood structure. The main methodological contribution is the development of conditions that guarantee stability and valid statistical inference for such…
With the growth of interest in network data across fields, the Exponential Random Graph Model (ERGM) has emerged as the leading approach to the statistical analysis of network data. ERGM parameter estimation requires the approximation of an…
Random graph models are widely used to understand network properties and graph algorithms. Key to such analyses are the different parameters of each model, which affect various network features, such as its size, clustering, or degree…
Bayesian latent space models offer a principled approach to network representation, but rely on correct specification of both geometry and link function. Real-world networks often violate these assumptions, exhibiting geometric mismatch and…
While it is common practice in applied network analysis to report various standard network summary statistics, these numbers are rarely accompanied by uncertainty quantification. Yet any error inherent in the measurements underlying the…
This paper focuses on the comparison of networks on the basis of statistical inference. For that purpose, we rely on smooth graphon models as a nonparametric modeling strategy that is able to capture complex structural patterns. The graphon…
The methods of non-homogeneous random graphs calibration are developed for social networks simulation. The graphs are calibrated by the degree distributions of the vertices and the edges. The mathematical foundation of the methods is formed…
Bootstrapping can produce confidence levels for hypotheses about quadratic regression models - such as whether the U-shape is inverted, and the location of optima. The method has several advantages over conventional methods: it provides…
This article introduces a new class of models for multiple networks. The core idea is to parametrize a distribution on labelled graphs in terms of a Fr\'{e}chet mean graph (which depends on a user-specified choice of metric or graph…
Statistical multispecies models of multiarea marine ecosystems use a variety of data sources to estimate parameters using composite or weighted likelihood functions with associated weighting issues and questions on how to obtain variance…
We propose a generative graph model for electrical infrastructure networks that accounts for heterogeneity in both node and edge type. To inform the model design, we analyze the properties of power grid graphs derived from the U.S. Eastern…