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We perform scalable approximate inference in continuous-depth Bayesian neural networks. In this model class, uncertainty about separate weights in each layer gives hidden units that follow a stochastic differential equation. We demonstrate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-01 Winnie Xu , Ricky T. Q. Chen , Xuechen Li , David Duvenaud

We develop an asymptotic limit theory for nonparametric estimation of the noise covariance kernel in linear parabolic stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) with additive colored noise, using space-time infill asymptotics. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-29 Andreas Petersson , Dennis Schroers

Dynamic downscaling typically involves using numerical weather prediction (NWP) solvers to refine coarse data to higher spatial resolutions. Data-driven models such as FourCastNet have emerged as a promising alternative to the traditional…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-05 Philip Dinenis , Vishwas Rao , Mihai Anitescu

Neural operators have recently grown in popularity as Partial Differential Equation (PDE) surrogate models. Learning solution functionals, rather than functions, has proven to be a powerful approach to calculate fast, accurate solutions to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Cooper Lorsung , Amir Barati Farimani

In variational assimilation, the most probable state of a dynamical system under Gaussian assumptions for the prior and likelihood can be found by solving a least-squares minimization problem . In recent years, we have seen the popularity…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Shaerdan Shataer , Amos S. Lawless , Nancy K. Nichols

Deep kernel learning combines the non-parametric flexibility of kernel methods with the inductive biases of deep learning architectures. We propose a novel deep kernel learning model and stochastic variational inference procedure which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-03 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Zhiting Hu , Ruslan Salakhutdinov , Eric P. Xing

Inverse problems with spatiotemporal observations are ubiquitous in scientific studies and engineering applications. In these spatiotemporal inverse problems, observed multivariate time series are used to infer parameters of physical or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-26 Shiwei Lan , Shuyi Li , Mirjeta Pasha

Intrinsic Gaussian fields are used in many areas of statistics as models for spatial or spatio-temporal dependence, or as priors for latent variables. However, there are two major gaps in the literature: first, the number and flexibility of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 David Bolin , Peter Braunsteins , Sebastian Engelke , Raphaël Huser

Sparse sensor networks in weather and ocean modeling observe only a small fraction of the system state, which destabilizes standard nudging-based data assimilation. We introduce Interpolated Discrepancy Data Assimilation (IDDA), which…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-03 Tong Wu , Humberto Godinez , Vitaliy Gyrya , James M. Hyman

We propose a certified reduced basis approach for the strong- and weak-constraint four-dimensional variational (4D-Var) data assimilation problem for a parametrized PDE model. While the standard strong-constraint 4D-Var approach uses the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-08 Mark Kärcher , Sébastien Boyaval , Martin A. Grepl , Karen Veroy

One of the most popular recent areas of machine learning predicates the use of neural networks augmented by information about the underlying process in the form of Partial Differential Equations (PDEs). These physics-informed neural…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-06-17 Luca Menicali , David H. Richter , Stefano Castruccio

In this article we develop algorithms for data assimilation based upon a computational time dependent stable/unstable splitting. Our particular method is based upon shadowing refinement and synchronization techniques and is motivated by…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-31 Bart de Leeuw , Svetlana Dubinkina , Jason Frank , Andrew Steyer , Xuemin Tu , Erik Van Vleck

Stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) describe the evolution of random processes over space and time, but their solutions are often analytically intractable and computationally expensive to estimate. In this paper, we propose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Ísak Pétursson , María Óskarsdóttir

The data-driven discovery of interpretable models approximating the underlying dynamics of a physical system has gained attraction in the past decade. Current approaches employ pre-specified functional forms or basis functions and often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Rahul Golder , M. M. Faruque Hasan

Structured variational autoencoders (SVAEs) combine probabilistic graphical model priors on latent variables, deep neural networks to link latent variables to observed data, and structure-exploiting algorithms for approximate posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-29 Yixiu Zhao , Scott W. Linderman

We consider the primal and dual forms of the optimality conditions for PDE-contrained optimization problems arising in Data-Driven Computational Mechanics when specialized to the reaction-diffusion context. Starting with the continuous…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-24 Ramon Codina , Roberto Federico Ausas , Pedro Balbão Bazon , Cristian Guillermo Gebhardt

Data assimilation (DA) integrates observations with a dynamical model to estimate states of PDE-governed systems. Model-driven methods (e.g., Kalman, particle) presuppose full knowledge of the true dynamics, which is not always satisfied in…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-06 Siyi Chen , Yixuan Jia , Qing Qu , He Sun , Jeffrey A Fessler

Pattern formation is a widely observed phenomenon in diverse fields including materials physics, developmental biology and ecology, among many others. The physics underlying the patterns is specific to the mechanisms, and is encoded by…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-28 Z. Wang , X. Huan , K. Garikipati

We present a deep learning emulator for stochastic and chaotic spatio-temporal systems, explicitly conditioned on the parameter values of the underlying partial differential equations (PDEs). Our approach involves pre-training the model on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-12 Ira J. S. Shokar , Rich R. Kerswell , Peter H. Haynes

We present a lightweighted neural PDE representation to discover the hidden structure and predict the solution of different nonlinear PDEs. Our key idea is to leverage the prior of ``translational similarity'' of numerical PDE differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Ziqian Wu , Xingzhe He , Yijun Li , Cheng Yang , Rui Liu , Shiying Xiong , Bo Zhu