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We study several parameters of a random Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson tree $T_n$ of size $n$ defined in terms of an offspring distribution $\xi$ with mean $1$ and nonzero finite variance $\sigma^2$. Let $f(s)={\bf E}\{s^\xi\}$ be the generating…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Luc Devroye , Marcel K. Goh , Rosie Y. Zhao

We consider one-dimensional discrete-time random walks (RWs) in the presence of finite size traps of length $\ell$ over which the RWs can jump. We study the survival probability of such RWs when the traps are periodically distributed and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-01-05 Gaia Pozzoli , Benjamin De Bruyne

We obtain Gaussian upper and lower bounds on the transition density q_t(x,y) of the continuous time simple random walk on a supercritical percolation cluster C_{\infty} in the Euclidean lattice. The bounds, analogous to Aronsen's bounds for…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Martin T. Barlow

Branching processes pervade many models in statistical physics. We investigate the survival probability of a Galton-Watson branching process after a finite number of generations. We reveal the finite-size scaling law of the survival…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-26 Rosalba Garcia-Millan , Francesc Font-Clos , Alvaro Corral

We consider a branching random walk on a multi($Q$)-type, supercritical Galton-Watson tree which satisfies Kesten-Stigum condition. We assume that the displacements associated with the particles of type $Q$ have regularly varying tails of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Ayan Bhattacharya , Krishanu Maulik , Zbigniew Palmowski , Parthanil Roy

Under minimal condition, we prove the local convergence of a critical multi-type Galton-Watson tree conditioned on having a large total progeny by types towards a multi-type Kesten's tree. We obtain the result by generalizing Neveu's strong…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-28 Romain Abraham , Jean-François Delmas , Hongsong Guo

Let $R_n$ be the range of a critical branching random walk with $n$ particles on $\mathbb Z^d$, which is the set of sites visited by a random walk indexed by a critical Galton--Watson tree conditioned on having exactly $n$ vertices. For…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-27 Tianyi Bai , Yueyun Hu

We compute exact values respectively bounds of "distances" - in the sense of (transforms of) power divergences and relative entropy - between two discrete-time Galton-Watson branching processes with immigration GWI for which the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-21 Niels B. Kammerer , Wolfgang Stummer

We study a genealogical model for continuous-state branching processes with immigration with a (sub)critical branching mechanism. This model allows the immigrants to be on the same line of descent. The corresponding family tree is an…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-02-13 Thomas Duquesne

This article investigates the behavior of the continuous-time simple random walk on $\mathbb{Z}^d$, $d \geq 3$. We derive an asymptotic lower bound on the principal exponential rate of decay for the probability that the average value over a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Alberto Chiarini , Maximilian Nitzschner

Consider a population evolving as a critical continuous-time Galton-Watson (GW) tree. Conditional on the population surviving until a large time $T$, sample $k$ individuals uniformly at random (without replacement) from amongst those alive…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Simon C. Harris , Samuel G. G. Johnston , Juan Carlos Pardo

We study $I(T)$, the number of inversions in a tree $T$ with its vertices labeled uniformly at random, which is a generalization of inversions in permutations. We first show that the cumulants of $I(T)$ have explicit formulas involving the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Xing Shi Cai , Cecilia Holmgren , Svante Janson , Tony Johansson , Fiona Skerman

We consider a branching random walk in the non-boundary case where the additive martingale $W_n$ converges a.s. and in mean to some non-degenerate limit $W_\infty$. We first establish the joint tail distribution of $W_\infty$ and the global…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-23 Xinxin Chen , Loïc de Raphélis , Heng Ma

We study the long-time behavior of the probability density associated with the decoupled continuous-time random walk which is characterized by a superheavy-tailed distribution of waiting times. It is shown that if the random walk is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-05-02 S. I. Denisov , H. Kantz

Ben Arous, Fribergh and Sidoravicius \cite{GAV2014} proved that speed of biased random walk $RW_\lambda$ on a Galton-Watson tree without leaves is strictly decreasing for $\lambda\leq \frac{m_1}{1160},$ where $m_1$ is minimal degree of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-27 Song He , Wang Longmin , Xiang Kainan

We give a description of invariants and attractors of the critical and subcritical Galton-Watson tree measures under the operation of Horton pruning (cutting tree leaves with subsequent series reduction). Under a regularity condition, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Yevgeniy Kovchegov , Ilya Zaliapin

We give an explicit formula for the most likely path to extinction for the Galton-Watson processes with large initial population. We establish this result with the help of the large deviation principle (LDP) which also recovers the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 F. Klebaner , R. Liptser

We study the Lyapunov exponents of models that are close to skew product systems over a C__ uniformly expanding transformation of the circle. For a continuous fibre map $\phi$, analytic, increasing, and convex in the fibre variable, we…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Thomas Morand

The Galton-Watson process is a model for population growth which assumes that individuals reproduce independently according to the same offspring distribution. Inference usually focuses on the offspring average as it allows to classify the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-27 Massimo Cannas , Michele Guindani , Nicola Piras

We classify the possible behaviors of a class of one-dimensional stochastic recurrent growth models. In our main result, we obtain nearly optimal bounds for the tail of hitting times of some compact sets. If the process is an aperiodic…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Etienne Adam