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In this work, we introduce metrics to evaluate the use of simplified time series in the context of interpretability of a TSC -- a Time Series Classifier. Such simplifications are important because time series data, in contrast to text and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Brigt Håvardstun , Felix Marti-Perez , Cèsar Ferri , Jan Arne Telle

Feature attributions are a common paradigm for model explanations due to their simplicity in assigning a single numeric score for each input feature to a model. In the actionable recourse setting, wherein the goal of the explanations is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-17 Emanuele Albini , Jason Long , Danial Dervovic , Daniele Magazzeni

Over the past decade, multivariate time series classification has received great attention. Machine learning (ML) models for multivariate time series classification have made significant strides and achieved impressive success in a wide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Peiyu Li , Omar Bahri , Soukaina Filali Boubrahimi , Shah Muhammad Hamdi

Machine learning models perform well on several healthcare tasks and can help reduce the burden on the healthcare system. However, the lack of explainability is a major roadblock to their adoption in hospitals. \textit{How can the decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Supriya Nagesh , Nina Mishra , Yonatan Naamad , James M. Rehg , Mehul A. Shah , Alexei Wagner

This study focuses on exploring the use of local interpretability methods for explaining time series clustering models. Many of the state-of-the-art clustering models are not directly explainable. To provide explanations for these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-03 Ozan Ozyegen , Nicholas Prayogo , Mucahit Cevik , Ayse Basar

Counterfactual explanations (CFs) provide human-interpretable insights into model's predictions by identifying minimal changes to input features that would alter the model's output. However, existing methods struggle to generate multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Oleksii Furman , Patryk Marszałek , Jan Masłowski , Piotr Gaiński , Maciej Zięba , Marek Śmieja

This article proposes and studies warped-linear models for time series classification. The proposed models are time-warp invariant analogues of linear models. Their construction is in line with time series averaging and extensions of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Brijnesh J. Jain

Recently, a method [7] was proposed to generate contrastive explanations for differentiable models such as deep neural networks, where one has complete access to the model. In this work, we propose a method, Model Agnostic Contrastive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Amit Dhurandhar , Tejaswini Pedapati , Avinash Balakrishnan , Pin-Yu Chen , Karthikeyan Shanmugam , Ruchir Puri

Causal explanations of the predictions of NLP systems are essential to ensure safety and establish trust. Yet, existing methods often fall short of explaining model predictions effectively or efficiently and are often model-specific. In…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Yair Gat , Nitay Calderon , Amir Feder , Alexander Chapanin , Amit Sharma , Roi Reichart

The complexity of state-of-the-art modeling techniques for image classification impedes the ability to explain model predictions in an interpretable way. Existing explanation methods generally create importance rankings in terms of pixels…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-17 Tom Vermeire , David Martens

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have been a powerful tool for node classification tasks in complex networks. However, their decision-making processes remain a black-box to users, making it challenging to understand the reasoning behind their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Chirag Chhablani , Sarthak Jain , Akshay Channesh , Ian A. Kash , Sourav Medya

Due to the increasing use of Machine Learning models in high stakes decision making settings, it has become increasingly important to have tools to understand how models arrive at decisions. Assuming a trained Supervised Classification…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-20 Emilio Carrizosa , Jasone Ramírez-Ayerbe , Dolores Romero Morales

Counterfactual learning has become promising for understanding and modeling causality in complex and dynamic systems. This paper presents a novel method for counterfactual learning in the context of multivariate time series analysis and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Gianlucca Zuin , Adriano Veloso

Existing local model-agnostic explanation techniques are ineffective for machine learning models that consider inputs of variable lengths, as they do not consider temporal information embedded in these models. To address this limitation, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Junhao Liu , Xin Zhang

Counterfactuals have become a popular technique nowadays for interacting with black-box machine learning models and understanding how to change a particular instance to obtain a desired outcome from the model. However, most existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-29 Philip Naumann , Eirini Ntoutsi

Time-series clustering is a fundamental tool for pattern discovery, yet existing explainability methods, primarily based on feature attribution or metadata, fail to identify the transitions that move an instance across cluster boundaries.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Christos Fragkathoulas , Eleni Psaroudaki , Themis Palpanas , Evaggelia Pitoura

This paper introduces a simple framework of counterfactual estimation for causal inference with time-series cross-sectional data, in which we estimate the average treatment effect on the treated by directly imputing counterfactual outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-16 Licheng Liu , Ye Wang , Yiqing Xu

Time-series forecasts are essential for planning and decision-making in many domains. Explainability is key to building user trust and meeting transparency requirements. Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) is a popular explainable AI…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Matthias Hertel , Sebastian Pütz , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer , Benjamin Schäfer

Recent studies have shown that by introducing prior knowledge, multi-scale analysis of complex and non-stationary time series in real environments can achieve good results in the field of long-term forecasting. However, affected by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Bin Wang , Heming Yang , Jinfang Sheng

Time series forecasting has seen considerable improvement during the last years, with transformer models and large language models driving advancements of the state of the art. Modern forecasting models are generally opaque and do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Tim Kreuzer , Jelena Zdravkovic , Panagiotis Papapetrou
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