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We consider the problem of Bayesian inference for bi-variate data observed in time but with observation times which occur non-synchronously. In particular, this occurs in a wide variety of applications in finance, such as high-frequency…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Ajay Jasra , Kengo Kamatani , Amin Wu

We introduce a random partition model for Bayesian nonparametric regression. The model is based on infinitely-many disjoint regions of the range of a latent covariate-dependent Gaussian process. Given a realization of the process, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-04 George Karabatsos , Stephen G. Walker

This work presents an unsupervised deep discriminant analysis for clustering. The method is based on deep neural networks and aims to minimize the intra-cluster discrepancy and maximize the inter-cluster discrepancy in an unsupervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-13 Jinyu Cai , Wenzhong Guo , Jicong Fan

McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (MVSDEs) describe systems whose dynamics depend on both individual states and the population distribution, and they arise widely in neuroscience, finance, and epidemiology. In many…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-21 Ning Ning , Amin Wu

In this paper, we propose a new stochastic optimization algorithm for Bayesian inference based on multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods. In Bayesian statistics, biased estimators of the model evidence have been often used as stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-26 Kei Ishikawa , Takashi Goda

Multilevel models (MLMs) are a central building block of the Bayesian workflow. They enable joint, interpretable modeling of data across hierarchical levels and provide a fully probabilistic quantification of uncertainty. Despite their…

This paper introduces a framework for speeding up Bayesian inference conducted in presence of large datasets. We design a Markov chain whose transition kernel uses an (unknown) fraction of (fixed size) of the available data that is randomly…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-01 Florian Maire , Nial Friel , Pierre Alquier

We consider the problem of inferring an unknown number of clusters in replicated multinomial data. Under a model based clustering point of view, this task can be treated by estimating finite mixtures of multinomial distributions with or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-07 Panagiotis Papastamoulis

Understanding both global and layer-specific group structures is useful for uncovering complex patterns in networks with multiple interaction types. In this work, we introduce a new model, the hierarchical multiplex stochastic blockmodel…

Bayesian model-based clustering is a widely applied procedure for discovering groups of related observations in a dataset. These approaches use Bayesian mixture models, estimated with MCMC, which provide posterior samples of the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-24 Ketong Wang , Michael D. Porter

Functional mixed models are widely useful for regression analysis with dependent functional data, including longitudinal functional data with scalar predictors. However, existing algorithms for Bayesian inference with these models only…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-14 Thomas Y. Sun , Daniel R. Kowal

In this article a flexible Bayesian non-parametric model is proposed for non-homogeneous hidden Markov models. The model is developed through the amalgamation of the ideas of hidden Markov models and predictor dependent stick-breaking…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-10 Abhra Sarkar , Anindya Bhadra , Bani K. Mallick

We propose a stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlo (SG-MCMC) algorithm for scalable inference in mixed-membership stochastic blockmodels (MMSB). Our algorithm is based on the stochastic gradient Riemannian Langevin sampler and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-10-23 Wenzhe Li , Sungjin Ahn , Max Welling

Most functional magnetic resonance imaging studies rely on estimates of hierarchically organized functional brain networks whose segregation and integration reflect the cognitive and behavioral changes in humans. However, most existing…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-17 Lingbin Bian , Nizhuan Wang , Leonardo Novelli , Jonathan Keith , Adeel Razi

Calibrating statistical models using Bayesian inference often requires both accurate and timely estimates of parameters of interest. Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo (p-MCMC) and Sequential Monte Carlo Squared (SMC$^2$) are two methods…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-23 Conor Rosato , Alessandro Varsi , Joshua Murphy , Simon Maskell

Bayesian inference allows us to define a posterior distribution over the weights of a generic neural network (NN). Exact posteriors are usually intractable, in which case approximations can be employed. One such approximation - variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Andrew Millard , Joshua Murphy , Peter Green , Simon Maskell

Multiplex networks are increasingly common across diverse domains, motivating the development of clustering methods that uncover patterns at multiple levels. Existing approaches typically focus on clustering either entire networks or nodes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 C. J. Clarke , Michael Fop

Bayesian inference in biological modeling commonly relies on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling of a multidimensional and non-Gaussian posterior distribution that is not analytically tractable. Here, we present the implementation of a…

We present doubly stochastic gradient MCMC, a simple and generic method for (approximate) Bayesian inference of deep generative models (DGMs) in a collapsed continuous parameter space. At each MCMC sampling step, the algorithm randomly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-08 Chao Du , Jun Zhu , Bo Zhang

We introduce a nonparametric model for inferring time-evolving, unobserved probability distributions from discrete-time data consisting of unlabelled partitions. The latent process is a two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet diffusion, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Marco Dalla Pria , Matteo Ruggiero , Dario Spanò
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