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The accurate calculation and uncertainty quantification of the characteristics of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) play a crucial role in ensuring the safety, efficiency, and sustainability of nuclear energy production, waste management, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-17 Arnau Albà , Andreas Adelmann , Lucas Münster , Dimitri Rochman , Romana Boiger

The estimation of unknown values of parameters (or hidden variables, control variables) that characterise a physical system often relies on the comparison of measured data with synthetic data produced by some numerical simulator of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-28 Xi Chen , Mike Hobson

Particle settling in inclined channels is an important phenomenon that occurs during hydraulic fracturing of shale gas production. Generally, in order to accurately simulate the large-scale (field-scale) proppant transport process,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-06-14 Pengfei Tang , Junsheng Zeng , Dongxiao Zhang , Heng Li

Emerging deep-learning (DL)-based techniques have significant potential to revolutionize biomedical imaging. However, one outstanding challenge is the lack of reliability assessment in the DL predictions, whose errors are commonly revealed…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-07 Yujia Xue , Shiyi Cheng , Yunzhe Li , Lei Tian

High-performance scientific simulations, important for comprehension of complex systems, encounter computational challenges especially when exploring extensive parameter spaces. There has been an increasing interest in developing deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Pradeep Bajracharya , Javier Quetzalcóatl Toledo-Marín , Geoffrey Fox , Shantenu Jha , Linwei Wang

Training robots to operate effectively in environments with uncertain states, such as ambiguous object properties or unpredictable interactions, remains a longstanding challenge in robotics. Imitation learning methods typically rely on…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Hyogo Hiruma , Hiroshi Ito , Tetsuya Ogata

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) has been widely used in a variety of fields because of their great potential in representing graph-structured data. However, lacking of rigorous uncertainty estimations limits their application in high-stakes.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Ting Wang , Zhixin Zhou , Rui Luo

Jointly extracting entity pairs and their relations is challenging when working on distantly-supervised data with ambiguous or noisy labels. To mitigate such impact, we propose uncertainty-aware bootstrap learning, which is motivated by the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Yufei Li , Xiao Yu , Yanchi Liu , Haifeng Chen , Cong Liu

The term `surrogate modeling' in computational science and engineering refers to the development of computationally efficient approximations for expensive simulations, such as those arising from numerical solution of partial differential…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-12 Maarten V. de Hoop , Daniel Zhengyu Huang , Elizabeth Qian , Andrew M. Stuart

Neural networks (NNs) are often used as surrogates or emulators of partial differential equations (PDEs) that describe the dynamics of complex systems. A virtually negligible computational cost of such surrogates renders them an attractive…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Dong H. Song , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

Transformer-based language models have set new benchmarks across a wide range of NLP tasks, yet reliably estimating the uncertainty of their predictions remains a significant challenge. Existing uncertainty estimation (UE) techniques often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Elizaveta Kostenok , Daniil Cherniavskii , Alexey Zaytsev

Surrogate models for the rapid inference of nonlinear boundary value problems in mechanics are helpful in a broad range of engineering applications. However, effective surrogate modeling of applications involving the contact of deformable…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-07-21 Vijay K. Dubey , Collin E. Haese , Osman Gültekin , David Dalton , Manuel K. Rausch , Jan N. Fuhg

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-28 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

We propose a deep neural network (DNN) as a fast surrogate model for local stress (and in principle strain) calculation in inhomogeneous non-linear material systems. We show that the DNN predicts the local stresses with about 3.8% mean…

Materials Science · Physics 2021-03-17 Jaber Rezaei Mianroodi , Nima H. Siboni , Dierk Raabe

Accurate modelling and quantification of predictive uncertainty is crucial in deep learning since it allows a model to make safer decisions when the data is ambiguous and facilitates the users' understanding of the model's confidence in its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Soumyasundar Pal , Liheng Ma , Amine Natik , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

Bayesian inference provides a principled framework for probabilistic reasoning. If inference is performed in two steps, uncertainty propagation plays a crucial role in accounting for all sources of uncertainty and variability. This becomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Svenja Jedhoff , Hadi Kutabi , Anne Meyer , Paul-Christian Bürkner

There is renewed interest in developing small modular reactors and micro-reactors. Innovation is necessary in both construction and operation methods of these reactors to be financially attractive. For operation, an area of interest is the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-07-14 Akshay J. Dave , Jarod Wilson , Kaichao Sun

This article presents a graph neural network (GNN) based surrogate modeling approach for fluid-acoustic shape optimization. The GNN model transforms mesh-based simulations into a computational graph, enabling global prediction of pressure…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-12-24 Farnoosh Hadizadeh , Wrik Mallik , Rajeev K. Jaiman

Surrogate models provide a quick-to-evaluate approximation to complex computational models and are essential for multi-query problems like design optimisation. The inputs of current deterministic computational models are usually…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-15 Thomas A. Archbold , Ieva Kazlauskaite , Fehmi Cirak

Quantification of uncertainty in deep-neural-networks (DNN) based image registration algorithms plays a critical role in the deployment of image registration algorithms for clinical applications such as surgical planning, intraoperative…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-10 Samah Khawaled , Moti Freiman