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Autonomous driving in complex traffic requires reasoning under uncertainty. Common approaches rely on prediction-based planning or risk-aware control, but these are typically treated in isolation, limiting their ability to capture the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Devodita Chakravarty , John Dolan , Yiwei Lyu

We propose a model predictive control approach for autonomous vehicles that exploits learned Gaussian processes for predicting human driving behavior. The proposed approach employs the uncertainty about the GP's prediction to achieve…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-09 Johanna Bethge , Maik Pfefferkorn , Alexander Rose , Jan Peters , Rolf Findeisen

Trajectory planning for autonomous driving is challenging because the unknown future motion of traffic participants must be accounted for, yielding large uncertainty. Stochastic Model Predictive Control (SMPC)-based planners provide…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-31 Tommaso Benciolini , Michael Fink , Nehir Güzelkaya , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

Motion planning for autonomous driving must account for multi-modal uncertainty in both the intentions and trajectories of surrounding vehicles. Handling uncertainty in a worst-case manner guarantees robustness but often leads to excessive…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Zekun Xing , Ramkrishna Chaudhari , Marion Leibold , Dirk Wollherr , Martin Buss

In autonomous driving, accurate motion prediction is crucial for safe and efficient motion planning. To ensure safety, planners require reliable uncertainty estimates of the predicted behavior of surrounding agents, yet this aspect has…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Aron Distelzweig , Andreas Look , Eitan Kosman , Faris Janjoš , Jörg Wagner , Abhinav Valada

Accurately predicting the trajectory of surrounding vehicles is a critical challenge for autonomous vehicles. In complex traffic scenarios, there are two significant issues with the current autonomous driving system: the cognitive…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-25 Wen Wei , Jiankun Wang

The estimation of the amount of uncertainty featured by predictive machine learning models has acquired a great momentum in recent years. Uncertainty estimation provides the user with augmented information about the model's confidence in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Ibai Laña , Ignacio , Olabarrieta , Javier Del Ser

This paper describes a novel method for allowing an autonomous ground vehicle to predict the intent of other agents in an urban environment. This method, termed the cognitive driving framework, models both the intent and the potentially…

Robotics · Computer Science 2015-04-02 Alan J. Hamlet , Carl D. Crane

Automated vehicles require efficient and safe planning to maneuver in uncertain environments. Largely this uncertainty is caused by other traffic participants, e.g., surrounding vehicles. Future motion of surrounding vehicles is often…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-09 Tim Brüdigam , Michael Olbrich , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

This paper develops a correct-by-design controller for an autonomous vehicle interacting with opponent vehicles with unknown intentions. We define an intention-aware control problem incorporating epistemic uncertainties of the opponent…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-20 Zengjie Zhang , Zhiyong Sun , Sofie Haesaert

The development of automated vehicles has the potential to revolutionize transportation, but they are currently unable to ensure a safe and time-efficient driving style. Reliable models predicting human behavior are essential for overcoming…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Julian F. Schumann , Aravinda Ramakrishnan Srinivasan , Jens Kober , Gustav Markkula , Arkady Zgonnikov

An open problem in autonomous driving research is modeling human driving behavior, which is needed for the planning component of the autonomy stack, safety validation through traffic simulation, and causal inference for generating…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-15 Raunak P. Bhattacharyya , Kyle Brown , Juanran Wang , Katherine Driggs-Campbell , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Predicting the motion of a driver's vehicle is crucial for advanced driving systems, enabling detection of potential risks towards shared control between the driver and automation systems. In this paper, we propose a variational neural…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Xin Huang , Stephen McGill , Brian C. Williams , Luke Fletcher , Guy Rosman

Ensuring safety for autonomous robots operating in dynamic environments can be challenging due to factors such as unmodeled dynamics, noisy sensor measurements, and partial observability. To account for these limitations, it is common to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-08 Shaohang Han , Matti Vahs , Jana Tumova

Driver observation models are rarely deployed under perfect conditions. In practice, illumination, camera placement and type differ from the ones present during training and unforeseen behaviours may occur at any time. While observing the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Alina Roitberg , Kunyu Peng , David Schneider , Kailun Yang , Marios Koulakis , Manuel Martinez , Rainer Stiefelhagen

For an autonomous vehicle to operate reliably within real-world traffic scenarios, it is imperative to assess the repercussions of its prospective actions by anticipating the uncertain intentions exhibited by other participants in the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Khaled A. Mustafa , Daniel Jarne Ornia , Jens Kober , Javier Alonso-Mora

Safety assurance is critical in the planning and control of robotic systems. For robots operating in the real world, the safety-critical design often needs to explicitly address uncertainties and the pre-computed guarantees often rely on…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Hao Zhou , Yanze Zhang , Wenhao Luo

Stochastic Model Predictive Control has proved to be an efficient method to plan trajectories in uncertain environments, e.g., for autonomous vehicles. Chance constraints ensure that the probability of collision is bounded by a predefined…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-17 Tim Brüdigam , Fulvio di Luzio , Lucia Pallottino , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

Trajectory planning in urban automated driving is challenging because of the high uncertainty resulting from the unknown future motion of other traffic participants. Robust approaches guarantee safety, but tend to result in overly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-30 Tommaso Benciolini , Tim Brüdigam , Marion Leibold

In many human-in-the-loop robotic applications such as robot-assisted surgery and remote teleoperation, predicting the intended motion of the human operator may be useful for successful implementation of shared control, guidance virtual…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-03-28 Arun Kumar Singh , Sigal Berman , Ilana Nisky
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