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We present a new statistical method to optimally link local weather extremes to large-scale atmospheric circulation structures. The method is illustrated using July-August daily mean temperature at 2m height (T2m) time-series over the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-04 Debabrata Panja , Frank M. Selten

In this study we consider the problem of detecting and quantifying changes in the distribution of the annual maximum daily maximum temperature (TXx) in a large gridded data set of European daily temperature during the years 1950-2018.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-03 Graeme Auld , Gabriele Hegerl , Ioannis Papastathopoulos

In Central Europe, the occurrence of different weather regimes (WRs) plays a major role in spatiotemporal temperature and precipitation patterns. In the context of increasingly extreme summers, this study focuses on European summer WRs…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-26 Sibille Wehrmann , Carolyne Pickler , Marlene Schramm , Thomas Mölg

Because of the impact of extreme heat waves and heat domes on society and biodiversity, their study is a key challenge. We specifically study long-lasting extreme heat waves, which are among the most important for climate impacts. Physics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-14 Valérian Jacques-Dumas , Francesco Ragone , Pierre Borgnat , Patrice Abry , Freddy Bouchet

This study investigates the synoptic circulation patterns associated with temperature extremes in southeastern (SE) Europe. Using ERA-Interim reanalysis data we report on the typical patterns that characterize the middle and upper…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-04-09 Georgios Fragkoulidis , Volkmar Wirth

This study examines the evolution of extreme Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) events and their impacts on South America during the austral summer. Furthermore, the study explores how the different ENSO phases modulate extreme MJO events, and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-29 Mónica Minjares , Álvaro Corral , Marcelo Barreiro

Several large scale circulation patterns have been identified in relation to extreme Northern Hemisphere summer heatwaves. Three main ones are a double jet over Eurasia, a positive phase of the summer northern annular mode, and a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-10 Valeria Mascolo , Francesco Ragone , Nili Harnik , Freddy Bouchet

Using observations for two UK coastal sites <3 km from the sea, one on the West coast near the nuclear new build (NNB) site Hinkley Point C (HPC) and the other on the East coast, near the proposed NNB site Bradwell B (BRB), changes in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-03-24 Alexandra Edey , Ralph Burton , Alan Gadian

Previous observations have not been able to exclude the possibility that high temperature active region loops are actually composed of many small scale threads that are in various stages of heating and cooling and only appear to be in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-20 Harry P. Warren , Amy R. Winebarger , David H. Brooks

The nocturnal mesopause region of the Earth's atmosphere radiates chemiluminescent emission from various roto-vibrational bands of hydroxyl (OH), which is therefore a good tracer of the chemistry and dynamics at the emission altitudes.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-04 Stefan Noll , Carsten Schmidt , Wolfgang Kausch , Michael Bittner , Stefan Kimeswenger

We present the analysis of temperature variations in Portugal for 140 years (from 1865 to 2005). The two stations with the longest time series of temperature measurements (Lisbon and Coimbra) have been used to study the dependence of the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-09-07 A. L. Morozova , P. Thejll , M. A. Pais

Previous studies revealed that electromagnetic cyclotron waves (ECWs) near the proton cyclotron frequency exist widely in the solar wind, and the majority of ECWs are left-handed (LH) polarized waves. Using the magnetic field data from the…

Space Physics · Physics 2017-09-27 G. Q. Zhao , H. Q. Feng , D. J. Wu , Y. H. Chu , J. Huang

Humid heat stress and heatwaves pose significant risks for living organisms, from humans and wildlife to insects. These threats have wide-ranging health, ecological, and socio-economic impacts that are expected to worsen with climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-06 Claire Rocuet , Takeshi Izumo , Bastien Pagli , Neil J Holbrook , Sophie Cravatte , Marania Hopuare , Maxime Colin

This work focuses on the end-to-end forecast of global extreme marine heatwaves (MHWs), which are unusually warm sea surface temperature events with profound impacts on marine ecosystems. Accurate prediction of extreme MHWs has significant…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-08-15 Ruiqi Shu , Yuan Gao , Hao Wu , Ruijian Gou , Kun Wang , Yanfei Xiang , Fan Xu , Qingsong Wen , Xiaomeng Huang

We present a data-driven emulator, stochastic weather generator (SWG), suitable for estimating probabilities of prolonged heatwaves in France and Scandinavia. This emulator is based on the method of analogs of circulation to which we add…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-29 George Miloshevich , Dario Lucente , Pascal Yiou , Freddy Bouchet

We study the hemispheric to continental scale regimes that lead to summertime heatwaves in the Northern Hemisphere. By using a powerful data mining methodology - archetype analysis - we identify characteristic spatial patterns consisting of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-22 Christopher C. Chapman , Didier P. Monselesan , James S. Risbey , Abdelwaheb Hannachi , Valerio Lucarini , Richard Matear

This study investigates how different spatiotemporal temperature models affect the estimation of heat-related mortality in Lazio, Italy (2008--2022). First, we compare three methods to reconstruct daily maximum temperature at the…

In this paper, an analysis of hourly air temperatures in four groups of 32 stations of the UK highland (five stations), UK lowland (four stations), Italian highland (eleven stations), and Italian lowland (twelve stations) at various…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-29 Chalachew Muluken Liyew. Rosa Meo , Stefano Ferraris , Elvira Di Nardo

Extreme events are the major weather-related hazard for humanity. It is then of crucial importance to have a good understanding of their statistics and to be able to forecast them. However, lack of sufficient data makes their study…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-13 Valeria Mascolo , Alessandro Lovo , Corentin Herbert , Freddy Bouchet

Inhomogeneities in wave propagation conditions near and below the solar surface have been detected by means of time-distance helioseismology. Here we calculate the effect of temperature inhomogeneities on the travel times of sound waves. A…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-24 M. Brüggen , H. C. Spruit