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Background. The Expected Value of Sample Information (EVSI) measures the expected benefits that could be obtained by collecting additional data. Estimating EVSI using the traditional nested Monte Carlo method is computationally expensive…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-01 Linke Li , Hawre Jalal , Anna Heath

We consider the problem of fitting a parametric model to time-series data that are afflicted by correlated noise. The noise is represented by a sum of two stationary Gaussian processes: one that is uncorrelated in time, and another that has…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2014-11-20 Joshua A. Carter , Joshua N. Winn

Benchmark experiments are required to test, compare, tune, and understand optimization algorithms. Ideally, benchmark problems closely reflect real-world problem behavior. Yet, real-world problems are not always readily available for…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-08-17 Martin Zaefferer , Frederik Rehbach

This paper presents a new variable selection approach integrated with Gaussian process (GP) regression. We consider a sparse projection of input variables and a general stationary covariance model that depends on the Euclidean distance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-26 Chiwoo Park , David J. Borth , Nicholas S. Wilson , Chad N. Hunter

Trajectory estimation involves determining the trajectory of a mobile robot by combining prior knowledge about its dynamic model with noisy observations of its state obtained using sensors. The accuracy of such a procedure is dictated by…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Abhishek Goudar , Angela P. Schoellig

In this paper, we propose a novel Gaussian process-based moving horizon estimation (MHE) framework for unknown nonlinear systems. On the one hand, we approximate the system dynamics by the posterior means of the learned Gaussian processes…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-01 Tobias M. Wolff , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller

Exact Gaussian Process (GP) regression has O(N^3) runtime for data size N, making it intractable for large N. Many algorithms for improving GP scaling approximate the covariance with lower rank matrices. Other work has exploited structure…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-09-24 Elad Gilboa , Yunus Saatçi , John P. Cunningham

Gaussian processes are the leading class of distributions on random functions, but they suffer from well known issues including difficulty scaling and inflexibility with respect to certain shape constraints (such as nonnegativity). Here we…

In computational physics, machine learning has now emerged as a powerful complementary tool to explore efficiently candidate designs in engineering studies. Outputs in such supervised problems are signals defined on meshes, and a natural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-11 Raphaël Carpintero Perez , Sébastien da Veiga , Josselin Garnier , Brian Staber

Inspired by applications in sports where the skill of players or teams competing against each other varies over time, we propose a probabilistic model of pairwise-comparison outcomes that can capture a wide range of time dynamics. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-20 Lucas Maystre , Victor Kristof , Matthias Grossglauser

Inference of detailed vehicle trajectories is crucial for applications such as traffic flow modeling, energy consumption estimation, and traffic flow optimization. Static sensors can provide only aggregated information, posing challenges in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-24 Yifan Zhang , Anastasios Kouvelas , Michail A. Makridis

In this work, we address the problem of cross-modal comparison of aerial data streams. A variety of simulated automobile trajectories are sensed using two different modalities: full-motion video, and radio-frequency (RF) signals received by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-11-27 Christopher J. Tralie , Abraham Smith , Nathan Borggren , Jay Hineman , Paul Bendich , Peter Zulch , John Harer

A distributed inference scheme which uses bounded transmission functions over a Gaussian multiple access channel is considered. When the sensor measurements are decreasingly reliable as a function of the sensor index, the conditions on the…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2015-06-16 Sivaraman Dasarathan , Cihan Tepedelenlioglu

In this paper, we consider queueing systems where the dynamics are non-stationary and state-dependent. For performance analysis of these systems, fluid and diffusion models have been typically used. Although they are proven to be…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-08 Young Myoung Ko , Natarajan Gautam

3D occupancy prediction is critical for comprehensive scene understanding in vision-centric autonomous driving. Recent advances have explored utilizing 3D semantic Gaussians to model occupancy while reducing computational overhead, but they…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Xiaoyang Yan , Muleilan Pei , Shaojie Shen

Suppose that a mobile sensor describes a Markovian trajectory in the ambient space. At each time the sensor measures an attribute of interest, e.g., the temperature. Using only the location history of the sensor and the associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-02 Romain Azaïs , Bernard Delyon , François Portier

We investigate the accuracy of conventional machine learning aided algorithms for the prediction of lateral land movement in an area using the precise position time series of permanent GNSS stations. The machine learning algorithms that are…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-16 M. Kiani

We introduce a scalable approach to Gaussian process inference that combines spatio-temporal filtering with natural gradient variational inference, resulting in a non-conjugate GP method for multivariate data that scales linearly with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Oliver Hamelijnck , William J. Wilkinson , Niki A. Loppi , Arno Solin , Theodoros Damoulas

Gaussian processes are a powerful framework for uncertainty-aware function approximation and sequential decision-making. Unfortunately, their classical formulation does not scale gracefully to large amounts of data and modern hardware for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Jihao Andreas Lin

We tackle the problem of system identification, where we select inputs, observe the corresponding outputs from the true system, and optimize the parameters of our model to best fit the data. We propose a practical and computationally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-02 Alexandros E. Tzikas , Mykel J. Kochenderfer
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