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A model is developed to assess the profitability of loans or mortgages with a specified repayment schedule. Financial institutions face two competing risks: default and prepayment, both influenced by the stochastic evolution of credit…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-12 Quirini Lorenzo , Vannucci Luigi , Quirini Giovanni

Financial fraud refers to the act of obtaining financial benefits through dishonest means. Such behavior not only disrupts the order of the financial market but also harms economic and social development and breeds other illegal and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Yuxin Dong , Jianhua Yao , Jiajing Wang , Yingbin Liang , Shuhan Liao , Minheng Xiao

Credit ratings are one of the primary keys that reflect the level of riskiness and reliability of corporations to meet their financial obligations. Rating agencies tend to take extended periods of time to provide new ratings and update…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-15 Parisa Golbayani , Ionuţ Florescu , Rupak Chatterjee

Knowledge graphs offer a structured representation of real-world entities and their relationships, enabling a wide range of applications from information retrieval to automated reasoning. In this paper, we conduct a systematic comparison…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Thanh Hoang-Minh

Measuring the corporate default risk is broadly important in economics and finance. Quantitative methods have been developed to predictively assess future corporate default probabilities. However, as a more difficult yet crucial problem,…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-26 Miao Yuan , Cheng Yong Tang , Yili Hong , Jian Yang

The regression of multiple inter-connected sequence data is a problem in various disciplines. Formally, we name the regression problem of multiple inter-connected data entities as the "dynamic network regression" in this paper. Within the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Yixin Chen , Lin Meng , Jiawei Zhang

Dynamic graphs capture evolving interactions between entities, such as in social networks, online learning platforms, and crowdsourcing projects. For dynamic graph modeling, dynamic graph neural networks (DGNNs) have emerged as a mainstream…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Xingtong Yu , Zhenghao Liu , Xinming Zhang , Yuan Fang

Graph neural networks (GNN) have emerged as a powerful tool for fraud detection tasks, where fraudulent nodes are identified by aggregating neighbor information via different relations. To get around such detection, crafty fraudsters resort…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Yajing Liu , Zhengya Sun , Wensheng Zhang

Call Detail Record (CDR) datasets provide enough information about personal interactions to support building and analyzing detailed empirical social networks. We take one such dataset and describe the various ways of using it to create a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-07-18 Casey Doyle , Zala Herga , Stephen Dipple , Boleslaw K. Szymanski , Gyorgy Korniss , Dunja Mladenic

Estimating multiple attributes from a single facial image gives comprehensive descriptions on the high level semantics of the face. It is naturally regarded as a multi-task supervised learning problem with a single deep CNN, in which lower…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-10-23 Yan Zhang , Li Sun

Machine Learning has invariantly found its way into various Credit Risk applications. Due to the intrinsic nature of Credit Risk, quantifying the uncertainty of the predicted risk metrics is essential, and applying uncertainty-aware deep…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-12 Ashish Dhiman

This paper proposes a two-stage scoring approach to help lenders decide their fund allocations in the peer-to-peer (P2P) lending market. The existing scoring approaches focus on only either probability of default (PD) prediction, known as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-10 Kaveh Bastani , Elham Asgari , Hamed Namavari

Information diffusion prediction aims at predicting the target users in the information diffusion path on social networks. Prior works mainly focus on the observed structure or sequence of cascades, trying to predict to whom this cascade…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-08-09 Xiaowen Wang , Lanjun Wang , Yuting Su , Yongdong Zhang , An-An Liu

The existence of asymmetric information has always been a major concern for financial institutions. Financial intermediaries such as commercial banks need to study the quality of potential borrowers in order to make their decision on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-05 Jinglun Yao , Maxime Levy-Chapira , Mamikon Margaryan

Credit card fraud detection is a very challenging problem because of the specific nature of transaction data and the labeling process. The transaction data is peculiar because they are obtained in a streaming fashion, they are strongly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-23 Fabirzio Carcillo , Yann-Aël Le Borgne , Olivier Caelen , Gianluca Bontempi

In complex systems, information propagation can be defined as diffused or delocalized, weakly localized, and strongly localized. This study investigates the application of graph neural network models to learn the behavior of a linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Priodyuti Pradhan , Amit Reza

Many tasks in graph machine learning, such as link prediction and node classification, are typically solved by using representation learning, in which each node or edge in the network is encoded via an embedding. Though there exists a lot…

The paper examines the potential of deep learning to support decisions in financial risk management. We develop a deep learning model for predicting whether individual spread traders secure profits from future trades. This task embodies…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-19 Yaodong Yang , Alisa Kolesnikova , Stefan Lessmann , Tiejun Ma , Ming-Chien Sung , Johnnie E. V. Johnson

In this paper, we propose a method that provides a useful technique to compare relationship between risks involved that takes customer become defaulter and debt collection process that might make this defaulter recovered. Through estimation…

Applications · Statistics 2014-08-20 Mauro R. Oliveira , Francisco Louzada

Real estate appraisal is important for a variety of endeavors such as real estate deals, investment analysis, and real property taxation. Recently, deep learning has shown great promise for real estate appraisal by harnessing substantial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Weijia Zhang , Jindong Han , Hao Liu , Wei Fan , Hao Wang , Hui Xiong
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