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Generative models have been successfully used in the field of time series generation. However, when dealing with long-term time series, which span over extended periods and exhibit more complex long-term temporal patterns, the task of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-01 Xuan Hou , Shuhan Liu , Zhaohui Peng , Yaohui Chu , Yue Zhang , Yining Wang

Conditional diffusion models provide a natural framework for probabilistic prediction of dynamical systems and have been successfully applied to fluid dynamics and weather prediction. However, in many settings, the available information at…

Data-dependent metrics are powerful tools for learning the underlying structure of high-dimensional data. This article develops and analyzes a data-dependent metric known as diffusion state distance (DSD), which compares points using a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-10 Lenore Cowen , Kapil Devkota , Xiaozhe Hu , James M. Murphy , Kaiyi Wu

Stochastic models of diffusion with excluded-volume effects are used to model many biological and physical systems at a discrete level. The average properties of the population may be described by a continuum model based on partial…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2012-12-20 Maria Bruna , S. Jonathan Chapman

In population genetics, diffusions on the unit interval are often used to model the frequency path of an allele. In this setting we derive approximations for fixation probabilities, expected hitting times and the expected…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-18 Peter Pfaffelhuber , Anton Wakolbinger

We study an individual-based model in which two spatially-distributed species, characterized by different diffusivities, compete for resources. We consider three different ecological settings. In the first, diffusing faster has a cost in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-27 Simone Pigolotti , Roberto Benzi

This paper concerns the modeling and numerical simulation of the process of speciation. In particular, given conditions for which one or more speciation events within an ecosystem occur, our aim is to develop the necessary modeling and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-08 Mats K. Brun , Elyes Ahmed , Jan Martin Nordbotten , Nils Christian Stenseth

We describe a new and computationally efficient Bayesian methodology for inferring species trees and demographics from unlinked binary markers. Likelihood calculations are carried out using diffusion models of allele frequency dynamics…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-18 Marnus Stoltz , Boris Bauemer , Remco Bouckaert , Colin Fox , Gordon Hiscott , David Bryant

Typical generative diffusion models rely on a Gaussian diffusion process for training the backward transformations, which can then be used to generate samples from Gaussian noise. However, real world data often takes place in discrete-state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Javier E Santos , Zachary R. Fox , Nicholas Lubbers , Yen Ting Lin

Phylogenetic trees are widely used to understand the evolutionary history of organisms. Tree shapes provide information about macroevolutionary processes. However, macroevolutionary models are unreliable for inferring the true processes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-11 Albert Ch. Soewongsono , Barbara R. Holland , Małgorzata M. O'Reilly

Recent evidence suggests that nongenetic (epigenetic) mechanisms play an important role at all stages of cancer evolution. In many cancers, these mechanisms have been observed to induce dynamic switching between two or more cell states,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-16 Einar Bjarki Gunnarsson , Jasmine Foo , Kevin Leder

Although diffusion models now occupy a central place in generative modeling, introductory treatments commonly assume Euclidean data and seldom clarify their connection to discrete-state analogues. This article is a self-contained primer on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-05 Vincent Pauline , Tobias Höppe , Kirill Neklyudov , Alexander Tong , Stefan Bauer , Andrea Dittadi

We present an explicit unified stochastic model of fluctuations in population size due to random birth, death, density-dependent competition and environmental fluctuations. Stochastic dynamics provide insight into small populations,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-07-31 Alexei J. Drummond , Peter D. Drummond

Geological parameterization entails the representation of a geomodel using a small set of latent variables and a mapping from these variables to grid-block properties such as porosity and permeability. Parameterization is useful for data…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Guido Di Federico , Louis J. Durlofsky

Stochastic reaction networks are a fundamental model to describe interactions between species where random fluctuations are relevant. The master equation provides the evolution of the probability distribution across the discrete state space…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-15 Tabea Waizmann , Luca Bortolussi , Andrea Vandin , Mirco Tribastone

Diffusion models typically generate data through a fixed denoising trajectory that is shared across all samples. However, generation targets can differ in complexity, suggesting that a single pre-defined diffusion process may not be optimal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Yucheng Xing , Xiaodong Liu , Xin Wang

Diffusion models are the mainstream approach for time series generation tasks. However, existing diffusion models for time series generation require retraining the entire framework to introduce specific conditional guidance. There also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Mingchun Sun , Rongqiang Zhao , Hengrui Hu , Songyu Ding , Jie Liu

A number of methods have been developed to infer differential rates of species diversification through time and among clades using time-calibrated phylogenetic trees. However, we lack a general framework that can delineate and quantify…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-18 Daniel L. Rabosky

Currently, there is no general theory for deriving diffusion approximations of queueing systems with high- or infinite-dimensional state descriptors. In this paper, we explore one path for deriving diffusion limit equations of queueing…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Eva H Loeser

Reaction-diffusion systems have been proposed as a model for pattern formation and morphogenesis. The Fickian diffusion typically employed in these constructions model the Brownian motion of particles. The biological and chemical elements…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-09 Siddhartha Srivastava , Krishna Garikipati