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We study an optimal control problem where the objective is to find the best vaccine allocation during an epidemic outbreak. The epidemic dynamics is described by an age-structured SIR model with nonlocal interactions. Both the infection and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Luís Almeida , Romain Ducasse , Elisa Paparelli

In this paper, we study the optimal control for an SEIR model adapted to the vaccination strategy of susceptible individuals. There are factors associated with a vaccination campaign that make this strategy not only a public health issue…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Nelson L. Santos Junior , João A. M. Gondim

This paper studies an optimal control problem for a class of SIR epidemic models, in scenarios in which the infected population is constrained to be lower than a critical threshold imposed by the ICU (intensive care unit) capacity. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Matteo Della Rossa , Lorenzo Freddi , Dan Goreac

In previous articles, we formalized the problem of optimal allocation strategies for a (perfect) vaccine in an infinite-dimensional metapopulation model. The aim of the current paper is to illustrate this theoretical framework with multiple…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-17 Jean-François Delmas , Dylan Dronnier , Pierre-André Zitt

Efficient testing and vaccination protocols are critical aspects of epidemic management. To study the optimal allocation of limited testing and vaccination resources in a heterogeneous contact network of interacting susceptible, recovered,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-12 Mingtao Xia , Lucas Böttcher , Tom Chou

In this study, we formulate a mathematical model incorporating age specific transmission dynamics of COVID-19 to evaluate the role of vaccination and treatment strategies in reducing the size of COVID-19 burden. Initially, we establish the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-22 Bishal Chhetri , D. k. k. Vamsi , S Balasubramanian , Carani B Sanjeevi

Vaccination has played an important role in preventing the spread of infectious diseases. However, the limited availability of vaccines and personnel at the roll-out of a new vaccine and the costs of vaccination campaigns often limit how…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-27 Rowan Hoogervorst , Evelien van der Hurk , David Pisinger

We consider the problem of controlling the propagation of an epidemic outbreak in an arbitrary contact network by distributing vaccination resources throughout the network. We analyze a networked version of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-03-19 Victor M. Preciado , Michael Zargham , Chinwendu Enyioha , Ali Jadbabaie , George Pappas

This paper investigates optimal vaccination strategies in a metapopulation epidemic model. We consider a linear cost to better capture operational considerations, such as the total number of vaccines or hospitalizations, in contrast to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Lucas Machado Moschen , Maria Soledad Aronna

We analyze an optimal control version of a simple SIR epidemiology model that includes a partially specified vaccination policy and takes into account fatigue from protracted application of social distancing measures. The model assumes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-17 Evangelos F. Magirou

Optimizing the impact on the economy of control strategies aiming at containing the spread of COVID-19 is a critical challenge. We use daily new case counts of COVID-19 patients reported by local health administrations from different…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-12 Afroza Shirin , Yen Ting Lin , Francesco Sorrentino

We evaluate the efficiency of various heuristic strategies for allocating vaccines against COVID-19 and compare them to strategies found using optimal control theory. Our approach is based on a mathematical model which tracks the spread of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-04 Jeta Molla , Alejandro Ponce de León Chávez , Takayuki Hiraoka , Tapio Ala-Nissila , Mikko Kivelä , Lasse Leskelä

The COVID-19 pandemic has posed a policy making crisis where efforts to slow down or end the pandemic conflict with economic priorities. This paper provides mathematical analysis of optimal disease control policies with idealized…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Aaron Z. Palmer , Zelda B. Zabinsky , Shan Liu

The optimal allocation of vaccines to population subgroups over time is a challenging health care management problem. In the context of a pandemic, the interaction between vaccination policies adopted by multiple agents and the cooperation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-22 David Rey , Ahmed W Hammad , Meead Saberi

In this paper we introduce an approach to the management of infectious disease diffusion through the formulation of a controlled compartmental SVIR (Susceptible-Vaccinated-Infected-Recovered) model. We consider a cost functional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-28 Alessandro Ramponiand M. Elisabetta Tessitore

This research introduces a new approach utilizing optimal control theory (OCT) to assess the Social Optimum (SO) of a vaccination game, navigating the intricate considerations of cost, availability, and distribution policies. By integrating…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Md. Mamun-Ur-Rashid Khan , Jun Tanimoto

Epidemic risk assessment poses inherent challenges, with traditional approaches often failing to balance health outcomes and economic constraints. This paper presents a data-driven decision support tool that models epidemiological dynamics…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-24 Chang Zhai , Ping Chen , Zhuo Jin , David Pitt

We consider a SIR model with vaccination strategy on a sparse configuration model random graph. We show the convergence of the system when the number of nodes grows and characterize the scaling limits. Then, we prove the existence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-26 Emanuel Javier Ferreyra , Matthieu Jonckheere , Juan Pablo Pinasco

During decades, mathematical models have been used to predict the behavior of physical and biologic systems, and to define strategies aiming the minimization of the effects regarding different types of diseases. In the present days, the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-22 Gustavo Barbosa Libotte , Fran Sérgio Lobato , Gustavo Mendes Platt , Antônio José da Silva Neto

We formalize and study the problem of optimal allocation strategies for a (perfect) vaccine in the infinite-dimensional SIS model. The question may be viewed as a bi-objective minimization problem, where one tries to minimize simultaneously…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-27 Jean-François Delmas , Dylan Dronnier , Pierre-André Zitt
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