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Bayesian optimization (BO) is a sample-efficient global optimization algorithm for black-box functions which are expensive to evaluate. Existing literature on model based optimization in conditional parameter spaces are usually built on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-08 Xingchen Ma , Matthew B. Blaschko

Sequential model-based optimization sequentially selects a candidate point by constructing a surrogate model with the history of evaluations, to solve a black-box optimization problem. Gaussian process (GP) regression is a popular choice as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-23 Jungtaek Kim , Seungjin Choi

We introduce a broad class of models called semiparametric spatial point process for making inference between spatial point patterns and spatial covariates. These models feature an intensity function with both parametric and nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Xindi Lin , Bumjun Park , Christopher Zahasky , Hyunseung Kang

We propose Partition Tree, a novel tree-based framework for conditional density estimation over general outcome spaces that supports both continuous and categorical variables within a unified formulation. Our approach models conditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Felipe Angelim , Alessandro Leite

This paper investigates the integration of gradient boosted decision trees and varying coefficient models. We introduce the tree boosted varying coefficient framework which justifies the implementation of decision tree boosting as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-03 Yichen Zhou , Giles Hooker

We develop a tree boosting algorithm for collider measurements of multiple Wilson coefficients in effective field theories describing phenomena beyond the standard model of particle physics. The design of the discriminant exploits per-event…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-05-27 Suman Chatterjee , Stefan Rohshap , Robert Schöfbeck , Dennis Schwarz

In this paper we present a technique for using the bootstrap to estimate the operating characteristics and their variability for certain types of ensemble methods. Bootstrapping a model can require a huge amount of work if the training data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-26 Anthony Gamst , Jay-Calvin Reyes , Alden Walker

Active learning methods for neural networks are usually based on greedy criteria which ultimately give a single new design point for the evaluation. Such an approach requires either some heuristics to sample a batch of design points at one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Evgenii Tsymbalov , Sergei Makarychev , Alexander Shapeev , Maxim Panov

The dynamics of a rain forest is extremely complex involving births, deaths and growth of trees with complex interactions between trees, animals, climate, and environment. We consider the patterns of recruits (new trees) and dead trees…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-19 Abdollah Jalilian , Francisco Cuevas-Pacheco , Ganggang Xu , Rasmus Waagepetersen

Despite their theoretical appeal, totally corrective boosting methods based on linear programming have received limited empirical attention. In this paper, we conduct the first large-scale experimental study of six LP-based boosting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Fabian Akkerman , Julien Ferry , Christian Artigues , Emmanuel Hebrard , Thibaut Vidal

Missing data is an expected issue when large amounts of data is collected, and several imputation techniques have been proposed to tackle this problem. Beneath classical approaches such as MICE, the application of Machine Learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-01 Burim Ramosaj , Markus Pauly

Most of the existing clustering methods are based on a single granularity of information, such as the distance and density of each data. This most fine-grained based approach is usually inefficient and susceptible to noise. Therefore, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-30 Jiang Xie , Shuyin Xia , Guoyin Wang , Xinbo Gao

The tree-based ensembles are known for their outstanding performance in classification and regression problems characterized by feature vectors represented by mixed-type variables from various ranges and domains. However, considering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Patryk Wielopolski , Maciej Zięba

Gradient-boosted decision trees are among the strongest off-the-shelf predictors for tabular regression, but point predictions alone do not quantify uncertainty. Conformal prediction provides distribution-free marginal coverage, yet split…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-27 Vagner Santos , Victor Coscrato , Luben Cabezas , Rafael Izbicki , Thiago Ramos

Decision trees usefully represent sparse, high dimensional and noisy data. Having learned a function from this data, we may want to thereafter integrate the function into a larger decision-making problem, e.g., for picking the best chemical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-26 Miten Mistry , Dimitrios Letsios , Gerhard Krennrich , Robert M. Lee , Ruth Misener

Combining machine learning with econometric analysis is becoming increasingly prevalent in both research and practice. A common empirical strategy involves the application of predictive modeling techniques to 'mine' variables of interest…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-22 Mochen Yang , Edward McFowland , Gordon Burtch , Gediminas Adomavicius

This paper introduces the Partition Tree Weighting technique, an efficient meta-algorithm for piecewise stationary sources. The technique works by performing Bayesian model averaging over a large class of possible partitions of the data…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-11-22 Joel Veness , Martha White , Michael Bowling , András György

We propose a scalable framework for inference in an inhomogeneous Poisson process modeled by a continuous sigmoidal Cox process that assumes the corresponding intensity function is given by a Gaussian process (GP) prior transformed with a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-10 Virginia Aglietti , Edwin V. Bonilla , Theodoros Damoulas , Sally Cripps

Bootstrap aggregating (Bagging) and boosting are two popular ensemble learning approaches, which combine multiple base learners to generate a composite model for more accurate and more reliable performance. They have been widely used in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Changming Zhao , Dongrui Wu , Jian Huang , Ye Yuan , Hai-Tao Zhang , Ruimin Peng , Zhenhua Shi

Techniques to reduce the energy burden of an industrial ecosystem often require solving a multiobjective optimization problem. However, collecting experimental data can often be either expensive or time-consuming. In such cases, statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Akira Horiguchi , Thomas J. Santner , Ying Sun , Matthew T. Pratola
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