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An implementation of a nonparametric Bayesian approach to solving binary classification problems on graphs is described. A hierarchical Bayesian approach with a randomly scaled Gaussian prior is considered. The prior uses the graph…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-16 Jarno Hartog , Harry van Zanten

The plurigaussian model is particularly suited to describe categorical regionalized variables. Starting from a simple principle, the thresh-olding of one or several Gaussian random fields (GRFs) to obtain categories, the plurigaussian model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-19 Nicolas Desassis , Didier Renard , Hélène Beucher , Sylvain Petiteau , Xavier Freulon

We develop a method for the evaluation of extreme event statistics associated with nonlinear dynamical systems, using a small number of samples. From an initial dataset of design points, we formulate a sequential strategy that provides the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Mustafa A. Mohamad , Themistoklis P. Sapsis

Understanding and measuring model risk is important to financial practitioners. However, there lacks a non-parametric approach to model risk quantification in a dynamic setting and with path-dependent losses. We propose a complete theory…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-06 Yu Feng

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 David Tolpin

A new computation method of frequentist $p$-values and Bayesian posterior probabilities based on the bootstrap probability is discussed for the multivariate normal model with unknown expectation parameter vector. The null hypothesis is…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Hidetoshi Shimodaira

This paper focuses on the problem of determining as large a region as possible where a function exceeds a given threshold with high probability. We assume that we only have access to a noise-corrupted version of the function and that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-27 Andrea Zanette , Junzi Zhang , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

This paper considers the problem of computing Bayesian estimates of both states and model parameters for nonlinear state-space models. Generally, this problem does not have a tractable solution and approximations must be utilised. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-15 Jarrad Courts , Johannes Hendriks , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

A nonparametric regression setting is considered with a real-valued covariate and responses from a metric space. One may approach this setting via Fr\'echet regression, where the value of the regression function at each point is estimated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-17 Christof Schötz

This paper deals with the nonparametric estimation in heteroscedastic regression $ Y_i=f(X_i)+\xi_i, \: i=1,...,n $, with incomplete information, i.e. each real random variable $ \xi_i $ has a density $ g_{i} $ which is unknown to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-10 Michaël Chichignoud

This paper presents a pre-processing and a distance which improve the performance of machine learning algorithms working on independent and identically distributed stochastic processes. We introduce a novel non-parametric approach to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-04 Gautier Marti , Philippe Very , Philippe Donnat

We consider the computational challenges associated with uncertainty quantification involved in parameter estimation such as seismic slowness and hydraulic transmissivity fields. The reconstruction of these parameters can be mathematically…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Arvind K. Saibaba , Peter K. Kitanidis

The declining response rates in probability surveys along with the widespread availability of unstructured data has led to growing research into non-probability samples. Existing robust approaches are not well-developed for non-Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan

In low-resource settings, prevalence mapping relies on empirical prevalence data from a finite, often spatially sparse, set of surveys of communities within the region of interest, possibly supplemented by remotely sensed images that can…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-27 Peter J. Diggle , Emanuele Giorgi

In this paper, we consider a surrogate modeling approach using a data-driven nonparametric likelihood function constructed on a manifold on which the data lie (or to which they are close). The proposed method represents the likelihood…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-06-04 Shixiao W. Jiang , John Harlim

A geometric representation for multivariate extremes, based on the shapes of scaled sample clouds in light-tailed margins and their so-called limit sets, has recently been shown to connect several existing extremal dependence concepts.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-03 Jennifer Wadsworth , Ryan Campbell

Estimators of information theoretic measures such as entropy and mutual information are a basic workhorse for many downstream applications in modern data science. State of the art approaches have been either geometric (nearest neighbor (NN)…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-09-09 Weihao Gao , Sewoong Oh , Pramod Viswanath

This paper is concerned with a semiparametric partially linear regression model with unknown regression coefficients, an unknown nonparametric function for the non-linear component, and unobservable Gaussian distributed random errors. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Irène Gannaz

Reliable forward uncertainty quantification in engineering requires methods that account for aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. In many applications, epistemic effects arising from uncertain parameters and model form dominate prediction…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Akash Yadav , Ruda Zhang
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