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Filtering is concerned with online estimation of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. In applications where the state of the system is high dimensional, ensemble Kalman filters are often the method of choice.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-30 Omar Al Ghattas , Jiajun Bao , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

Spreading processes are often modelled as a stochastic dynamics occurring on top of a given network with edge weights corresponding to the transmission probabilities. Knowledge of veracious transmission probabilities is essential for…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-09-01 Andrey Y. Lokhov

Learning the parameters of a (potentially partially observable) random field model is intractable in general. Instead of focussing on a single optimal parameter value we propose to treat parameters as dynamical quantities. We introduce an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Max Welling

The modern machine learning methods allow one to obtain the data-driven models in various ways. However, the more complex the model is, the harder it is to interpret. In the paper, we describe the algorithm for the mathematical equations…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-09-09 Alexander Hvatov , Mikhail Maslyaev

This paper considers filtering, parameter estimation, and testing for potentially dynamically misspecified state-space models. When dynamics are misspecified, filtered values of state variables often do not satisfy model restrictions,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-27 Jean-Jacques Forneron , Zhongjun Qu

We propose a new method for spatio-temporal forecasting on arbitrarily distributed points. Assuming that the observed system follows an unknown partial differential equation, we derive a continuous-time model for the dynamics of the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Marten Lienen , Stephan Günnemann

Learning how complex dynamical systems evolve over time is a key challenge in system identification. For safety critical systems, it is often crucial that the learned model is guaranteed to converge to some equilibrium point. To this end,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Andreas Schlaginhaufen , Philippe Wenk , Andreas Krause , Florian Dörfler

We examine nonlinear dynamical systems of ordinary differential equations or differential algebraic equations. In an uncertainty quantification, physical parameters are replaced by random variables. The inner variables as well as a quantity…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-04-15 Roland Pulch

We propose a procedure for the numerical approximation of invariance equations arising in the moment matching technique associated with reduced-order modeling of high-dimensional dynamical systems. The Galerkin residual method is employed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Carlos Doebeli , Alessandro Astolfi , Dante Kalise , Alessio Moreschini , Giordano Scarciotti , Joel Simard

The dynamics of many open quantum systems are described by stochastic master equations. In the discrete-time case, we recall the structure of the derived quantum filter governing the evolution of the density operator conditioned to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-23 Pierre Six , Philippe Campagne-Ibarcq , Landry Bretheau , Benjamin Huard , Pierre Rouchon

Many real-world systems modeled using partial differential equations (PDEs) involve unknown parameters that must be estimated from limited, noisy system observations. While typically assumed to be constants, some of these unobserved…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Andrea Arnold

In this paper, we use a stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) as a model for the density of a population under the influence of random external forces/stimuli given by the environment. We study statistical properties for two…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-21 Fernando Baltazar-Larios , Francisco Delgado-Vences , Liliana Peralta

Data-driven modelling and scientific machine learning have been responsible for significant advances in determining suitable models to describe data. Within dynamical systems, neural ordinary differential equations (ODEs), where the system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-08 Gevik Grigorian , Sandip V. George , Simon Arridge

A method for sequential Bayesian inference of the static parameters of a dynamic state space model is proposed. The method is based on the observation that many dynamic state space models have a relatively small number of static parameters…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-28 Arnab Bhattacharya , Simon Wilson

This paper deals with the numerical resolution of kinetic models for systems of self-propelled particles subject to alignment interaction and attraction-repulsion. We focus on the kinetic model considered in [18, 17] where alignment is…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Francis Filbet , Chi-Wang Shu

We consider the problem of parameter estimation in dynamic systems described by ordinary differential equations. A review of the existing literature emphasizes the need for deterministic global optimization methods due to the nonconvex…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-16 M. Fernández de Dios , Ángel M. González-Rueda , Julio R. Banga , Julio González-Díaz , David R. Penas

Fast and robust dynamic state estimation (DSE) is essential for accurately capturing the internal dynamic processes of power systems, and it serves as the foundation for reliably implementing real-time dynamic modeling, monitoring, and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-07 Jianhua Pei , Ping Wang , Jingyu Wang , Dongyuan Shi

Uncertainty quantification in digital twins is critical to enable reliable and credible predictions beyond available data. A key challenge is that ensemble-based approaches can become prohibitively expensive when embedded in control and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Zhiyang Ning , Benjamin Peherstorfer

It has been shown that approximate message passing algorithm is effective in reconstruction problems for compressed sensing. To evaluate dynamics of such an algorithm, the state evolution (SE) has been proposed. If an algorithm can cancel…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-06-02 Kazushi Mimura

Estimation of a dynamical system's latent state subject to sensor noise and model inaccuracies remains a critical yet difficult problem in robotics. While Kalman filters provide the optimal solution in the least squared sense for linear and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-02-10 Fahira Afzal Maken , Fabio Ramos , Lionel Ott