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The Bayesian statistical paradigm provides a principled and coherent approach to probabilistic forecasting. Uncertainty about all unknowns that characterize any forecasting problem -- model, parameters, latent states -- is able to be…

Modern Bayesian inference involves a mixture of computational techniques for estimating, validating, and drawing conclusions from probabilistic models as part of principled workflows for data analysis. Typical problems in Bayesian workflows…

The notion of concept drift refers to the phenomenon that the distribution, which is underlying the observed data, changes over time; as a consequence machine learning models may become inaccurate and need adjustment. While there do exist…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-24 Fabian Hinder , Barbara Hammer

We propose a new approach concerning the introduction of time-irreversibility in statistical mechanics. It is based on a transition function defined in terms of path integral and verifying a time-irreversible equation. We show first how…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-02 J. P. Badiali

Backpropagation is a classic automatic differentiation algorithm computing the gradient of functions specified by a certain class of simple, first-order programs, called computational graphs. It is a fundamental tool in several fields, most…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-11-07 Alois Brunel , Damiano Mazza , Michele Pagani

This paper defines a novel Bayesian inverse problem to infer an infinite-dimensional uncertain operator appearing in a differential equation, whose action on an observable state variable affects its dynamics. Inference is made tractable by…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-07 Teresa Portone , Robert D. Moser

In this work, we incorporate reversibility into structured communication-based programming, to allow parties of a session to automatically undo, in a rollback fashion, the effect of previously executed interactions. This permits taking…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2014-06-16 Francesco Tiezzi , Nobuko Yoshida

The theory of general relativity predicts the existence of closed time-like curves (CTCs), which theoretically would allow an observer to travel back in time and interact with their past self. This raises the question of whether this could…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-26 Germain Tobar , Fabio Costa

The paper develops the idea that the dynamics of both classical and quantum processes is time reversible. It is shown how this classical analogy allows one to define the measure for the path integral in quantum mechanics.

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 I. D. Mandzhavidze

Bayesian Inference is a powerful approach to data analysis that is based almost entirely on probability theory. In this approach, probabilities model {\it uncertainty} rather than randomness or variability. This thesis is composed of a…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-09-08 Brendon J. Brewer

We propose a retrodictive forecasting paradigm for time series: instead of predicting the future from the past, we identify the future that best explains the observed present via inverse MAP optimization over a Conditional Variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Cedric Damour

We consider problems in which a system receives external \emph{perturbations} from time to time. For instance, the system can be a train network in which particular lines are repeatedly disrupted without warning, having an effect on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-21 Nicolo Colombo , Ricardo Silva , Soong M Kang , Arthur Gretton

The theory of noninterference supports the analysis of information leakage and the execution of secure computations in multi-level security systems. Classical equivalence-based approaches to noninterference mainly rely on weak bisimulation…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Andrea Esposito , Alessandro Aldini , Marco Bernardo , Sabina Rossi

A supervised learning algorithm searches over a set of functions $A \to B$ parametrised by a space $P$ to find the best approximation to some ideal function $f\colon A \to B$. It does this by taking examples $(a,f(a)) \in A\times B$, and…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-02 Brendan Fong , David I. Spivak , Rémy Tuyéras

A central challenge in statistical inference is the presence of confounding variables that may distort observed associations between treatment and outcome. Conventional "causal" methods, grounded in assumptions such as ignorability, exclude…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Ellis Scharfenaker , Duncan K. Foley

In rule-based systems, goal-oriented computations correspond naturally to the possible ways that an observation may be explained. In some applications, we need to compute explanations for a series of observations with the same domain. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Fangzhen Lin , Jia-Huai You

Essentially, in a reversible programming language, for each forward computation from state $S$ to state $S'$, there exists a constructive method to go backwards from state $S'$ to state $S$. Besides its theoretical interest, reversible…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2017-10-10 Naoki Nishida , Adrián Palacios , Germán Vidal

Optical flow refers to the visual motion observed between two consecutive images. Since the degree of freedom is typically much larger than the constraints imposed by the image observations, the straightforward formulation of optical flow…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-21 Jie Sun , Fernando J. Quevedo , Erik Bollt

Reversible computing is a new paradigm that has emerged recently and extends the traditional forwards-only computing mode with the ability to execute in backwards, so that computation can run in reverse as easily as in forward. Two…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Nataliya Gribovskaya , Irina Virbitskaite

The proposed approach extends the confidence posterior distribution to the semi-parametric empirical Bayes setting. Whereas the Bayesian posterior is defined in terms of a prior distribution conditional on the observed data, the confidence…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-02 David R. Bickel
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