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The systematic collection of longitudinal data is very common in practice, making mixed models widely used. Most developments around these models focus on modeling the mean trajectory of repeated measurements, typically under the assumption…

Objectives To investigate the use of a Bayesian joint modelling approach to predict overall survival (OS) from immature clinical trial data using an intermediate biomarker. To compare the results with a typical parametric approach of…

The modeling of the spreading of communicable diseases has experienced significant advances in the last two decades or so. This has been possible due to the proliferation of data and the development of new methods to gather, mine and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-09 Alberto Aleta , Guilherme Ferraz de Arruda , Yamir Moreno

Dynamic prediction of future clinical outcomes based on longitudinally measured predictors plays a crucial role in disease management and patient counseling, particularly when conventional static models are inadequate. Joint modeling of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-30 Wenhao Li , Shikun Wang , Zhe Yin , Brad C. Astor , Wei Yang , Tom H. Greene , Liang Li

Pre-symptomatic (or Preclinical) Alzheimer's Disease is defined by biomarker evidence of fibrillar amyloid beta pathology in the absence of clinical symptoms. Clinical trials in this early phase of disease are challenging due to the slow…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-10 Dan Li , Samuel Iddi , Paul S. Aisen , Wesley K. Thompson , Michael C. Donohue

Disease progression modeling (DPM) using longitudinal data is a challenging task in machine learning for healthcare that can provide clinicians with better tools for diagnosis and monitoring of disease. Existing DPM algorithms neglect…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-08-17 Mostafa Mehdipour Ghazi , Mads Nielsen , Akshay Pai , M. Jorge Cardoso , Marc Modat , Sebastien Ourselin , Lauge Sørensen

It is important to characterize the temporal trajectories of disease-related biomarkers in order to monitor progression and identify potential points of intervention. This is especially important for neurodegenerative diseases, as…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-05 Murat Bilgel , Jerry L. Prince , Dean F. Wong , Susan M. Resnick , Bruno M. Jedynak

Accurate prediction of disease trajectories is critical for early identification and timely treatment of patients at risk. Conventional methods in survival analysis are often constrained by strong parametric assumptions and limited in their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-28 Daniel Jarrett , Jinsung Yoon , Mihaela van der Schaar

The availability of a large amount of electronic health records (EHR) provides huge opportunities to improve health care service by mining these data. One important application is clinical endpoint prediction, which aims to predict whether…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Luchen Liu , Jianhao Shen , Ming Zhang , Zichang Wang , Jian Tang

Stepped wedge cluster-randomized trial (CRTs) designs randomize clusters of individuals to intervention sequences, ensuring that every cluster eventually transitions from a control period to receive the intervention under study by the end…

Predicting cancer-associated clinical events is challenging in oncology. In Multiple Myeloma (MM), a cancer of plasma cells, disease progression is determined by changes in biomarkers, such as serum concentration of the paraprotein secreted…

Objective Alzheimer disease (AD) is the most common cause of dementia, a syndrome characterized by cognitive impairment severe enough to interfere with activities of daily life. We aimed to conduct a systematic literature review (SLR) of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-31 Sayantan Kumar , Inez Oh , Suzanne Schindler , Albert M Lai , Philip R O Payne , Aditi Gupta

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is the most common neurodegenerative disease in older people. Despite considerable efforts to find a cure for AD, there is a 99.6% failure rate of clinical trials for AD drugs, likely because AD patients cannot…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-25 Jack Albright

Nonlinear mixed effects models represent a powerful tool to simultaneously analyze data from several individuals. In this study a compartmental model of leucine kinetics is examined and extended with a stochastic differential equation to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2011-01-05 Martin Berglund , Mikael Sunnåker , Martin Adiels , Mats Jirstrand , Bernt Wennberg

Disease progression modeling (DPM) using longitudinal data is a challenging machine learning task. Existing DPM algorithms neglect temporal dependencies among measurements, make parametric assumptions about biomarker trajectories, do not…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Mostafa Mehdipour Ghazi , Mads Nielsen , Akshay Pai , M. Jorge Cardoso , Marc Modat , Sebastien Ourselin , Lauge Sørensen

Disease progression models infer group-level temporal trajectories of change in patients' features as a chronic degenerative condition plays out. They provide unique insight into disease biology and staging systems with individual-level…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Peter A. Wijeratne , Daniel C. Alexander

Regularized regression models are well studied and, under appropriate conditions, offer fast and statistically interpretable results. However, large data in many applications are heterogeneous in the sense of harboring distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Konstantinos Perrakis , Thomas Lartigue , Frank Dondelinger , Sach Mukherjee

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is a neurodegenerative disorder with no known cure that affects tens of millions of people worldwide. Early detection of AD is critical for timely intervention to halt or slow the progression of the disease. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Mahdi Moghaddami , Clayton Schubring , Mohammad-Reza Siadat

The development of statistical approaches for the joint modelling of the temporal changes of imaging, biochemical, and clinical biomarkers is of paramount importance for improving the understanding of neurodegenerative disorders, and for…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-16 Marco Lorenzi , Maurizio Filippone , Daniel C. Alexander , Sebastien Ourselin

Based on the proposed time-varying JLCM (Miao and Charalambous, 2022), the heterogeneous random covariance matrix can also be considered, and a regression submodel for the variance-covariance matrix of the multivariate latent random effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-30 Ruoyu Miao , Christiana Charalambous
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