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Survival analysis models the distribution of time until an event of interest, such as discharge from the hospital or admission to the ICU. When a model's predicted number of events within any time interval is similar to the observed number,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Mark Goldstein , Xintian Han , Aahlad Puli , Adler J. Perotte , Rajesh Ranganath

We introduce a method for learning the dynamics of complex nonlinear systems based on deep generative models over temporal segments of states and actions. Unlike dynamics models that operate over individual discrete timesteps, we learn the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-14 Nikhil Mishra , Pieter Abbeel , Igor Mordatch

This paper considers a simulation-based estimator for a general class of Markovian processes and explores some strong consistency properties of the estimator. The estimation problem is defined over a continuum of invariant distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Manuel S. Santos

In this paper, a new framework for the resilient control of continuous-time linear systems under denial-of-service (DoS) attacks and system uncertainty is presented. Integrating techniques from reinforcement learning and output regulation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-12 Weinan Gao , Zhong-Ping Jiang , Tianyou Chai

Simulations are a pedagogical means of enabling a risk-free way for healthcare practitioners to learn, maintain, or enhance their knowledge and skills. Such simulations should provide an optimum amount of cognitive load to the learner and…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-02-05 Pritam Sarkar , Kyle Ross , Aaron J. Ruberto , Dirk Rodenburg , Paul Hungler , Ali Etemad

A new method called SurvLIME for explaining machine learning survival models is proposed. It can be viewed as an extension or modification of the well-known method LIME. The main idea behind the proposed method is to apply the Cox…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-19 Maxim S. Kovalev , Lev V. Utkin , Ernest M. Kasimov

Crafting adversarial examples has become an important technique to evaluate the robustness of deep neural networks (DNNs). However, most existing works focus on attacking the image classification problem since its input space is continuous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-22 Minhao Cheng , Jinfeng Yi , Pin-Yu Chen , Huan Zhang , Cho-Jui Hsieh

In structured prediction problems where we have indirect supervision of the output, maximum marginal likelihood faces two computational obstacles: non-convexity of the objective and intractability of even a single gradient computation. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-11 Aditi Raghunathan , Roy Frostig , John Duchi , Percy Liang

We show that a neural network originally designed for language processing can learn the dynamical rules of a stochastic system by observation of a single dynamical trajectory of the system, and can accurately predict its emergent behavior…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-02-18 Corneel Casert , Isaac Tamblyn , Stephen Whitelam

The abundance of data affords researchers to pursue more powerful computational tools to learn the dynamics of complex system, such as neural networks, engineered systems and social networks. Traditional machine learning approaches capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Yan Shen , Fan Yang , Mingchen Gao , Wen Dong

Complex simulator-based models are now routinely used to perform inference across the sciences and engineering, but existing inference methods are often unable to account for outliers and other extreme values in data which occur due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-18 Ayush Bharti , Charita Dellaporta , Yuga Hikida , François-Xavier Briol

Dynamics model learning deals with the task of inferring unknown dynamics from measurement data and predicting the future behavior of the system. A typical approach to address this problem is to train recurrent models. However, predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-31 Katharina Ensinger , Sebastian Ziesche , Sebastian Trimpe

Uncertainty estimation methods using deep learning approaches strive against separating how uncertain the state of the world manifests to us via measurement (objective end) from the way this gets scrambled with the model specification and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-21 Edgardo Solano-Carrillo

Understanding the activity of large populations of neurons is difficult due to the combinatorial complexity of possible cell-cell interactions. To reduce the complexity, coarse-graining had been previously applied to experimental neural…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-24 Mia C. Morrell , Audrey J. Sederberg , Ilya Nemenman

Prognostic models in survival analysis are aimed at understanding the relationship between patients' covariates and the distribution of survival time. Traditionally, semi-parametric models, such as the Cox model, have been assumed. These…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-06 Denise Rava , Jelena Bradic

The stratified proportional intensity model generalizes Cox's proportional intensity model by allowing different groups of the population under study to have distinct baseline intensity functions. In this article, we consider the problem of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Amélie Detais , Jean-François Dupuy

Resilience broadly describes a quality of withstanding perturbations. Measures of system resilience have gathered increasing attention across applied disciplines, yet existing metrics often lack computational accessibility and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Andreas Morr , Christian Kuehn , George Datseris

The personalization of treatment via bio-markers and other risk categories has drawn increasing interest among clinical scientists. Personalized treatment strategies can be learned using data from clinical trials, but such trials are very…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Kun Deng , Joelle Pineau , Susan A. Murphy

Dynamic state estimation (DSE) is becoming increasingly important for monitoring inverter-dominated power systems. Due to their cascading control structures, inverter-based resources (IBRs) exhibit multi-timescale dynamics, leading to stiff…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-22 Xingyu Zhao , Marcos Netto , Junbo Zhao

Differential equations and numerical methods are extensively used to model various real-world phenomena in science and engineering. With modern developments, we aim to find the underlying differential equation from a single observation of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Roy Y. He , Hao Liu , Wenjing Liao , Sung Ha Kang