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Cricket betting is a multi-billion dollar market. Therefore, there is a strong incentive for models that can predict the outcomes of games and beat the odds provided by bookers. The aim of this study was to investigate to what degree it is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-19 Stylianos Kampakis , William Thomas

Twitter has been proven to be a notable source for predictive modelling on various domains such as the stock market, the dissemination of diseases or sports outcomes. However, such a study has not been conducted in football (soccer) so far.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-06 Stylianos Kampakis , Andreas Adamides

In sports analytics, player tracking data have driven significant advancements in the task of player evaluation. We present a novel generative framework for evaluating the observed frame-by-frame player positioning against a distribution of…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-24 Quang Nguyen , Ronald Yurko

This study explores the relationship between the performance of a football team and the topological parameters of temporal passing networks. To achieve this, we propose a method to identify moments of high and low team performance based on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-13 Andres Chacoma

The interconnected nature of the economic variables influencing a firm's performance makes the prediction of a company's earning trend a challenging task. Existing methodologies often rely on simplistic models and financial ratios failing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-30 Marco Piazza , Mauro Passacantando , Francesca Magli , Federica Doni , Andrea Amaduzzi , Enza Messina

In-play football forecasting models have struggled to match the accuracy of betting exchange prices, which aggregate information from many market participants. We close this gap by combining two extensions to a Weibull accelerated failure…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-18 Lawrence Clegg , Zixing Song , John Cartlidge

Fantasy sports allow fans to manage a team of their favorite athletes and compete with friends. The fantasy platform aligns the real-world statistical performance of athletes to fantasy scoring and has steadily risen in popularity to an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-05 Aaron Baughman , Micah Forester , Jeff Powell , Eduardo Morales , Shaun McPartlin , Daniel Bohm

Based on NFL game data we try to predict the outcome of a play in multiple different ways. An application of this is the following: by plugging in various play options one could determine the best play for a given situation in real time.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-01-05 Brendan Teich , Roman Lutz , Valentin Kassarnig

In this work, we extended a stochastic model for football leagues based on the team's potential [R. da Silva et al. Comput. Phys. Commun. \textbf{184} 661--670 (2013)] for making predictions instead of only performing a successful…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-08 Eduardo V. Stock , Roberto da Silva , Henrique A. Fernandes

In the National Basketball Association (NBA), teams must make choices about which players to acquire, how much to pay them, and other decisions that are fundamentally dependent on player effectiveness. Thus, there is great interest in…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-17 Dapo Omidiran

Identifying key patterns of tactics implemented by rival teams, and developing effective responses, lies at the heart of modern football. However, doing so algorithmically remains an open research challenge. To address this unmet need, we…

Transfer learning is a popular method for tuning pretrained (upstream) models for different downstream tasks using limited data and computational resources. We study how an adversary with control over an upstream model used in transfer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-22 Yulong Tian , Fnu Suya , Anshuman Suri , Fengyuan Xu , David Evans

The online sports gambling industry employs teams of data analysts to build forecast models that turn the odds at sports games in their favour. While several betting strategies have been proposed to beat bookmakers, from expert prediction…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-15 Lisandro Kaunitz , Shenjun Zhong , Javier Kreiner

With the vast amount of data collected on football and the growth of computing abilities, many games involving decision choices can be optimized. The underlying rule is the maximization of an expected utility of outcomes and the law of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-15 Preston Biro , Stephen G. Walker

This study developed a new explainable artificial intelligence algorithm called PassAI, which classifies successful or failed passes in a soccer game and explains its rationale using both tracking and passer's seasonal stats information.…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Ryota Takamido , Jun Ota , Hiroki Nakamoto

We study how humans learn from AI, leveraging an introduction of an AI-powered Go program (APG) that unexpectedly outperformed the best professional player. We compare the move quality of professional players to APG's superior solutions…

General Economics · Economics 2025-01-13 Sukwoong Choi , Hyo Kang , Namil Kim , Junsik Kim

Quantitative analysis of soccer players' passing ability focuses on descriptive statistics without considering the players' real contribution to the passing and ball possession strategy of their team. Which player is able to help the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-12 Laszlo Gyarmati , Rade Stanojevic

Motion prediction in soccer involves capturing complex dynamics from player and ball interactions. We present FootBots, an encoder-decoder transformer-based architecture addressing motion prediction and conditioned motion prediction through…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Guillem Capellera , Luis Ferraz , Antonio Rubio , Antonio Agudo , Francesc Moreno-Noguer

A myriad of different data are generated to characterize a soccer match. Here we discuss which performance indicators are particularly helpful to forecast the future results of a team via an estimation of the underlying team strengths with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-10 Andreas Heuer

Objectively quantifying the value of player actions in football (soccer) is a challenging problem. To date, studies in football analytics have mainly focused on the attacking side of the game, while there has been less work on event-driven…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-04 Charbel Merhej , Ryan Beal , Sarvapali Ramchurn , Tim Matthews