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This work aims at making a comprehensive contribution in the general area of parametric inference for discretely observed diffusion processes. Established approaches for likelihood-based estimation invoke a time-discretisation scheme for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Yuga Iguchi , Alexandros Beskos , Matthew M. Graham

We describe a neural-based method for generating exact or approximate solutions to differential equations in the form of mathematical expressions. Unlike other neural methods, our system returns symbolic expressions that can be interpreted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-16 Maysum Panju , Kourosh Parand , Ali Ghodsi

We introduce the problem of estimation of the parameters of a dynamically selected population in an infinite sequence of random variables and provide its application in the statistical inference based on record values from a non-stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-01 Morteza Amini , Nader Nematollahi

Inference for mechanistic models is challenging because of nonlinear interactions between model parameters and a lack of identifiability. Here we focus on a specific class of mechanistic models, which we term stable differential equations.…

Computation · Statistics 2017-12-13 Philip Maybank , Ingo Bojak , Richard G. Everitt

Turbulent dynamical systems are characterized by nonlinear interactions and stochastic effects that generate coupled statistical quantities, such as non-zero higher-order moments, which are difficult to capture from data with accuracy. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Xingjian Xu , Di Qi , Chunmei Wang

This paper is concerned with the analysis of a new stable space-time finite element method (FEM) for the numerical solution of parabolic evolution problems in moving spatial computational domains. The discrete bilinear form is elliptic on…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-05-14 Stephen Edward Moore

Time-varying linear state-space models are powerful tools for obtaining mathematically interpretable representations of neural signals. For example, switching and decomposed models describe complex systems using latent variables that evolve…

This paper presents a data-driven algorithm for simultaneous system identification and parameter estimation in control-affine nonlinear systems. Parameter estimation is achieved by training a data-driven predictive model using state-action…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Moad Abudia , Opeyemi Owolabi , Joel A. Rosenfeld , Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

Dynamic models of biochemical networks typically consist of sets of non-linear ordinary differential equations involving states (concentrations or amounts of the components of the network) and parameters describing the reaction kinetics.…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2014-03-07 Oana-Teodora Chis , Julio R. Banga , Eva Balsa-Canto

In many areas of systems biology, including virology, pharmacokinetics, and population biology, dynamical systems are commonly used to describe biological processes. These systems can be characterized by estimating their parameters from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-11 Tuan Minh Ha , Binh Thanh Nguyen , Lam Si Tung Ho

When neural networks are used to solve differential equations, they usually produce solutions in the form of black-box functions that are not directly mathematically interpretable. We introduce a method for generating symbolic expressions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-05 Maysum Panju , Ali Ghodsi

We consider a dynamic method, based on synchronization and adaptive control, to estimate unknown parameters of a nonlinear dynamical system from a given scalar chaotic time series. We present an important extension of the method when time…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 Anil Maybhate , R. E. Amritkar

This paper presents a technique for reduced-order Markov modeling for compact representation of time-series data. In this work, symbolic dynamics-based tools have been used to infer an approximate generative Markov model. The time-series…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-28 Devesh K Jha , Nurali Virani , Jan Reimann , Abhishek Srivastav , Asok Ray

Mathematical modelling and numerical simulations of interaction populations are crucial topics in systems biology. The interactions of ecological models may occur among individuals of the same species or individuals of different species.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-09-04 Sarbaz H. A. Khoshnaw

Estimating and quantifying uncertainty in unknown system parameters from limited data remains a challenging inverse problem in a variety of real-world applications. While many approaches focus on estimating constant parameters, a subset of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 Andrea Arnold

Closure modeling - the statistical modeling of missing dynamics in the natural sciences and engineering - is a growing and active area of research. Existing methods for closure modeling are often computationally prohibitive, lack…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Eric Crislip , Mohammad Khalil , Teresa Portone , Oksana Chkrebtii , Kyle Neal

We propose a novel method for fast and scalable evaluation of periodic solutions of systems of ordinary differential equations for a given set of parameter values and initial conditions. The equations governing the system dynamics are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-05-30 I. Yu. Tyukin , A. N. Gorban , T. A. Tyukina , J. Al Ameri , Yu. A. Korablev

Discovering nonlinear differential equations that describe system dynamics from empirical data is a fundamental challenge in contemporary science. Here, we propose a methodology to identify dynamical laws by integrating denoising techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-04 Kevin Egan , Weizhen Li , Rui Carvalho

We study efficient differentially private algorithms for estimating monotone statistics, i.e., statistics that are monotone under the addition of new observations. The starting point for our investigation is subsample-and-aggregate: a…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Gavin Brown , Ephraim Linder , Mahbod Majid , Vikrant Singhal

Ordinary differential equation models are nowadays widely used for the mechanistic description of biological processes and their temporal evolution. These models typically have many unknown and non-measurable parameters, which have to be…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-27 Alejandro F. Villaverde , Dilan Pathirana , Fabian Fröhlich , Jan Hasenauer , Julio R. Banga