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Human decision-making in real-life deviates significantly from the optimal decisions made by fully rational agents, primarily due to computational limitations or psychological biases. While existing studies in behavioral finance have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Penghang Liu , Kshama Dwarakanath , Svitlana S Vyetrenko , Tucker Balch

We study a class of stochastic target games where one player tries to find a strategy such that the state process almost-surely reaches a given target, no matter which action is chosen by the opponent. Our main result is a geometric dynamic…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-03 Bruno Bouchard , Marcel Nutz

We study a decision-maker's problem of finding optimal monetary incentive schemes for retention when faced with agents whose participation decisions (stochastically) depend on the incentive they receive. Our focus is on policies constrained…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-07-31 Daniel Freund , Chamsi Hssaine

We study sequential decision making in environments where rewards are only partially observed, but can be modeled as a function of observed contexts and the chosen action by the decision maker. This setting, known as contextual bandits,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-11 Miroslav Dudík , Dumitru Erhan , John Langford , Lihong Li

We consider the optimal stopping problem consisting in, given a strong Markov process, a reward function and a discount rate, finding the stopping time such that the expected reward at the stopping time is maximum. The approach we follow,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-30 Fabián Crocce

When randomness in demand affects the sales of a product, retailers use dynamic pricing strategies to maximize their profits. In this article, we formulate the pricing problem as a continuous-time stochastic optimal control problem and find…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-13 Asbjørn Nilsen Riseth

From skipped exercise classes to last-minute cancellation of dentist appointments, underutilization of reserved resources abounds. Likely reasons include uncertainty about the future, further exacerbated by present bias. In this paper, we…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-05-11 Hongyao Ma , Reshef Meir , David C. Parkes , Elena Wu-Yan

We study a constrained stochastic control problem with jumps; the jump times of the controlled process are given by a Poisson process. The cost functional comprises quadratic components for an absolutely continuous control and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-04-29 Peter Kratz

In this work, we study the optimal discretization error of stochastic integrals, in the context of the hedging error in a multidimensional It\^{o} model when the discrete rebalancing dates are stopping times. We investigate the convergence,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-19 Emmanuel Gobet , Nicolas Landon

We develop a hyperparameter optimisation algorithm, Automated Budget Constrained Training (AutoBCT), which balances the quality of a model with the computational cost required to tune it. The relationship between hyperparameters, model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-06 Lukas Cironis , Jan Palczewski , Georgios Aivaliotis

In this paper we study the problem of optimally paying out dividends from an insurance portfolio, when the criterion is to maximize the expected discounted dividends over the lifetime of the company and the portfolio contains claims due to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-13 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Pablo Azcue , Nora Muler

We consider a deterministic continuous time model of monopolistic firm, which chooses production and pricing strategies of a single good. Firm's goal is to maximize the discounted profit over infinite time horizon. The no-backlogging…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-01-19 Dmitry B. Rokhlin , Georgii Mironenko

In multi-period stochastic optimization problems, the future optimal decision is a random variable whose distribution depends on the parameters of the optimization problem. We analyze how the expected value of this random variable changes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-28 Bar Light

We formulate an optimal stopping problem for a geometric Brownian motion where the probability scale is distorted by a general nonlinear function. The problem is inherently time inconsistent due to the Choquet integration involved. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-07 Zuo Quan Xu , Xun Yu Zhou

Today's queueing network systems are more rapidly evolving and more complex than those of even a few years ago. The goal of this paper is to study customers' behavior in an unobservable Markovian M/M/1 queue where consumers have to choose…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-11 Tesnim Naceur , Yezekael Hayel

Same-day delivery for e-commerce has become a popular service. Companies usually offer several time delivery options with the earliest one being next hour delivery. Due to tight delivery deadlines and thin margins, companies often find it…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-09 Anatolii Prokhorchuk , Justin Dauwels , Patrick Jaillet

This work addresses the problem of pricing American basket options in a multivariate setting, which includes among others, the Bachelier and the Black-Scholes models. In high dimensions, nonlinear partial differential equation methods for…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-05 Christian Bayer , Juho Häppölä , Raúl Tempone

In this paper we continue investigating the optimal dividend and investment problems under the Sparre Andersen model. More precisely, we assume that the claim frequency is a renewal process instead of a standard compound Poisson process,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-02 Lihua Bai , Jin Ma

This paper studies convergence properties of optimal values and actions for discounted and average-cost Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) with weakly continuous transition probabilities and applies these properties to the stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-21 Eugene A. Feinberg , Mark E. Lewis

We develop a stochastic approximation-type algorithm to solve finite state/action, infinite-horizon, risk-aware Markov decision processes. Our algorithm has two loops. The inner loop computes the risk by solving a stochastic saddle-point…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-05 Wenjie Huang , William B. Haskell