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We present a new approach to the electromagnetic inverse problem that explicitly addresses the ambiguity associated with its ill-posed character. Rather than calculating a single ``best'' solution according to some criterion, our approach…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 David M. Schmidt , John S. George , C. C. Wood

We introduce a framework for estimating causal effects of binary and continuous treatments in high dimensions. We show how posterior distributions of treatment and outcome models can be used together with doubly robust estimators. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-06 Joseph Antonelli , Georgia Papadogeorgou , Francesca Dominici

We derive, in the classical framework of Bayesian sensitivity analysis, optimal lower and upper bounds on posterior values obtained from Bayesian models that exactly capture an arbitrarily large number of finite-dimensional marginals of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-20 Houman Owhadi , Clint Scovel , Tim Sullivan

We consider the problem of global optimization of a function f from very noisy evaluations. We adopt a Bayesian sequential approach: evaluation points are chosen so as to reduce the uncertainty about the position of the global optimum of f,…

We study the inverse problem of recovering the order and the diffusion coefficient of an elliptic fractional partial differential equation from a finite number of noisy observations of the solution. We work in a Bayesian framework and show…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-06-28 Nicolas Garcia Trillos , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for evaluating the effects of changes to real-world systems. Data in these tests may be difficult to collect and outcomes may have high variance, resulting in potentially large measurement error.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-27 Benjamin Letham , Brian Karrer , Guilherme Ottoni , Eytan Bakshy

Particle physics experiments such as those run in the Large Hadron Collider result in huge quantities of data, which are boiled down to a few numbers from which it is hoped that a signal will be detected. We discuss a simple probability…

Applications · Statistics 2011-02-18 A. C. Davison , N. Sartori

We examine the Bayes-consistency of a recently proposed 1-nearest-neighbor-based multiclass learning algorithm. This algorithm is derived from sample compression bounds and enjoys the statistical advantages of tight, fully empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-27 Aryeh Kontorovich , Sivan Sabato , Roi Weiss

Scientific computer simulations cannot represent all scales in realistic applications. To bridge this model-data gap, parameters are injected into models and constrained with noisy data using Bayesian inversion. To reduce the number of…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-22 Arne Bouillon , Oliver R. A. Dunbar

We are often interested in identifying the feasible subset of a decision space under multiple constraints to permit effective design exploration. If determining feasibility required computationally expensive simulations, the cost of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Alma Rahat , Michael Wood

In many applications, smooth processes generate data that is recorded under a variety of observation regimes, such as dense, sparse or fragmented observations that are often contaminated with error. The statistical goal of registering and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-12 James Matuk , Karthik Bharath , Oksana Chkrebtii , Sebastian Kurtek

We address the problem of learning an unknown smooth function and its derivatives from noisy pointwise evaluations under the supremum norm. While classical nonparametric regression provides a strong theoretical foundation, traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Davide Maran , Marcello Restelli

Bayesian methods are developed for the multivariate nonparametric regression problem where the domain is taken to be a compact Riemannian manifold. In terms of the latter, the underlying geometry of the manifold induces certain symmetries…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jean-François Angers , Peter T. Kim

In a Bayesian inverse problem setting, the solution consists of a posterior measure obtained by combining prior belief, information about the forward operator, and noisy observational data. This measure is most often given in terms of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-12 Philipp Wacker

Well-established methods for the solution of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) typically struggle in problems with high-dimensional inputs/outputs. Such difficulties are only amplified in large-scale applications where even…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-10 Constantin Grigo , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

To model modern large-scale datasets, we need efficient algorithms to infer a set of $P$ unknown model parameters from $N$ noisy measurements. What are fundamental limits on the accuracy of parameter inference, given finite signal-to-noise…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-07 Madhu Advani , Surya Ganguli

High-dimensional statistical inference with general estimating equations are challenging and remain less explored. In this paper, we study two problems in the area: confidence set estimation for multiple components of the model parameters,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-28 Jinyuan Chang , Song Xi Chen , Cheng Yong Tang , Tong Tong Wu

The identification of new rare signals in data, the detection of a sudden change in a trend, and the selection of competing models, are among the most challenging problems in statistical practice. These challenges can be tackled using a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-06 Sara Algeri , David A. van Dyk

In this article, we study the binary classification problem with supervised data, in the case where the covariate-to-probability-of-success map is possibly spatially inhomogeneous. We devise nonparametric Bayesian procedures with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Matteo Giordano

Although Bayesian density estimation using discrete mixtures has good performance in modest dimensions, there is a lack of statistical and computational scalability to high-dimensional multivariate cases. To combat the curse of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Ye Wang , Antonio Canale , David Dunson