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The literature on time series of functional data has focused on processes of which the probabilistic law is either constant over time or constant up to its second-order structure. Especially for long stretches of data it is desirable to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-21 Anne van Delft , Michael Eichler

This article develops a periodic version of a time varying parameter fractional process in the stationary region. It is a partial extension of Hosking (1981)'s article which dealt with the case where the coefficients are invariant in time.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-06 Amine Amimour , Karima Belaide

Stationarity is a very common assumption in time series analysis. A vector autoregressive process is stationary if and only if the roots of its characteristic equation lie outside the unit circle, constraining the autoregressive coefficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-18 Sarah E. Heaps

A Bayesian lattice filtering and smoothing approach is proposed for fast and accurate modeling and inference in multivariate non-stationary time series. This approach offers computational feasibility and interpretable time-frequency…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-23 Wenjie Zhao , Raquel Prado

Classical spectral methods are subject to two fundamental limitations: they only can account for covariance-related serial dependencies, and they require second-order stationarity. Much attention has been devoted lately to quantile-based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-19 Stefan Birr , Stanislav Volgushev , Tobias Kley , Holger Dette , Marc Hallin

We consider estimation of covariance matrices and their inverses (a.k.a. precision matrices) for high-dimensional stationary and locally stationary time series. In the latter case the covariance matrices evolve smoothly in time, thus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-07 Xiaohui Chen , Mengyu Xu , Wei Biao Wu

Statistical inference for stochastic processes with time-varying spectral characteristics has received considerable attention in recent decades. We develop a nonparametric test for stationarity against the alternative of a smoothly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Efstathios Paparoditis

In coherent imaging systems, speckle is a signal-dependent noise that visually strongly degrades images' appearance. A huge amount of SAR data has been acquired from different sensors with different wavelengths, resolutions, incidences and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Weiying Zhao , Paul Riot , Charles-Alban Deledalle , Henri Maître , Jean-Marie Nicolas , Florence Tupin

In Das and Politis(2020), a model-free bootstrap(MFB) paradigm was proposed for generating prediction intervals of univariate, (locally) stationary time series. Theoretical guarantees for this algorithm was resolved in Wang and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-17 Yiren Wang , Dimitris N. Politis

We develop a novel asymptotic theory for local polynomial extremum estimators of time-varying parameters in a broad class of nonlinear time series models. We show the proposed estimators are consistent and follow normal distributions in…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-25 Dennis Kristensen , Young Jun Lee

We propose a novel approximate factor model tailored for analyzing time-dependent curve data. Our model decomposes such data into two distinct components: a low-dimensional predictable factor component and an unpredictable error term. These…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-26 Sven Otto , Nazarii Salish

We develop a timescale synthesis-based probabilistic approach for the modeling of locally stationary signals. Inspired by our previous work, the model involves zero-mean, complex Gaussian wavelet coefficients, whose distribution varies as a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-10 Adrien Meynard , Bruno Torrésani

This paper considers nonparametric estimation and inference in first-order autoregressive (AR(1)) models with deterministically time-varying parameters. A key feature of the proposed approach is to allow for time-varying stationarity in…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-04 Donald W. K. Andrews , Ming Li

We consider the problem of inference for non-stationary time series with heavy-tailed error distribution. Under a time-varying linear process framework we show that there exists a suitable local approximation by a stationary process with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Fumiya Akashi , Konstantinos Fokianos , Junichi Hirukawa

In this paper, we establish the partial correlation graph for multivariate continuous-time stochastic processes, assuming only that the underlying process is stationary and mean-square continuous with expectation zero and spectral density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-31 Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Lea Schenk

Functional time series analysis, whether based on time of frequency domain methodology, has traditionally been carried out under the assumption of complete observation of the constituent series of curves, assumed stationary. Nevertheless,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-02 Tomáš Rubín , Victor M. Panaretos

This paper considers the problem of learning, from samples, the dependency structure of a system of linear stochastic differential equations, when some of the variables are latent. In particular, we observe the time evolution of some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-05-02 Ali Jalali , Sujay Sanghavi

Modelling a large bundle of curves arises in a broad spectrum of real applications. However, existing literature relies primarily on the critical assumption of independent curve observations. In this paper, we provide a general theory for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Shaojun Guo , Xinghao Qiao

In unit root testing, a piecewise locally stationary process is adopted to accommodate nonstationary errors that can have both smooth and abrupt changes in second- or higher-order properties. Under this framework, the limiting null…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-02-16 Yeonwoo Rho , Xiaofeng Shao

In geostatistics, it is common to model spatially distributed phenomena through an underlying stationary and isotropic spatial process. However, these assumptions are often untenable in practice because of the influence of local effects in…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-29 Brian J. Reich , Jo Eidsvik , Michele Guindani , Amy J. Nail , Alexandra M. Schmidt
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