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Recent Covid-19 pandemic has demonstrated the need of efficient epidemic outbreak management. We study the optimal control problem of minimizing the fraction of infected population by applying vaccination and treatment control strategies,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Jagtap Kalyani Devendra , Kundan Kandhway

Large-scale crises, including wars and pandemics, have repeatedly shaped human history, and their simultaneous occurrence presents profound challenges to societies. Understanding the dynamics of epidemic spread during warfare is essential…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-23 Adi Shuchami , Teddy Lazebnik

Most epidemic models assume equal mixing among members of a population. An alternative approach is to model a population as random network in which individuals may have heterogeneous connectivity. This paper builds on previous research by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Erik Volz

The design of an efficient curing policy, able to stem an epidemic process at an affordable cost, has to account for the structure of the population contact network supporting the contagious process. Thus, we tackle the problem of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-04 Stefania Ottaviano , Francesco De Pellegrini , Stefano Bonaccorsi , Piet Van Mieghem

Emerging applications in engineering such as crowd-sourcing and (mis)information propagation involve a large population of heterogeneous users or agents in a complex network who strategically make dynamic decisions. In this work, we…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-30 Yezekael Hayel , Quanyan Zhu

can evolve simultaneously. For the information-driven adaptive process, susceptible (infected) individuals who have abilities to recognize the disease would break the links of their infected (susceptible) neighbors to prevent the epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-20 Xiu-Xiu Zhan , Chuang Liu , Gui-Quan Sun , Zi-Ke Zhang

Adaptive populations such as those in financial markets and distributed control can be modeled by the Minority Game. We consider how their dynamics depends on the agents' initial preferences of strategies, when the agents use linear or…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 H. M. Yang , Y. S. Ting , K. Y. Michael Wong

The basic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model is extended to include effects of progressive social awareness, lockdowns and anthropogenic migration. It is found that social awareness can effectively contain the spread by lowering the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-01 R. Bhattacharyya , Partha Konar

We consider the spread of infectious diseases through a Mean Field Game version of a SIR compartmental model with social structure, in which individuals are grouped by their age class and interact together in different settings. In our game…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-14 Louis Bremaud , Denis Ullmo

Evolutionary game theory is a framework to formalize the evolution of collectives ("populations") of competing agents that are playing a game and, after every round, update their strategies to maximize individual payoffs. There are two…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-01-05 Sergey Denisov , Olga Vershinina , Juzar Thingna , Peter Hänggi , Mikhail Ivanchenko

We study the design of decision-making mechanism for resource allocations over a multi-agent system in a dynamic environment. Agents' privately observed preference over resources evolves over time and the population is dynamic due to the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-20 Tao Zhang , Quanyan Zhu

Recent work from public health experts suggests that incorporating human behavior is crucial in faithfully modeling an epidemic. We present a reaction-diffusion partial differential equation SIR-type population model for an epidemic…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Christian Parkinson , Weinan Wang

Long-term evolutionary processes can strongly influence common-pool resource conservation by generating new traits or behaviours that modify the feedback between population strategies and the resource state. Here we develop an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-27 Prosanta Mandal , Suman Chakraborty , Vaibhav Madhok , Sagar Chakraborty

Epidemic risk assessment poses inherent challenges, with traditional approaches often failing to balance health outcomes and economic constraints. This paper presents a data-driven decision support tool that models epidemiological dynamics…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-24 Chang Zhai , Ping Chen , Zhuo Jin , David Pitt

Epidemics are often modelled using non-linear dynamical systems observed through partial and noisy data. In this paper, we consider stochastic extensions in order to capture unknown influences (changing behaviors, public interventions,…

Applications · Statistics 2012-11-06 Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Marc Baguelin

In this paper, we are concerned with two SIS epidemic reaction-diffusion models with mass action infection mechanism of the form $SI$, and study the spatial profile of population distribution as the movement rate of the infected individuals…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Rui Peng , Zhi-an Wang , Guanghui Zhang , Maolin Zhou

In this paper, we study the global dynamics of epidemic network models with standard incidence or mass-action transmission mechanism, when the dispersal of either the susceptible or the infected people is controlled. The connectivity matrix…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Rachidi Salako , Yixiang Wu

We investigate an SIR model of epidemic propagation on networks in the context of mean-field games. In a real epidemic, individuals adjust their behavior depending on the epidemic level and the impact it might have on them in the future.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-27 Louis Bremaud , Olivier Giraud , Denis Ullmo

Distributed estimation that recruits potentially large groups of humans to collect data about a phenomenon of interest has emerged as a paradigm applicable to a broad range of detection and estimation tasks. However, it also presents a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-28 Kewei Chen , Donya Ghavidel , Vijay Gupta , Yih-Fang Huang

Global strategies to contain a pandemic, such as social distancing and protective measures, are designed to reduce the overall transmission rate between individuals. Despite such measures, essential institutions, including hospitals,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-07 Roberto Morán-Tovar , Henning Gruell , Florian Klein , Michael Lässig