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Methods to quantify uncertainty in predictions from arbitrary models are in demand in high-stakes domains like medicine and finance. Conformal prediction has emerged as a popular method for producing a set of predictions with specified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Jessica Hullman , Yifan Wu , Dawei Xie , Ziyang Guo , Andrew Gelman

The discourse on responsible artificial intelligence (AI) regulation is understandably dominated by risk-focused assessments and analyses. This approach reflects the fundamental uncertainty policymakers face when determining appropriate…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Willem Fourie

AI has the potential to augment human decision making. However, even high-performing models can produce inaccurate predictions when deployed. These inaccuracies, combined with automation bias, where humans overrely on AI predictions, can…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Sarah Jabbour , David Fouhey , Nikola Banovic , Stephanie D. Shepard , Ella Kazerooni , Michael W. Sjoding , Jenna Wiens

Assessing an AI system's behavior-particularly in Explainable AI Systems-is sometimes done empirically, by measuring people's abilities to predict the agent's next move-but how to perform such measurements? In empirical studies with humans,…

We identify a fundamental incompatibility between the goals of accuracy, trust, and human-level reasoning in artificial intelligence (AI) systems, for strict mathematical definitions of these notions. We define accuracy of a system as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Rina Panigrahy , Vatsal Sharan

Is explainability a false promise? This debate has emerged from the insufficient evidence that explanations help people in situations they are introduced for. More human-centered, application-grounded evaluations of explanations are needed…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Fateme Hashemi Chaleshtori , Atreya Ghosal , Alexander Gill , Purbid Bambroo , Ana Marasović

A central challenge in AI-assisted decision making is achieving warranted, well-calibrated trust. Both overtrust (accepting incorrect AI recommendations) and undertrust (rejecting correct advice) should be prevented. Prior studies differ in…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Laura Spillner , Rachel Ringe , Robert Porzel , Rainer Malaka

Artificial intelligence (AI) has demonstrated strong potential in clinical diagnostics, often achieving accuracy comparable to or exceeding that of human experts. A key challenge, however, is that AI reasoning frequently diverges from…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Belona Sonna , Alban Grastien

We motivate and outline a programme for a formal theory of measurement of artificial intelligence. We argue that formalising measurement for AI will allow researchers, practitioners, and regulators to: (i) make comparisons between systems…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Elija Perrier

In this paper the theory of semi-bounded rationality is proposed as an extension of the theory of bounded rationality. In particular, it is proposed that a decision making process involves two components and these are the correlation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-05-28 Tshilidzi Marwala

In this paper, we argue for a paradigm shift from the current model of explainable artificial intelligence (XAI), which may be counter-productive to better human decision making. In early decision support systems, we assumed that we could…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Tim Miller

Artificial intelligence (AI) systems have become increasingly popular in many areas. Nevertheless, AI technologies are still in their developing stages, and many issues need to be addressed. Among those, the reliability of AI systems needs…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-11-11 Yili Hong , Jiayi Lian , Li Xu , Jie Min , Yueyao Wang , Laura J. Freeman , Xinwei Deng

Regulatory frameworks for the use of AI are emerging. However, they trail behind the fast-evolving malicious AI technologies that can quickly cause lasting societal damage. In response, we introduce a pioneering Assistive AI framework…

In human-AI decision making, designing AI that complements human expertise has been a natural strategy to enhance human-AI collaboration, yet it often comes at the cost of decreased AI performance in areas of human strengths. This can…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Hasan Amin , Ming Yin , Rajiv Khanna

AI systems increasingly support human decision-making. In many cases, despite the algorithm's superior performance, the final decision remains in human hands. For example, an AI may assist doctors in determining which diagnostic tests to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Gali Noti , Kate Donahue , Jon Kleinberg , Sigal Oren

Whenever a binary classifier is used to provide decision support, it typically provides both a label prediction and a confidence value. Then, the decision maker is supposed to use the confidence value to calibrate how much to trust the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Nina L. Corvelo Benz , Manuel Gomez Rodriguez

The widespread use of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in consequential domains, such as healthcare and parole decision-making systems, has drawn intense scrutiny on the fairness of these methods. However, ensuring fairness is often…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-10 Ninareh Mehrabi , Umang Gupta , Fred Morstatter , Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

Reliable inference requires that artificial intelligence (AI) models provide trustworthy uncertainty estimates, not merely accurate predictions. Recent advances in Bayesian learning have made significant progress toward this goal, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Jiayi Huang

This study empirically examines the "Evaluative AI" framework, which aims to enhance the decision-making process for AI users by transitioning from a recommendation-based approach to a hypothesis-driven one. Rather than offering direct…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-11-14 Jaroslaw Kornowicz

We introduce a novel framework for human-AI collaboration in prediction and decision tasks. Our approach leverages human judgment to distinguish inputs which are algorithmically indistinguishable, or "look the same" to any feasible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-21 Rohan Alur , Loren Laine , Darrick K. Li , Dennis Shung , Manish Raghavan , Devavrat Shah