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We introduce tools for controlled variable selection to economists. In particular, we apply a recently introduced aggregation scheme for false discovery rate (FDR) control to German administrative data to determine the parts of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-24 Sophie-Charlotte Klose , Johannes Lederer

We investigate the robustness of the model-X knockoffs framework with respect to the misspecified or estimated feature distribution. We achieve such a goal by theoretically studying the feature selection performance of a practically…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-06 Yingying Fan , Lan Gao , Jinchi Lv

In the context of high-dimensional Gaussian linear regression for ordered variables, we study the variable selection procedure via the minimization of the penalized least-squares criterion. We focus on model selection where the penalty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-01 Perrine Lacroix , Marie-Laure Martin

We propose a fast and flexible method to scale multivariate return volatility predictions up to high-dimensions using a dynamic risk factor model. Our approach increases parsimony via time-varying sparsity on factor loadings and is able to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-15 Bruno P. C. Levy , Hedibert F. Lopes

Thanks to its fine balance between model flexibility and interpretability, the nonparametric additive model has been widely used, and variable selection for this type of model has been frequently studied. However, none of the existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-10 Xiaowu Dai , Xiang Lyu , Lexin Li

Controlling False Discovery Rate (FDR) while leveraging the side information of multiple hypothesis testing is an emerging research topic in modern data science. Existing methods rely on the test-level covariates while ignoring metrics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-10 Lin Qiu , Nils Murrugarra-Llerena , Vítor Silva , Lin Lin , Vernon M. Chinchilli

This paper develops a framework for testing for associations in a possibly high-dimensional linear model where the number of features/variables may far exceed the number of observational units. In this framework, the observations are split…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-04 Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes

Barber and Candes recently introduced a feature selection method called knockoff+ that controls the false discovery rate (FDR) among the selected features in the classical linear regression problem. Knockoff+ uses the competition between…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-25 Kristen Emery , Uri Keich

We propose a unified theoretical framework for studying the robustness of the model-X knockoffs framework by investigating the asymptotic false discovery rate (FDR) control of the practically implemented approximate knockoffs procedure.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-11 Yingying Fan , Lan Gao , Jinchi Lv , Xiaocong Xu

False discovery rate (FDR) has been widely used as an error measure in large scale multiple testing problems, but most research in the area has been focused on procedures for controlling the FDR based on independent test statistics or the…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-29 Weihua Tang , Cun-Hui Zhang

Controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) is a powerful approach to multiple testing. In many applications, the tested hypotheses have an inherent hierarchical structure. In this paper, we focus on the fixed sequence structure where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-11 Gavin Lynch , Wenge Guo , Sanat K. Sarkar , Helmut Finner

We propose the group knockoff filter, a method for false discovery rate control in a linear regression setting where the features are grouped, and we would like to select a set of relevant groups which have a nonzero effect on the response.…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-12 Ran Dai , Rina Foygel Barber

We consider problems where many, somewhat redundant, hypotheses are tested and we are interested in reporting the most precise rejections, with false discovery rate (FDR) control. This is the case, for example, when researchers are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-23 Paula Gablenz , Chiara Sabatti

Identifying which variables do influence a response while controlling false positives pervades statistics and data science. In this paper, we consider a scenario in which we only have access to summary statistics, such as the values of…

Partial (replication) index tracking is a popular passive investment strategy. It aims to replicate the performance of a given index by constructing a tracking portfolio which contains some constituents of the index. The tracking error…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-15 Yu Zheng , Bowei Chen , Timothy M. Hospedales , Yongxin Yang

The TREX is a recently introduced method for performing sparse high-dimensional regression. Despite its statistical promise as an alternative to the lasso, square-root lasso, and scaled lasso, the TREX is computationally challenging in that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-01 Jacob Bien , Irina Gaynanova , Johannes Lederer , Christian Müller

Multivariate statistics are often available as well as necessary in hypothesis tests. We study how to use such statistics to control not only false discovery rate (FDR) but also positive FDR (pFDR) with good power. We show that FDR can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-05-21 Zhiyi Chi

This paper studies macroeconomic forecasting and variable selection using a folded-concave penalized regression with a very large number of predictors. The penalized regression approach leads to sparse estimates of the regression…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-07 Yoshimasa Uematsu , Shinya Tanaka

In high dimensional variable selection problems, statisticians often seek to design multiple testing procedures that control the False Discovery Rate (FDR), while concurrently identifying a greater number of relevant variables. Model-X…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-25 Taejoo Ahn , Licong Lin , Song Mei

In modern scientific research, the objective is often to identify which variables are associated with an outcome among a large class of potential predictors. This goal can be achieved by selecting variables in a manner that controls the the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-10 Yushu Shi , Michael Martens