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Dynamical phenomena such as infectious diseases are often investigated by following up subjects longitudinally, thus generating time to event data. The spatial aspect of such data is also of primordial importance, as many infectious…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-13 Ajmal Oodally , Estelle Kuhn , Klara Goethals , Luc Duchateau

We study the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) and the Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) models of epidemics, with possibly time-varying rates, on a class of networks that are locally tree-like, which includes sparse…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-22 Juniper Cocomello , Kavita Ramanan

The use of the Monte Carlo technique in a reliable and inexpensive way without the need for a standard radioactive source in determining the detector efficiency is becoming widespread every passing day. It is important to model the detector…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2023-01-18 Esra Uyar , Zeynep Aybüke Günekbay

We introduce a statistical procedure that integrates survival data from multiple biomedical studies, to improve the accuracy of predictions of survival or other events, based on individual clinical and genomic profiles, compared to models…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-20 Steffen Ventz , Rahul Mazumder , Lorenzo Trippa

We propose an extension of the classical susceptible infectious recovered (SIR) model that incorporates the effects of spatial propagation of an epidemic through a small number of additional compartments. The model is designed to capture…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-02 M. Soledad Aronna , Mariana Bergonzi , Ernesto Kofman

In this paper, we propose a modified susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model, in which each node is assigned with an identical capability of active contacts, $A$, at each time step. In contrast to the previous studies, we find that on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Rui Yang , Bing-Hong Wang , Jie Ren , Wen-Jie Bai , Zhi-Wen Shi , Wen-Xu Wang , Tao Zhou

We present an exact analytical solution to a one-dimensional model of the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic type, with infection rates dependent on nearest-neighbor occupations. We use a quantum mechanical approach, transforming…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-30 H. Thomas Williams , Irina Mazilu , Dan Mazilu

Consider a Markovian SIR epidemic model in a homogeneous community. To this model we add a rate at which individuals are tested, and once an infectious individual tests positive it is isolated and each of their contacts are traced and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-08 Dongni Zhang , Tom Britton

We consider a stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) epidemiological model. Through the use of a normal form coordinate transform, we are able to analytically derive the stochastic center manifold along with the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-05-13 Eric Forgoston , Lora Billings , Ira B. Schwartz

We study the impact of model parameter uncertainty on optimally mitigating the spread of epidemics. We capture the epidemic spreading process using a susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) epidemic model and consider testing for isolation as…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-07 Baike She , Shreyas Sundaram , Philip E. Paré

An understanding of the disease spreading phenomenon based on a mathematical model is extremely needed for the implication of the correct policy measures to contain the disease propagation. Here, we report a new model namely the Ising-SIR…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-04 Dipak Patra

The study of causal effects in the presence of unmeasured spatially varying confounders has garnered increasing attention. However, a general framework for identifiability, which is critical for reliable causal inference from observational…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Tommy Tang , Xinran Li , Bo Li

The Seemingly Unrelated Regressions (SUR) model is a wide used estimation procedure in econometrics, insurance and finance, where very often, the regression model contains more than one equation. Unknown parameters, regression coefficients…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-05 Giovanni Saraceno , Fatemah Alqallaf , Claudio Agostinelli

Stochastic compartmental models are important tools for understanding the course of infectious diseases epidemics in populations and in prospective evaluation of intervention policies. However, calculating the likelihood for discretely…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-26 Lam Si Tung Ho , Forrest W. Crawford , Marc A. Suchard

Epidemic models are increasingly used in real-world networks to understand diffusion phenomena (such as the spread of diseases, emotions, innovations, failures) or the transport of information (such as news, memes in social on-line…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-06 Piet Van Mieghem

Image-based sequencing of mRNA makes it possible to see where in a tissue sample a given gene is active, and thus discern large numbers of different cell types in parallel. This is crucial for gaining a better understanding of tissue…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-27 Gabriele Partel , Giorgia Milli , Carolina Wählby

This study focuses on investigating the manner in which a prompt quarantine measure suppresses epidemics in networks. A simple and ideal quarantine measure is considered in which an individual is detected with a probability immediately…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-08-16 Takehisa Hasegawa , Koji Nemoto

Dynamic properties of spreading infection through a heterogeneous population are studied numerically and analytically using a dynamic variant of Watts and Strogatz Small World Network-based stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-28 O. Mosbah , N. Zekri , M. Mokhtari , S. Sahraoui

The successful application of epidemic models hinges on our ability to estimate model parameters from limited observations reliably. An often-overlooked step before estimating model parameters consists of ensuring that the model parameters…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-29 Gerardo Chowell , Sushma Dahal , Yuganthi R. Liyanage , Amna Tariq , Necibe Tuncer

We revisit the classic Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model and one of its nonlocal variations recently developed in \cite{Guan}. We introduce several new approaches to derive exact analytical solutions in the classical…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-06-24 Li , Guan , Dong Li , Ke Wang , Kun Zhao