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New theorems for the moments of the first passage time of one dimensional nonlinear stochastic processes with an entrance boundary are formulated. This important class of one dimensional stochastic processes results among others from…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Leo Dostal , Navaratnam Sri Namachchivaya

We consider the boundary crossing problem for time-homogeneous diffusions and general curvilinear boundaries. Bounds are derived for the approximation error of the one-sided (upper) boundary crossing probability when replacing the original…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-28 A. N. Downes , K. Borovkov

First passage phenomena arise across physics, biology, and finance when stochastic processes first reach a threshold, triggering downstream events. Examples include the irreversible exit from a domain, a biochemical reaction, a financial…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-06 Maria R. D'Orsogna , Alan E. Lindsay , Thomas Hillen

We propose a unifying theoretical framework for the analysis of first-passage time distributions in two important classes of stochastic processes in which the diffusivity of a particle evolves randomly in time. In the first class of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-11-05 D. S. Grebenkov

We consider a Markovian jumping process with two absorbing barriers, for which the waiting-time distribution involves a position-dependent coefficient. We solve the Fokker-Planck equation with boundary conditions and calculate the mean…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-10-16 A. Kamińska , T. Srokowski

In this paper, we establish a relationship between the asymptotic form of conditional boundary crossing probabilities and first passage time densities for diffusion processes. Namely, we show that, under broad assumptions, the first…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-11-18 Konstantin A. Borovkov , Andrew N. Downes

Evaluating the completion time of a random algorithm or a running stochastic process is a valuable tip not only from a purely theoretical, but also pragmatic point of view. In the formal sense, this kind of a task is specified in terms of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-11-24 Przemyslaw Chelminiak

We study the first-passage time (FPT) problem for widespread recurrent processes in confined though large systems and present a comprehensive framework for characterizing the FPT distribution over many time scales. We find that the FPT…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-03-21 Talia Baravi , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

Many problems in physics, biology, and economics depend upon the duration of time required for a diffusing particle to cross a boundary. As such, calculations of the distribution of first passage time, and in particular the mean first…

Biological Physics · Physics 2021-05-26 Matthew J Simpson , Daniel J Vandenheuvel , Joshua M Wilson , Scott W McCue , Elliot J Carr

We solve the first-passage problem for the Heston random diffusion model. We obtain exact analytical expressions for the survival and hitting probabilities to a given level of return. We study several asymptotic behaviors and obtain…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-03-25 Jaume Masoliver , Josep Perello

Many transport processes in ecology, physics and biochemistry can be described by the average time to first find a site or exit a region, starting from an initial position. Typical mathematical treatments are based on formulations that…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Thomas Hillen , Maria R. D'Orsogna , Jacob C. Mantooth , Alan E. Lindsay

We consider the non-equilibrium dynamics of disordered systems as defined by a master equation involving transition rates between configurations (detailed balance is not assumed). To compute the important dynamical time scales in…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-02-15 Cecile Monthus , Thomas Garel

We analyze a modification of the Richards growth model by introducing a time-dependent perturbation in the growth rate. This modification becomes effective at a special switching time, which represents the first-crossing-time of the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-31 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Paola Paraggio , Francisco Torres-Ruiz

Systems where resource availability approaches a critical threshold are common to many engineering and scientific applications and often necessitate the estimation of first passage time statistics of a Brownian motion (Bm) driven by…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-04-05 Annalisa Molini , Peter Talkner , Gabriel G. Katul , Amilcare Porporato

We determine the full distribution and moments of the first passage time for a wide class of stochastic search processes in the limit of frequent stochastic resetting. Our results apply to any system whose short-time behavior of the search…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-22 Samantha Linn , Sean D Lawley

We examine the mean first passage time for a particle driven by highly correlated Gaussian fluctuations to reach one or more predetermined boundaries. We discuss a numerical algorithm to generate power-law correlated fluctuations and apply…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Aldo H. Romero , J. M. Sancho , Katja Lindenberg

We extend the random walk framework to include compounded steps, providing first-passage time (FPT) properties for a new class of superdiffusive processes, which are governed by the space-fractional spectral Fokker-Planck equation. This…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-14 Christopher N. Angstmann , Daniel S. Han , Bruce I. Henry , Boris Z. Huang

We propose a new deterministic growth model which captures certain features of both the Gompertz and Korf laws. We investigate its main properties, with special attention to the correction factor, the relative growth rate, the inflection…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-10-31 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Serena Spina

Motivated by a range of biological applications related to the transport of molecules in cells, we present a modular framework to treat first-passage problems for diffusion in partitioned spaces. The spatial domains can differ with respect…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-04-28 Daniela Frömberg , Felix Höfling

The first passage time for a single diffusing particle has been studied extensively, but the first passage time of a system of many diffusing particles, as is often the case in physical systems, has received little attention until recently.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-11-22 Jacob B. Hass , Ivan Corwin , Eric I. Corwin
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