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Uplift modeling is an emerging machine learning approach for estimating the treatment effect at an individual or subgroup level. It can be used for optimizing the performance of interventions such as marketing campaigns and product designs.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-27 Zhenyu Zhao , Totte Harinen

As a key component in boosting online user growth, uplift modeling aims to measure individual user responses (e.g., whether to play the game) to various treatments, such as gaming bonuses, thereby enhancing business outcomes. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-26 Yuxiang Wei , Zhaoxin Qiu , Yingjie Li , Yuke Sun , Xiaoling Li

Uplift is a particular case of individual treatment effect modeling. Such models deal with cause-and-effect inference for a specific factor, such as a marketing intervention. In practice, these models are built on customer data who…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-03 Belbahri Mouloud , Gandouet Olivier , Kazma Ghaith

Uplift modeling is a causal learning technique that estimates subgroup-level treatment effects. It is commonly used in industry and elsewhere for tasks such as targeting ads. In a typical setting, uplift models can take thousands of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Zhenyu Zhao , Yumin Zhang , Totte Harinen , Mike Yung

Uplift modeling is widely used in performance marketing to estimate effects of promotion campaigns (e.g., increase of customer retention rate). Since it is impossible to observe outcomes of a recipient in treatment (e.g., receiving a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Yao Zhao , Haipeng Zhang , Shiwei Lyu , Ruiying Jiang , Jinjie Gu , Guannan Zhang

Uplift modeling is an area of machine learning which aims at predicting the causal effect of some action on a given individual. The action may be a medical procedure, marketing campaign, or any other circumstance controlled by the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-23 Michał Sołtys , Szymon Jaroszewicz

Uplift modeling is essential for optimizing marketing strategies by selecting individuals likely to respond positively to specific marketing campaigns. This importance escalates in multi-treatment marketing campaigns, where diverse…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-28 Yoon Tae Park , Ting Xu , Mohamed Anany

The goal of uplift modeling is to recommend actions that optimize specific outcomes by determining which entities should receive treatment. One common approach involves two steps: first, an inference step that estimates conditional average…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Simon De Vos , Christopher Bockel-Rickermann , Stefan Lessmann , Wouter Verbeke

Uplift modeling is crucial in various applications ranging from marketing and policy-making to personalized recommendations. The main objective is to learn optimal treatment allocations for a heterogeneous population. A primary line of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-20 Preetam Nandy , Xiufan Yu , Wanjun Liu , Ye Tu , Kinjal Basu , Shaunak Chatterjee

Uplift modeling is a collection of machine learning techniques for estimating causal effects of a treatment at the individual or subgroup levels. Over the last years, causality and uplift modeling have become key trends in personalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Felipe Moraes , Hugo Manuel Proença , Anastasiia Kornilova , Javier Albert , Dmitri Goldenberg

Big data and business analytics are critical drivers of business and societal transformations. Uplift models support a firm's decision-making by predicting the change of a customer's behavior due to a treatment. Prior work examines models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Robin M. Gubela , Stefan Lessmann

Uplift is a particular case of conditional treatment effect modeling. Such models deal with cause-and-effect inference for a specific factor, such as a marketing intervention or a medical treatment. In practice, these models are built on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-12 Mouloud Belbahri , Olivier Gandouet , Alejandro Murua , Vahid Partovi Nia

Uplift modeling comprises a collection of machine learning techniques designed for managers to predict the incremental impact of specific actions on customer outcomes. However, accurately estimating this incremental impact poses significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Junjie Gao , Xiangyu Zheng , DongDong Wang , Zhixiang Huang , Bangqi Zheng , Kai Yang

Uplift modeling has been used effectively in fields such as marketing and customer retention, to target those customers who are more likely to respond due to the campaign or treatment. Essentially, it is a machine learning technique that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-10 Kun Li , Liangshu Zhu

Uplift modeling aims to directly model the incremental impact of a treatment on an individual response. In this work, we address the problem from a new angle and reformulate it as a Markov Decision Process (MDP). We conducted extensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-06 Chenchen Li , Xiang Yan , Xiaotie Deng , Yuan Qi , Wei Chu , Le Song , Junlong Qiao , Jianshan He , Junwu Xiong

Randomized experiments have been used to assist decision-making in many areas. They help people select the optimal treatment for the test population with certain statistical guarantee. However, subjects can show significant heterogeneity in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-05-25 Yan Zhao , Xiao Fang , David Simchi-Levi

Despite recent advancements in offline multi-task reinforcement learning (MTRL) have harnessed the powerful capabilities of the Transformer architecture, most approaches focus on a limited number of tasks, with scaling to extremely massive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Yilun Kong , Guozheng Ma , Qi Zhao , Haoyu Wang , Li Shen , Xueqian Wang , Dacheng Tao

Randomized experiments have been critical tools of decision making for decades. However, subjects can show significant heterogeneity in response to treatments in many important applications. Therefore it is not enough to simply know which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-13 Yan Zhao , Xiao Fang , David Simchi-Levi

This work proposes the M3E2, a multi-task learning neural network model to estimate the effect of multiple treatments. In contrast to existing methods, M3E2 can handle multiple treatment effects applied simultaneously to the same unit,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-09 Raquel Aoki , Yizhou Chen , Martin Ester

In personalized marketing, uplift models estimate incremental effects by modeling how customer behavior changes under alternative treatments. However, real-world data often exhibit biases - such as selection bias, spillover effects, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Yuxuan Yang , Dugang Liu , Yiyan Huang
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