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This paper proposes a referencable pattern of the recovery of the consumption sector, a new dimension to observe and evaluate the intrinsic value of the consumption sector, and proposes the concept of sensory-based consumption and the…

General Economics · Economics 2024-02-14 Wenbo Lyu , Jiayi Zhu , Yunan Ding , Keming Zhang

Energy efficiency gains in production and consumption are undisputed economic and environmental goals. However, potential energy savings derived from efficiency innovations may have short-lasting effects due to increased demand for more…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-25 Marcio Santetti

We show the recovery in consumer spending in the United Kingdom through the second half of 2020 is unevenly distributed across regions. We utilise Fable Data: a real-time source of consumption data that is a highly correlated, leading…

At the peak of the tech bubble, only 0.57% of market valuation comes from dividends in the next year. Taking the ratio of total market value to the value of one-year dividends, we obtain a valuation-based duration of 175 years. In contrast,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-12 Ye Li , Chen Wang

Recently, a stock price model is proposed by A. Mahata et al. [Physica A, 574, 126008 (2021)] to understand the effect of COVID-19 on stock market. It describes V- and L-shaped recovery of the stocks and indices, but fails to simulate the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-26 Anish Rai , Ajit Mahata , Md. Nurujjaman , Sushovan Majhi , Kanish debnath

Inspired by the recent literature on aggregation theory, we aim at relating the long range correlation of the stocks return volatility to the heterogeneity of the investors' expectations about the level of the future volatility. Based on a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Jerome Coulon , Yannick Malevergne

Learning from previously collected datasets of expert data offers the promise of acquiring robotic policies without unsafe and costly online explorations. However, a major challenge is a distributional shift between the states in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Alfredo Reichlin , Giovanni Luca Marchetti , Hang Yin , Ali Ghadirzadeh , Danica Kragic

We decompose the U.S. consumption inequality distributional changes during the COVID-19 phase. Analyzing the Consumption Expenditure Interview Survey data, we decompose observed changes in consumption inequality into components attributable…

General Economics · Economics 2026-05-19 Utkarsh Anand , Xin Liu

We introduce the logistic model of consumption growth, which captures a negative feedback loop preventing an unlimited growth of consumption due to finite biophysical resources of our planet. This simple dynamic model allows for derivation…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-05 Victor E. Gluzberg , Yuri A. Katz

The gain-loss asymmetry, observed in the inverse statistics of stock indices is present for logarithmic return levels that are over $2\%$, and it is the result of the non-Pearson type auto-correlations in the index. These non-Pearson type…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-24 Bulcsú Sándor , Ingve Simonsen , Bálint Zsolt Nagy , Zoltán Néda

Regulators and academics are increasingly interested in the causal effect that algorithmic actions of a digital platform have on consumption. We introduce a general causal inference problem we call the steerability of consumption that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Gary Cheng , Moritz Hardt , Celestine Mendler-Dünner

We analyze the price return distributions of currency exchange rates, cryptocurrencies, and contracts for differences (CFDs) representing stock indices, stock shares, and commodities. Based on recent data from the years 2017--2020, we model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Marcin Wątorek , Jarosław Kwapień , Stanisław Drożdż

In many risk-aware and multi-objective reinforcement learning settings, the utility of the user is derived from the single execution of a policy. In these settings, making decisions based on the average future returns is not suitable. For…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-03 Conor F. Hayes , Mathieu Reymond , Diederik M. Roijers , Enda Howley , Patrick Mannion

We propose a consumption-investment decision model where past consumption peak $h$ plays a crucial role. There are two important consumption levels: the lowest constrained level and a reference level, at which the risk aversion in terms of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-23 Zongxia Liang , Xiaodong Luo , Fengyi Yuan

We study a discrete-time consumption-based capital asset pricing model under expectations-based reference-dependent preferences. More precisely, we consider an endowment economy populated by a representative agent who derives utility from…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-24 Luca De Gennaro Aquino , Xuedong He , Moris Simon Strub , Yuting Yang

The internet has changed the way we live, work and take decisions. As it is the major modern resource for research, detailed data on internet usage exhibits vast amounts of behavioral information. This paper aims to answer the question…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-06-02 Christopher Bockel-Rickermann

Using a rolling windows analysis of filtered and aligned stock index returns from 40 countries during the period 2006-2014, we construct Granger causality networks and investigate the ensuing structure of the relationships by studying…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-05 Stefan Lyocsa , Tomas Vyrost , Eduard Baumohl

Since the beginning of the new millennium, stock markets went through every state from long-time troughs, trade suspensions to all-time highs. The literature on asset pricing hence assumes random processes to be underlying the movement of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-26 Tanya Araújo , Maximilian Göbel

In a continuous time stochastic economy, this paper considers the problem of consumption and investment in a financial market in which the representative investor exhibits a change in the discount rate. The investment opportunities are a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-07-12 Traian A. Pirvu , Huayue Zhang

A continuous-time consumption-investment model with constraint is considered for a small investor whose decisions are the consumption rate and the allocation of wealth to a risk-free and a risky asset with logarithmic Brownian motion…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-06 Zuo Quan Xu , Fahuai Yi
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