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In many scenarios, it is necessary to monitor a complex system via a time-series of observations and determine when anomalous exogenous events have occurred so that relevant actions can be taken. Determining whether current observations are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Alex Mallen , Christoph A. Keller , J. Nathan Kutz

Animal behavior serves as a reliable indicator of the adaptation of organisms to their environment and their overall well-being. Through rigorous observation of animal actions and interactions, researchers and observers can glean valuable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Edoardo Fazzari , Donato Romano , Fabrizio Falchi , Cesare Stefanini

Statistical depth is the act of gauging how representative a point is compared to a reference probability measure. The depth allows introducing rankings and orderings to data living in multivariate, or function spaces. Though widely applied…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-28 George Wynne , Stanislav Nagy

Data depth proves successful in the analysis of multivariate data sets, in particular deriving an overall center and assigning ranks to the observed units. Two key features are: the directions of the ordering, from the center towards the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-26 Claudio Agostinelli

Existing methods for estimating uncertainty in deep learning tend to require multiple forward passes, making them unsuitable for applications where computational resources are limited. To solve this, we perform probabilistic reasoning over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-08 Javier Antorán , James Urquhart Allingham , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

Ordinal embedding aims at finding a low dimensional representation of objects from a set of constraints of the form "item $j$ is closer to item $i$ than item $k$". Typically, each object is mapped onto a point vector in a low dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-26 Aïssatou Diallo , Johannes Fürnkranz

Time series anomaly detection has applications in a wide range of research fields and applications, including manufacturing and healthcare. The presence of anomalies can indicate novel or unexpected events, such as production faults, system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Zahra Zamanzadeh Darban , Geoffrey I. Webb , Shirui Pan , Charu C. Aggarwal , Mahsa Salehi

Approaches for mapping time series to networks have become essential tools for dealing with the increasing challenges of characterizing data from complex systems. Among the different algorithms, the recently proposed ordinal networks stand…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-10-15 Arthur A. B. Pessa , Haroldo V. Ribeiro

As a new method for detecting change-points in high-resolution time series, we apply Maximum Mean Discrepancy to the distributions of ordinal patterns in different parts of a time series. The main advantage of this approach is its…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-19 Mathieu Sinn , Ali Ghodsi , Karsten Keller

Ordinary differential equations (ODE) have been widely used for modeling dynamical complex systems. For high-dimensional ODE models where the number of differential equations is large, it remains challenging to estimate the ODE parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-20 Muye Nanshan , Nan Zhang , Xiaolei Xun , Jiguo Cao

We study the problem of estimating the relative depth order of point pairs in a monocular image. Recent advances mainly focus on using deep convolutional neural networks (DCNNs) to learn and infer the ordinal information from multiple…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-07-28 Ruoxi Deng , Tianqi Zhao , Chunhua Shen , Shengjun Liu

We generalize standard credal set models for imprecise probabilities to include higher order credal sets -- confidences about confidences. In doing so, we specify how an agent's higher order confidences (credal sets) update upon observing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-20 Justus Hibshman , Tim Weninger

The analysis of telemetry data is common in animal ecological studies. While the collection of telemetry data for individual animals has improved dramatically, the methods to properly account for inherent uncertainties (e.g., measurement…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-14 Henry R. Scharf , Mevin B. Hooten , Devin S. Johnson

A new multivariate concept of quantile, based on a directional version of Koenker and Bassett's traditional regression quantiles, is introduced for multivariate location and multiple-output regression problems. In their empirical version,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-25 Marc Hallin , Davy Paindaveine , Miroslav Šiman

In this paper we investigate a quantity called conditional entropy of ordinal patterns, akin to the permutation entropy. The conditional entropy of ordinal patterns describes the average diversity of the ordinal patterns succeeding a given…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-03-10 Valentina A. Unakafova , Anton M. Unakafov , Karsten Keller

The availability of high-throughput parallel methods for sequencing microbial communities is increasing our knowledge of the microbial world at an unprecedented rate. Though most attention has focused on determining lower-bounds on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-09-15 Manuel Lladser , Raúl Gouet , Jens Reeder

The computational complexity of some depths that satisfy the projection property, such as the halfspace depth or the projection depth, is known to be high, especially for data of higher dimensionality. In such scenarios, the exact depth is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-28 Stanislav Nagy , Rainer Dyckerhoff , Pavlo Mozharovskyi

We consider the empirical versions of geometric quantile and halfspace depth, and study their extremal behaviour as a function of the sample size. The objective of this study is to establish connection between the rates of convergence and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Sibsankar Singha , Marie Kratz , Sreekar Vadlamani

Time series forecasting is ubiquitous in the modern world. Applications range from health care to astronomy, and include climate modelling, financial trading and monitoring of critical engineering equipment. To offer value over this range…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-26 Bernardo Pérez Orozco , Gabriele Abbati , Stephen Roberts

The analysis of temporal networks heavily depends on the analysis of time-respecting paths. However, before being able to model and analyze the time-respecting paths, we have to infer the timescales at which the temporal edges influence…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-30 Luka V. Petrović , Anatol Wegner , Ingo Scholtes
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