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We build simple models for the distribution of voting patterns in a group, using the Supreme Court of the United States as an example. The least structured, or maximum entropy, model that is consistent with the observed pairwise…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-30 Edward D. Lee , Chase P. Broedersz , William Bialek

Longitudinal bipartite relational data characterize the evolution of relations between pairs of actors, where actors are of two distinct types and relations exist only between disparate types. A common goal is to understand the temporal…

Inference and learning of graphical models are both well-studied problems in statistics and machine learning that have found many applications in science and engineering. However, exact inference is intractable in general graphical models,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-11-16 Jason K. Johnson , Praneeth Netrapalli , Michael Chertkov

Ising models with pairwise interactions are the least structured, or maximum-entropy, probability distributions that exactly reproduce measured pairwise correlations between spins. Here we use this equivalence to construct Ising models that…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Gasper Tkacik , Elad Schneidman , Michael J Berry , William Bialek

A fundamental aspect of relational data, such as from a social network, is the possibility of dependence among the relations. In particular, the relations between members of one pair of nodes may have an effect on the relations between…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-06 Peter D. Hoff

We consider modeling, inference, and computation for analyzing multivariate binary data. We propose a new model that consists of a low dimensional latent variable component and a sparse graphical component. Our study is motivated by…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-30 Yunxiao Chen , Xiaoou Li , Jingchen Liu , Zhiliang Ying

Social network based information campaigns can be used for promoting beneficial health behaviours and mitigating polarisation (e.g. regarding climate change or vaccines). Network-based intervention strategies typically rely on full…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-29 Matthew Garrod , Nick S. Jones

The focus of this paper is modeling what we call a Social Radar, i.e. a method to estimate the relative influence between social agents, by sampling their opinions and as they evolve, after injecting in the network stubborn agents. The…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Hoi-To Wai , Anna Scaglione , Amir Leshem

We consider an extension of a binary decision model in which nodes make decisions based on influence-biased averages of their neighbors' states, similar to Ising spin glasses with on-site random fields. In the limit where these influences…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-10-01 Andrew Lucas

We propose a covariate-dependent discrete graphical model for capturing dynamic networks among discrete random variables, allowing the dependence structure among vertices to vary with covariates. This discrete dynamic network encompasses…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-19 Lyndsay Roach , Qiong Li , Nanwei Wang , Xin Gao

Spin glass models, such as the Sherrington-Kirkpatrick, Hopfield and Ising models, are all well-studied members of the exponential family of discrete distributions, and have been influential in a number of application domains where they are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-19 Constantinos Daskalakis , Nishanth Dikkala , Ioannis Panageas

We consider the problem of inferring the interactions between a set of N binary variables from the knowledge of their frequencies and pairwise correlations. The inference framework is based on the Hopfield model, a special case of the Ising…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-27 Simona Cocco , Remi Monasson , Vitor Sessak

We develop a model-independent framework to study the dynamics of decision-making in opinion networks for an arbitrary number of agents and an arbitrary number of options. Model-independence means that the analysis is not performed on a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-10 Alessio Franci , Martin Golubitsky , Anastasia Bizyaeva , Naomi Ehrich Leonard

In recent years, Ising prior with the network information for the "in" or "out" binary random variable in Bayesian variable selections has received more and more attentions. In this paper, we discover that even without the informative prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-14 Zaili Fang , Inyoung Kim

Screening before model building is a reasonable strategy to reduce the dimension of regression problems. Sure independence screening is an efficient approach to this purpose. It applies the slope estimate of a simple linear regression as a…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-21 Sheng-Mao Chang

To model the interdependent couplings of multiple topics, we develop a set of rules for opinion updates of a group of agents. The rules are used to design or assign values to the elements of interdependent weighting matrices. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-25 Hyo-Sung Ahn , Quoc Van Tran , Minh Hoang Trinh , Kevin L. Moore , Mengbin Ye , Ji Liu

In many data analyses, each measurement may come with a simple yes/no correction; for example, belonging to one of two populations or being contaminated or not. Ignoring such binary effects may bias the results, while accounting for them…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-13 Marcus Högås , Edvard Mörtsell

Modeling the complex relationships between multiple categorical response variables as a function of predictors is a fundamental task in the analysis of categorical data. However, existing methods can be difficult to interpret and may lack…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Hongru Zhao , Aaron J. Molstad , Adam J. Rothman

We consider the problems of variable selection and estimation in nonparametric additive regression models for high-dimensional data. In recent years, several methods have been proposed to model nonlinear relationships when the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-07 Linn Cecilie Bergersen , Kukatharmini Tharmaratnam , Ingrid K. Glad

We introduce a nonresponse mechanism for multivariate missing data in which each study variable and its nonresponse indicator are conditionally independent given the remaining variables and their nonresponse indicators. This is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-05 Mauricio Sadinle , Jerome P. Reiter