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Managing stock efficiently remains a core issue in modern logistics, where companies must reconcile cost efficiency with dependable service despite unpredictable market conditions. Conventional models often overlook the direct connection…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Tianxiao Sun , Noah Schwarzkopf

Shorting for hedging exposes to risk when the market dynamics is uncertain. Managing uncertainty and risk exposure is key in portfolio management practice. This paper develops a robust framework for dynamic minimum-variance hedging that…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-03 Adele Ravagnani , Mattia Chiappari , Andrea Flori , Piero Mazzarisi , Marco Patacca

We consider an expected utility maximization problem where the utility function is not necessarily concave and the time horizon is uncertain. We establish a necessary and sufficient condition for the optimality for general non-concave…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-14 Christian Dehm , Thai Nguyen , Mitja Stadje

Robo-advisors (RAs) are automated portfolio management systems that complement traditional financial advisors by offering lower fees and smaller initial investment requirements. While most existing RAs rely on static, one-period allocation…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-15 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco

Precise short-term price prediction in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market is critical for informed trading strategies. Although Temporal Fusion Transformers (TFTs) have shown potential, their direct use often struggles in the face of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-16 Arash Peik , Mohammad Ali Zare Chahooki , Amin Milani Fard , Mehdi Agha Sarram

This paper uses simulation-based portfolio optimization to mitigate the left tail risk of the portfolio. The contribution is twofold. (i) We propose the Markov regime-switching GARCH model with multivariate normal tempered stable innovation…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-03 Cheng Peng , Young Shin Kim , Stefan Mittnik

In this paper we propose a problem-driven scenario generation approach to the single-period portfolio selection problem which use tail risk measures such as conditional value-at-risk. Tail risk measures are useful for quantifying potential…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-14 Jamie Fairbrother , Amanda Turner , Stein Wallace

Machine learning (ML) methods have been successfully employed in identifying variables that can predict the equity premium of individual stocks. In this paper, we investigate if ML can also be helpful in selecting variables relevant for…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-22 Guilherme V. Moura , André P. Santos , Hudson S. Torrent

We study a continuous-time portfolio optimization problem under an explicit constraint on the Deviation Conditional Value-at-Risk (DCVaR), defined as the difference between the CVaR and the expected terminal wealth. While the mean-CVaR…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Jérôme Lelong , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , William Thevenot

We consider the optimal allocation of generic resources among multiple generic entities of interest over a finite planning horizon, where each entity generates stochastic returns as a function of its resource allocation during each period.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-28 Yingdong Lu , Siva Theja Maguluri , Mark S. Squillante , Chai Wah Wu

We design a portfolio construction framework and implement an active investment strategy utilizing momentum and trend-following signals across multiple asset classes and asset class risk factors. We quantify the performance of this strategy…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-12 Joseph Lu , Randall R Rojas , Fiona C. Yeung , Patrick D. Convery

This paper studies long term investing by an investor that maximizes either expected utility from terminal wealth or from consumption. We introduce the concepts of a generalized stochastic discount factor (SDF) and of the minimum price to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-12 Dietmar Leisen , Eckhard Platen

The potential of machine learning to automate and control nonlinear, complex systems is well established. These same techniques have always presented potential for use in the investment arena, specifically for the managing of equity…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-18 Evan Hurwitz , Tshilidzi Marwala

In this paper we tackle the problem of dynamic portfolio optimization, i.e., determining the optimal trading trajectory for an investment portfolio of assets over a period of time, taking into account transaction costs and other possible…

We develop a new analysis for portfolio optimisation with options, tackling the three fundamental issues with this problem: asymmetric options' distributions, high dimensionality and dependence structure. To do so, we propose a new…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-10 Jonathan Raimana Chan , Thomas Huckle , Antoine Jacquier , Aitor Muguruza

Within the context of multivariate time series segmentation this paper proposes a method inspired by a posteriori optimal trading. After a normalization step time series are treated channel-wise as surrogate stock prices that can be traded…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-10 Mogens Graf Plessen

This paper explores the effectiveness of high-frequency options trading strategies enhanced by advanced portfolio optimization techniques, investigating their ability to consistently generate positive returns compared to traditional long or…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-19 Sid Bhatia

We introduce a new set of consistent measures of risks, in terms of the semi-invariants of pdf's, such that the centered moments and the cumulants of the portfolio distribution of returns that put more emphasis on the tail the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Y. Malevergne , D. Sornette

The main contribution of the paper is to employ the financial market network as a useful tool to improve the portfolio selection process, where nodes indicate securities and edges capture the dependence structure of the system. Three…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-15 Gian Paolo Clemente , Rosanna Grassi , Asmerilda Hitaj

This study presents the Adaptive Minimum-Variance Portfolio (AMVP) framework and the Adaptive Minimum-Risk Rate (AMRR) metric, innovative tools designed to optimize portfolios dynamically in volatile and nonstationary financial markets.…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-28 Ayush Jha , Abootaleb Shirvani , Ali Jaffri , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi
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