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Generalized linear models (GLMs) are fundamental tools for statistical modeling, with maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) serving as the classical approach for parameter inference. While MLE performs well for canonical GLMs, it can become…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Linglingzhi Zhu , Jonghyeok Lee , Yao Xie

Composite likelihood estimation has an important role in the analysis of multivariate data for which the full likelihood function is intractable. An important issue in composite likelihood inference is the choice of the weights associated…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-15 Davide Ferrari , Chao Zheng

Propensity score methods are widely used for estimating treatment effects from observational studies. A popular approach is to estimate propensity scores by maximum likelihood based on logistic regression, and then apply inverse probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-24 Zhiqiang Tan

Observational epidemiological studies commonly seek to estimate the causal effect of an exposure on an outcome. Adjustment for potential confounding bias in modern studies is challenging due to the presence of high-dimensional confounding,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-29 Susan Ellul , Stijn Vansteelandt , John B. Carlin , Margarita Moreno-Betancur

This paper investigates the estimation of the double autoregressive (DAR) model in the presence of skewed and heavy-tailed innovations. We propose a novel Normal Mixture Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimation (NM-QMLE) method to address the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-30 Zhao Chen , Chen Shi , Christina Dan Wang

We revisit the classical causal inference problem of estimating the average treatment effect in the presence of fully observed confounding variables using two-stage semiparametric methods. In existing theoretical studies of methods such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-23 Steve Yadlowsky

The assumption of log-concavity is a flexible and appealing nonparametric shape constraint in distribution modelling. In this work, we study the log-concave maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of a probability mass function (pmf). We show…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-17 Fadoua Balabdaoui , Hanna Jankowski , Kaspar Rufibach , Marios Pavlides

Maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) and control variate estimators (CVE) have been used in conjunction with known information across sketching algorithms and applications in machine learning. We prove that under certain conditions in an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Keegan Kang , Kerong Wang , Ding Zhang , Rameshwar Pratap , Bhisham Dev Verma , Benedict H. W. Wong

The Reward-Biased Maximum Likelihood Estimate (RBMLE) for adaptive control of Markov chains was proposed to overcome the central obstacle of what is variously called the fundamental "closed-identifiability problem" of adaptive control, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Akshay Mete , Rahul Singh , Xi Liu , P. R. Kumar

The ability to rigorously estimate the failure rates of large language models (LLMs) is a prerequisite for their safe deployment. Currently, however, practitioners often face a tradeoff between expensive human gold standards and potentially…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Minghe Shen , Ananth Balashankar , Adam Fisch , David Madras , Miguel Rodrigues

This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency of the ML estimator and local asymptotic normality for the models under general conditions which allow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Demian Pouzo , Zacharias Psaradakis , Martin Sola

For a multinomial distribution, suppose that we have prior knowledge of the sum of the probabilities of some categories. This allows us to construct a submodel in a full (i.e., no-restriction) model. Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-07 Yo Sheena

The tensor Ising model is a discrete exponential family used for modeling binary data on networks with not just pairwise, but higher-order dependencies. A particularly important class of tensor Ising models are the tensor Curie-Weiss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Somabha Mukherjee , Jaesung Son , Swarnadip Ghosh , Sourav Mukherjee

Score matching estimators have gained widespread attention in recent years partly because they are free from calculating the integral of normalizing constant, thereby addressing the computational challenges in maximum likelihood estimation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-08 Haoqun Cao , Zizhuo Meng , Tianjun Ke , Feng Zhou

Penalized spline smoothing is a popular and flexible method of obtaining estimates in nonparametric regression but the classical least-squares criterion is highly susceptible to model deviations and atypical observations. Penalized spline…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-12 Ioannis Kalogridis , Stefan Van Aelst

We study behavior of the restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimator under a misspecified linear mixed model (LMM) that has received much attention in recent gnome-wide association studies. The asymptotic analysis establishes consistency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-10 Jiming Jiang , Cong Li , Debashis Paul , Can Yang , Hongyu Zhao

We study the maximum smoothed likelihood estimator (MSLE) for interval censoring, case 2, in the so-called separated case. Characterizations in terms of convex duality conditions are given and strong consistency is proved. Moreover, we show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-16 Piet Groeneboom

In this paper, we propose a new semiparametric regression estimator by using a hybrid technique of a parametric approach and a nonparametric penalized spline method. The overall shape of the true regression function is captured by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-17 Takuma Yoshida , Kanta Naito

Variable selection is an old and pervasive problem in regression analysis. One solution is to impose a lasso penalty to shrink parameter estimates toward zero and perform continuous model selection. The lasso-penalized mixture of linear…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-04 Luke R. Lloyd-Jones , Hien D. Nguyen , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

In longitudinal studies, repeated measures are collected over time and hence they tend to be serially correlated. In this paper we consider an extension of skew-normal/independent linear mixed models introduced by Lachos et al. (2010),…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-19 Fernanda L. Schumacher , Victor H. Lachos , Larissa A. Matos
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