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We propose a robust inferential procedure for assessing uncertainties of parameter estimation in high-dimensional linear models, where the dimension $p$ can grow exponentially fast with the sample size $n$. Our method combines the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-19 Tianqi Zhao , Mladen Kolar , Han Liu

In this paper, we study frequentist coverage errors of Bayesian credible sets for an approximately linear regression model with (moderately) high dimensional regressors, where the dimension of the regressors may increase with but is smaller…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-06 Keisuke Yano , Kengo Kato

The factor modeling for high-dimensional time series is powerful in discovering latent common components for dimension reduction and information extraction. Most available estimation methods can be divided into two categories: the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Xinghao Qiao , Zihan Wang , Qiwei Yao , Bo Zhang

We investigate and extend the conformal prediction method due to Vovk,Gammerman and Shafer (2005) to construct nonparametric prediction regions. These regions have guaranteed distribution free, finite sample coverage, without any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-08 Jing Lei , James Robins , Larry Wasserman

In this paper, we consider the nonparametric regression problem with multivariate predictors. We provide a characterization of the degrees of freedom and divergence for estimators of the unknown regression function, which are obtained as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Xi Chen , Qihang Lin , Bodhisattva Sen

In many problems, a sensible estimator of a possibly multivariate monotone function may itself fail to be monotone. We study the correction of such an estimator obtained via projection onto the space of functions monotone over a finite grid…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-06 Ted Westling , Mark van der Laan , Marco Carone

Stochastic structured prediction under bandit feedback follows a learning protocol where on each of a sequence of iterations, the learner receives an input, predicts an output structure, and receives partial feedback in form of a task loss…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-04-24 Artem Sokolov , Julia Kreutzer , Christopher Lo , Stefan Riezler

Hypothesis tests in models whose dimension far exceeds the sample size can be formulated much like the classical studentized tests only after the initial bias of estimation is removed successfully. The theory of debiased estimators can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-22 Jelena Bradic , Mladen Kolar

The regression function is one of the key objects of binary classification, since it not only determines a Bayes optimal classifier, hence, defines an optimal decision boundary, but also encodes the conditional distribution of the output…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-03 Ambrus Tamás , Balázs Csanád Csáji

We propose a general method for constructing confidence intervals and statistical tests for single or low-dimensional components of a large parameter vector in a high-dimensional model. It can be easily adjusted for multiplicity taking…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-24 Sara van de Geer , Peter Bühlmann , Ya'acov Ritov , Ruben Dezeure

The Nadaraya-Watson kernel estimator is among the most popular nonparameteric regression technique thanks to its simplicity. Its asymptotic bias has been studied by Rosenblatt in 1969 and has been reported in a number of related literature.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-31 Samuele Tosatto , Riad Akrour , Jan Peters

Conformal prediction provides a principled framework for constructing predictive sets with finite-sample validity. While much of the focus has been on univariate response variables, existing multivariate methods either impose rigid…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-19 Sacha Braun , Liviu Aolaritei , Michael I. Jordan , Francis Bach

The kernel smoothing with large bandwidth values causes oversmoothing or underfitting in general. However, when irrelevant variables are included, the corresponding large bandwidth values are known to have an effect of shrinking them. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-05 Taku Moriyama

The density weighted average derivative (DWAD) of a regression function is a canonical parameter of interest in economics. Classical first-order large sample distribution theory for kernel-based DWAD estimators relies on tuning parameter…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-16 Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Michael Jansson , Ricardo Masini

We introduce an original method of multidimensional ridge penalization in functional local linear regressions. The nonparametric regression of functional data is extended from its multivariate counterpart, and is known to be sensitive to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-20 Wentian Huang , David Ruppert

Shape constraints (such as non-negativity, monotonicity, convexity) play a central role in a large number of applications, as they usually improve performance for small sample size and help interpretability. However enforcing these shape…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-20 Pierre-Cyril Aubin-Frankowski , Zoltan Szabo

Constrained radial basis function (RBF) regression has recently emerged as a powerful meshless tool for reconstructing continuous velocity fields from scattered flow measurements, particularly in image-based velocimetry. However, existing…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-27 Damien Rigutto , Manuel Ratz , Miguel A. Mendez

A statistical model is said to be calibrated if the resulting mean estimates perfectly match the true means of the underlying responses. Aiming for calibration is often not achievable in practice as one has to deal with finite samples of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Łukasz Delong , Selim Gatti , Mario V. Wüthrich

In this paper, we propose an abstract procedure for debiasing constrained or regularized potentially high-dimensional linear models. It is elementary to show that the proposed procedure can produce $\frac{1}{\sqrt{n}}$-confidence intervals…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Yufei Yi , Matey Neykov

Consider the observation of n iid realizations of an experiment with d>1 possible outcomes, which corresponds to a single observation of a multinomial distribution M(n,p) where p is an unknown discrete distribution on {1,...,d}. In many…

Computation · Statistics 2010-06-15 Djalil Chafai , Didier Concordet