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Convergence properties of empirical risk minimizers can be conveniently expressed in terms of the associated population risk. To derive bounds for the performance of the estimator under covariate shift, however, pointwise convergence rates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-01 Johannes Schmidt-Hieber , Petr Zamolodtchikov

We develop minimax optimal risk bounds for the general learning task consisting in predicting as well as the best function in a reference set G up to the smallest possible additive term, called the convergence rate. When the reference set…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-03-04 Jean-Yves Audibert

When data is collected in an adaptive manner, even simple methods like ordinary least squares can exhibit non-normal asymptotic behavior. As an undesirable consequence, hypothesis tests and confidence intervals based on asymptotic normality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Koulik Khamaru , Yash Deshpande , Tor Lattimore , Lester Mackey , Martin J. Wainwright

We consider non-parametric estimation problems in the presence of dependent data, notably non-parametric regression with random design and non-parametric density estimation. The proposed estimation procedure is based on a dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-02 Nicolas Asin , Jan Johannes

We study in-context learning for nonparametric regression with $\alpha$-H\"older smooth regression functions, for some $\alpha>0$. We prove that, with $n$ in-context examples and $d$-dimensional regression covariates, a pretrained…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 Michelle Ching , Ioana Popescu , Nico Smith , Tianyi Ma , William G. Underwood , Richard J. Samworth

Transfer learning is beneficial for survival analysis, especially when the target study has a limited number of events. However, existing transfer learning methods rely on the restrictive assumption that the target and source studies share…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Yu Gu , Donglin Zeng , D. Y. Lin

Consider nonparametric function estimation under $L^p$-loss. The minimax rate for estimation of the regression function over a H\"older ball with smoothness index $\beta$ is $n^{-\beta/(2\beta+1)}$ if $1\leq p<\infty$ and $(n/\log…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-10 Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

Transfer learning involves taking information and insight from one problem domain and applying it to a new problem domain. Although widely used in practice, theory for transfer learning remains less well-developed. To address this, we prove…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-24 Jake Williams , Abel Tadesse , Tyler Sam , Huey Sun , George D. Montanez

We study adversarial online nonparametric regression with general convex losses and propose a parameter-free learning algorithm that achieves minimax optimal rates. Our approach leverages chaining trees to compete against H{\"o}lder…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-14 Paul Liautaud , Pierre Gaillard , Olivier Wintenberger

The paper deals with asymptotic properties of the adaptive procedure proposed in the author paper (2007) for estimation of unknown nonparametric regression. We prove that this procedure is asymptotically efficient for a quadratic risk. It…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Leonid Galtchouk , Serguey Pergamenshchikov

We address the problem of learning an unknown smooth function and its derivatives from noisy pointwise evaluations under the supremum norm. While classical nonparametric regression provides a strong theoretical foundation, traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Davide Maran , Marcello Restelli

We consider the problem of estimating the expected value of information (the knowledge gradient) for Bayesian learning problems where the belief model is nonlinear in the parameters. Our goal is to maximize some metric, while simultaneously…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-23 Xinyu He , Warren B. Powell

This work is concerned with the estimation of multidimensional regression and the asymptotic behaviour of the test involved in selecting models. The main problem with such models is that we need to know the covariance matrix of the noise to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-20 Joseph Rynkiewicz

Covariate shift occurs when the distribution of input features differs between the training and testing phases. In covariate shift, estimating an unknown function's moment is a classical problem that remains under-explored, despite its…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-01 Zhen Zhang , Xin Liu , Shaoli Wang , Jiaye Teng

A $d$-dimensional nonparametric additive regression model with dependent observations is considered. Using the marginal integration technique and wavelets methodology, we develop a new adaptive estimator for a component of the additive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-07 Christophe Chesneau , Jalal M. Fadili , Bertrand Maillot

A key element in transfer learning is representation learning; if representations can be developed that expose the relevant factors underlying the data, then new tasks and domains can be learned readily based on mappings of these salient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-12-18 Yujia Li , Kevin Swersky , Richard Zemel

Distribution regression seeks to estimate the conditional distribution of a multivariate response given a continuous covariate. This approach offers a more complete characterization of dependence than traditional regression methods.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Rong Tang , Yun Yang

This paper studies a Bayesian approach to non-asymptotic minimax adaptation in nonparametric estimation. Estimating an input function on the basis of output functions in a Gaussian white-noise model is discussed. The input function is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-30 Keisuke Yano , Fumiyasu Komaki

Many existing two-phase kernel-based hypothesis transfer learning algorithms employ the same kernel regularization across phases and rely on the known smoothness of functions to obtain optimality. Therefore, they fail to adapt to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-26 Haotian Lin , Matthew Reimherr

Transfer learning has recently shown significant performance across various tasks involving deep neural networks. In these transfer learning scenarios, the prior distribution for downstream data becomes crucial in Bayesian model averaging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Hyungi Lee , Giung Nam , Edwin Fong , Juho Lee