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We consider nonparametric estimation of a regression function for a situation where precisely measured predictors are used to estimate the regression curve for coarsened, that is, less precise or contaminated predictors. Specifically, while…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall , Hans-Georg Müller

We derive explicit central moment inequalities for random variables that admit a Stein coupling, such as exchangeable pairs, size--bias couplings or local dependence, among others. The bounds are in terms of moments (not necessarily…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-07 A. D. Barbour , Nathan Ross , Yuting Wen

In the McLerran-Venugopalan model, correlators of Wilson lines are given by an average over a Gaussian ensemble of random color sources. In numerical implementations, these averages are approximated by a Monte-Carlo sampling. In this paper,…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-11-22 Francois Gelis , Naoto Tanji

We study concentration in spectral norm of nonparametric estimates of correlation matrices. We work within the confine of a Gaussian copula model. Two nonparametric estimators of the correlation matrix, the sine transformations of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-26 Ritwik Mitra , Cun-Hui Zhang

We consider an RCAR$(p)$ process and we establish that the standard estimation lacks consistency as soon as there exists a nonzero serial correlation in the coefficients. We give the correct asymptotic behavior and some simulations come to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Frédéric Proïa , Marius Soltane

We study the problem of high-dimensional covariance estimation under the constraint that the partial correlations are nonnegative. The sign constraints dramatically simplify estimation: the Gaussian maximum likelihood estimator is well…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-31 Jake A. Soloff , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Michael I. Jordan

In this work we show a Bayesian quantile regression method to response variables with mixed discrete-continuous distribution with a point mass at zero, where these observations are believed to be left censored or true zeros. We combine the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-19 Bruno Santos , Heleno Bolfarine

Although complete randomization ensures covariate balance on average, the chance for observing significant differences between treatment and control covariate distributions increases with many covariates. Rerandomization discards…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-15 Xinran Li , Peng Ding , Donald B. Rubin

This paper considers a distributionally robust chance constraint model with a general ambiguity set. We show that a sample based approximation of this model converges under suitable sufficient conditions. We also show that upper and lower…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Jiaqi Lei , Sanjay Mehrotra

We propose new concentration inequalities for self-normalized martingales. The main idea is to introduce a suitable weighted sum of the predictable quadratic variation and the total quadratic variation of the martingale. It offers much more…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Bernard Bercu , Taieb Touati

In observational causal inference, exact covariate matching plays two statistical roles: (i) it effectively controls for bias due to measured confounding; (ii) it justifies assumption-free inference based on randomization tests. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Kevin Guo , Dominik Rothenhäusler

We revisit the problem of estimating the mean of a real-valued distribution, presenting a novel estimator with sub-Gaussian convergence: intuitively, "our estimator, on any distribution, is as accurate as the sample mean is for the Gaussian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-18 Jasper C. H. Lee , Paul Valiant

The general relationship between an arbitrary frequency distribution and the expectation value of the frequency distributions of its samples is discussed. A wide set of measurable quantities ("invariant moments") whose expectation value…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-15 Paolo Rossi

The standard central limit theorem with a Gaussian attractor for the sum of independent random variables may lose its validity in presence of strong correlations between the added random contributions. Here, we study this problem for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-06-14 Adrian A. Budini

In Bayesian inference, we seek to compute information about random variables such as moments or quantiles on the basis of {available data} and prior information. When the distribution of random variables is {intractable}, Monte Carlo (MC)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Alec Koppel , Amrit Singh Bedi , Brian M. Sadler , Victor Elvira

Sensitivity analysis is widely used to assess the robustness of causal conclusions in observational studies, yet its interaction with the structure of measured covariates is often overlooked. When latent confounders cannot be directly…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-17 Abhinandan Dalal , Iris Horng , Yang Feng , Dylan S. Small

We construct a novel estimator for the diffusion coefficient of the limiting homogenized equation, when observing the slow dynamics of a multiscale model, in the case when the slow dynamics are of bounded variation. Previous research…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Theodoros Manikas , Anastasia Papavasiliou

Not a matter of serious contention, Pearson's correlation coefficient is still the most important statistical association measure. Restricted to just two variables, this measure sometimes doesn't live up to users' needs and expectations.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-02 Reza Salimi , Kamran Pakizeh

Non-deterministic measurements are common in real-world scenarios: the performance of a stochastic optimization algorithm or the total reward of a reinforcement learning agent in a chaotic environment are just two examples in which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-31 Etor Arza , Josu Ceberio , Ekhiñe Irurozki , Aritz Pérez

A concentration result for quadratic form of independent subgaussian random variables is derived. If the moments of the random variables satisfy a "Bernstein condition", then the variance term of the Hanson-Wright inequality can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-28 Pierre C Bellec
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