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Accurately estimating the proportion of true signals among a large number of variables is crucial for enhancing the precision and reliability of scientific research. Traditional signal proportion estimators often assume independence among…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Jingtian Bai , Xinge Jessie Jeng

Approximate message passing (AMP) is a class of low-complexity, scalable algorithms for solving high-dimensional linear regression tasks where one wishes to recover an unknown signal from noisy, linear measurements. AMP is an iterative…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-08-27 Yanting Ma , Cynthia Rush , Dror Baron

We provide a statistical analysis of regularization-based continual learning on a sequence of linear regression tasks, with emphasis on how different regularization terms affect the model performance. We first derive the convergence rate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Xuyang Zhao , Huiyuan Wang , Weiran Huang , Wei Lin

Quantifying the data uncertainty in learning tasks is often done by learning a prediction interval or prediction set of the label given the input. Two commonly desired properties for learned prediction sets are \emph{valid coverage} and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Yu Bai , Song Mei , Huan Wang , Yingbo Zhou , Caiming Xiong

Biomedical studies that use electronic health records (EHR) data for inference are often subject to bias due to measurement error. The measurement error present in EHR data is typically complex, consisting of errors of unknown functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-16 Eric J. Oh , Bryan E. Shepherd , Thomas Lumley , Pamela A. Shaw

This paper is concerned with the problem of reconstructing an unknown rank-one matrix with prior structural information from noisy observations. While computing the Bayes-optimal estimator seems intractable in general due to its nonconvex…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-08 Gen Li , Wei Fan , Yuting Wei

Covariance regression analysis is an approach to linking the covariance of responses to a set of explanatory variables $X$, where $X$ can be a vector, matrix, or tensor. Most of the literature on this topic focuses on the "Fixed-$X$"…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Tao Zou , Wei Lan , Runze Li , Chih-Ling Tsai

Approximate Message Passing (AMP) algorithms are a class of iterative procedures for computationally-efficient estimation in high-dimensional inference and estimation tasks. Due to the presence of an 'Onsager' correction term in its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-02 Collin Cademartori , Cynthia Rush

Commonly, AI or machine learning (ML) models are evaluated on benchmark datasets. This practice supports innovative methodological research, but benchmark performance can be poorly correlated with performance in real-world applications -- a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Olivier Binette , Jerome P. Reiter

In designing personalized ranking algorithms, it is desirable to encourage a high precision at the top of the ranked list. Existing methods either seek a smooth convex surrogate for a non-smooth ranking metric or directly modify updating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-15 Kuan Liu , Prem Natarajan

In this work, we revisit the problem of active sequential prediction-powered mean estimation, where at each round one must decide the query probability of the ground-truth label upon observing the covariates of a sample. Furthermore, if the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Maria-Eleni Sfyraki , Jun-Kun Wang

This article is an extended version of previous work of the authors [40, 41] on low-rank matrix estimation in the presence of constraints on the factors into which the matrix is factorized. Low-rank matrix factorization is one of the basic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-28 Thibault Lesieur , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

We study the estimation of a high dimensional approximate factor model in the presence of both cross sectional dependence and heteroskedasticity. The classical method of principal components analysis (PCA) does not efficiently estimate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-01 Jushan Bai , Yuan Liao

In this paper, we study the trace regression when a matrix of parameters B* is estimated via the convex relaxation of a rank-regularized regression or via regularized non-convex optimization. It is known that these estimators satisfy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-31 Nima Hamidi , Mohsen Bayati

This paper introduces a kernel discrepancy-based framework for rerandomization to enhance the precision of causal inference in controlled experiments. We demonstrate that the kernel discrepancy is the key part of the variance upper bound…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-05 Yiou Li , Lulu Kang

This paper focuses on reinforcement learning (RL) with limited prior knowledge. In the domain of swarm robotics for instance, the expert can hardly design a reward function or demonstrate the target behavior, forbidding the use of both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-08-07 Riad Akrour , Marc Schoenauer , Michèle Sebag

In healthcare applications, predictive uncertainty has been used to assess predictive accuracy. In this paper, we demonstrate that predictive uncertainty estimated by the current methods does not highly correlate with prediction error by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-08 Shi Hu , Nicola Pezzotti , Max Welling

Approximate message passing (AMP) refers to a class of efficient algorithms for statistical estimation in high-dimensional problems such as compressed sensing and low-rank matrix estimation. This paper analyzes the performance of AMP in the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-23 Cynthia Rush , Ramji Venkataramanan

In this paper, we introduce a class of improved estimators for the mean parameter matrix of a multivariate normal distribution with an unknown variance-covariance matrix. In particular, the main results of [D.Ch\'etelat and M. T.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-25 Arash A. Foroushani , Severien Nkurunziza

Autoregressive Recurrent Neural Networks are widely employed in time-series forecasting tasks, demonstrating effectiveness in univariate and certain multivariate scenarios. However, their inherent structure does not readily accommodate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Gareth Davies