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This paper explores and develops alternative statistical representations and estimation approaches for dynamic mortality models. The framework we adopt is to reinterpret popular mortality models such as the Lee-Carter class of models in a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-04 Man Chung Fung , Gareth W. Peters , Pavel V. Shevchenko

Recently, we have shown that the age-specific prevalence of a disease can be related to the transition rates in the illness-death model via a partial differential equation (PDE). In case of a chronic disease, we show that the PDE can be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-29 Ralph Brinks

In this paper, we present a generalized estimating equations based estimation approach and a variable selection procedure for single-index models when the observed data are clustered. Unlike the case of independent observations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-08 Peng Lai , Qihua Wang , Heng Lian

We investigate joint modeling of longevity trends using the spatial statistical framework of Gaussian Process regression. Our analysis is motivated by the Human Mortality Database (HMD) that provides unified raw mortality tables for nearly…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-06 Nhan Huynh , Mike Ludkovski

In this article, we study a partially linear single-index model for longitudinal data under a general framework which includes both the sparse and dense longitudinal data cases. A semiparametric estimation method based on a combination of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-31 Jia Chen , Degui Li , Hua Liang , Suojin Wang

Clustered and longitudinal data are pervasive in scientific studies, from prenatal health programs to clinical trials and public health surveillance. Such data often involve non-Gaussian responses--including binary, categorical, and count…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-19 Yibo Wang , Chenlei Leng , Cheng Yong Tang

The generalized exponential distribution is a well-known probability model in lifetime data analysis and several other research areas, including precipitation modeling. Despite having broad applications for independently and identically…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-10 Arijit Dey , Arnab Hazra

To capture the death rates and strong weekly, biweekly and probably monthly patterns in the Canada COVID-19, we utilize the generalized additive models in the absence of direct statistically based measurement of infection rates. By…

Applications · Statistics 2020-08-04 Farzali Izadi

Age-specific mortality rates are often disaggregated by different attributes, such as sex, state, ethnic group and socioeconomic status. In making social policies and pricing annuity at national and subnational levels, it is important not…

Applications · Statistics 2017-05-24 Han Lin Shang , Steven Haberman

Clustered binary data with a large number of covariates have become increasingly common in many scientific disciplines. This paper develops an asymptotic theory for generalized estimating equations (GEE) analysis of clustered binary data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-10 Lan Wang

Although traditional literature on mortality modeling has focused on single countries in isolation, recent contributions have progressively moved toward joint models for multiple countries. Besides favoring borrowing of information to…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-08 Giovanni Romanò , Emanuele Aliverti , Daniele Durante

Powerful array-based single-nucleotide polymorphism--typing platforms have recently heralded a new era in which genome-wide studies are conducted with increasing frequency. A genetic polymorphism associated with population pharmacokinetics…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-15 Kengo Nagashima , Yasunori Sato , Hisashi Noma , Chikuma Hamada

Background: True cognitive longitudinal decline can be obscured by repeated testing, which is called practice effects (PEs). We developed a modeling framework that aligns participants by baseline and estimates visit-specific PEs…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Y. Xu , T. Wu , A. Van Dyne , E. Lee , L. Eyler , X. Tu

I present three types of applications of generalized additive models (GAMs) to COVID-19 mortality rates in the US for the purpose of advancing methods to document inequities with respect to which communities suffered disproportionate…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-01 Christian Testa

We develop a flexible Gaussian Process (GP) framework for learning the covariance structure of Age- and Year-specific mortality surfaces. Utilizing the additive and multiplicative structure of GP kernels, we design a genetic programming…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-20 Mike Ludkovski , Jimmy Risk

Existing mortality forecasting methods focus on age-specific mortality rates, which lie in an unconstrained space and overlook the distributional nature of life-table death counts. Few studies have developed and compared forecasting methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Han Lin Shang , Cristian F. Jiménez-Varón

Model averaging combines forecasts obtained from a range of models, and it often produces more accurate forecasts than a forecast from a single model. The crucial part of forecast accuracy improvement in using the model averaging lies in…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-01 Han Lin Shang , Steven Haberman

An essential input of annuity pricing is the future retiree mortality. From observed age-specific mortality data, modeling and forecasting can be taken place in two routes. On the one hand, we can first truncate the available data to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-21 Han Lin Shang , Steven Haberman

The determination of the shapes of mortality curves, the estimation and projection of mortality patterns over time, and the investigation of differences in mortality patterns across different small underdeveloped populations have received…

Aggregated Relational Data (ARD) contain summary information about individual social networks and are widely used to estimate social network characteristics and the size of populations of interest. Although a variety of ARD estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Ian Laga , Benjamin Vogel , Jieyun Wang , Anna Smith , Owen Ward