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A class of discrete distributions can be derived from stationary renewal processes. They have the useful property that the mean is a simple function of the model parameters. Thus regressions of the distribution mean on covariates can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-01 Rose Baker

We extend conformal prediction methodology beyond the case of exchangeable data. In particular, we show that a weighted version of conformal prediction can be used to compute distribution-free prediction intervals for problems in which the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-08 Ryan J. Tibshirani , Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas

We present some properties of a Cauchy family of distributions on the sphere, which is a spherical extension of the wrapped Cauchy family on the circle. The spherical Cauchy family is closed under the M\"obius transformation on the sphere…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-23 Shogo Kato , Peter McCullagh

Circular and non-flat data distributions are prevalent across diverse domains of data science, yet their specific geometric structures often remain underutilized in machine learning frameworks. A principled approach to accounting for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Thibault de Surrel , Fabien Lotte , Sylvain Chevallier , Florian Yger

This paper introduces a new class of Cox models for dependent bivariate data. The impact of the covariate on the dependence of the variables is captured through the modification of their copula. Various classes of well known copulas are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-07-26 Mohamed Achibi , Michel Broniatowski

Variational inference (VI) has become a widely used approach for scalable Bayesian inference, but its performance strongly depends on the flexibility of the chosen variational family. In this work, we propose a novel variational family that…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Giovanni Piccirilli , Aluísio Pinheiro

In this paper, we propose cylindrical distributions obtained by combining the sine-skewed von Mises distribution (circular part) with the Weibull distribution (linear part). This new model, the WeiSSVM, enjoys numerous advantages: simple…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-01 Toshihiro Abe , Christophe Ley

Modelling multivariate circular time series is considered. The cross-sectional and serial dependence is described by circulas, which are analogs of copulas for circular distributions. In order to obtain a simple expression of the dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-23 Hiroaki Ogata

A powerful tool for the analysis of nonrandomized observational studies has been the potential outcomes model. Utilization of this framework allows analysts to estimate average treatment effects. This article considers the situation in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-31 Debashis Ghosh , Efrén Cruz-Cortés

A folded type model is developed for analyzing compositional data. The proposed model involves an extension of the $\alpha$-transformation for compositional data and provides a new and flexible class of distributions for modeling data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-27 Michail Tsagris , Connie Stewart

Variable selection for structured covariates lying on an underlying known graph is a problem motivated by practical applications, and has been a topic of increasing interest. However, most of the existing methods may not be scalable to high…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-27 Changgee Chang , Suprateek Kundu , Qi Long

This work studies the distributionally robust evaluation of expected values over temporal data. A set of alternative measures is characterized by the causal optimal transport. We prove the strong duality and recast the causality constraint…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-18 Bingyan Han

Generalized additive models for location, scale and shape (GAMLSS) are a popular extension to mean regression models where each parameter of an arbitrary distribution is modelled through covariates. While such models have been developed for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-02 Lucas Kock , Nadja Klein

Regression models describing the joint distribution of multivariate response variables conditional on covariate information have become an important aspect of contemporary regression analysis. However, a limitation of such models is that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-27 Nadja Klein , Torsten Hothorn , Luisa Barbanti , Thomas Kneib

Although the specification of bivariate probability models using a collection of assumed conditional distributions is not a novel concept, it has received considerable attention in the last decade. In this study, a bivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-20 Indranil Ghosh , Mina Norouzirad , Filipe J. Marques

The Riemannian geometry of covariance matrices has been essential to several successful applications, in computer vision, biomedical signal and image processing, and radar data processing. For these applications, an important ongoing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-15 Salem Said , Hatem Hajri , Lionel Bombrun , Baba C. Vemuri

Computational protein design facilitates discovery of novel proteins with prescribed structure and functionality. Exciting designs were recently reported using novel data-driven methodologies that can be roughly divided into two categories:…

Biological Physics · Physics 2023-03-28 Cyril Malbranke , David Bikard , Simona Cocco , Rémi Monasson , Jérôme Tubiana

Categorical data are often observed as counts resulting from a fixed number of trials in which each trial consists of making one selection from a prespecified set of categories. The multinomial distribution serves as a standard model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-19 Darcy Steeg Morris , Andrew M. Raim , Kimberly F. Sellers

We propose a new bivariate symmetric copula with positive and negative dependence properties. The main features of the proposed copula are its simple mathematical structure, wider dependence range compared to FGM copula and its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-29 Swaroop Georgy Zachariah , Mohd. Arshad , Ashok Kumar Pathak

Aggregating multiple effects is often encountered in large-scale data analysis where the fraction of significant effects is generally small. Many existing methods cannot handle it effectively because of lack of computational accuracy for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-03 Mingya Long , Zhengbang Li , Wei Zhang , Qizhai Li