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Probabilistic classifiers output confidence scores along with their predictions, and these confidence scores should be calibrated, i.e., they should reflect the reliability of the prediction. Confidence scores that minimize standard metrics…

In learning tasks with label noise, improving model robustness against overfitting is a pivotal challenge because the model eventually memorizes labels, including the noisy ones. Identifying the samples with noisy labels and preventing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Reihaneh Torkzadehmahani , Reza Nasirigerdeh , Daniel Rueckert , Georgios Kaissis

The last decade's research in artificial intelligence had a significant impact on the advance of autonomous driving. Yet, safety remains a major concern when it comes to deploying such systems in high-risk environments. The objective of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-16 Charles Corbière

Cognitive diagnosis is a crucial task in computational education, aimed at evaluating students' proficiency levels across various knowledge concepts through exercises. Current models, however, primarily rely on students' answered exercises,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Haiping Ma , Changqian Wang , Hengshu Zhu , Shangshang Yang , Xiaoming Zhang , Xingyi Zhang

Deep learning architectures have proved versatile in a number of drug discovery applications, including the modelling of in vitro compound activity. While controlling for prediction confidence is essential to increase the trust,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-23 Isidro Cortes-Ciriano , Andreas Bender

The ability of Large Language Models (LLMs) to use external tools unlocks powerful real-world interactions, making rigorous evaluation essential. However, current benchmarks primarily report final accuracy, revealing what models can do but…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Qihao Wang , Yue Hu , Mingzhe Lu , Jiayue Wu , Yanbing Liu , Yuanmin Tang

LLMs enable qualitative coding at large scale, but assessing reliability remains challenging where human experts seldom agree. We investigate confidence-diversity calibration as a quality assessment framework for accessible coding tasks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Zhilong Zhao , Yindi Liu

Reliable inference requires that artificial intelligence (AI) models provide trustworthy uncertainty estimates, not merely accurate predictions. Recent advances in Bayesian learning have made significant progress toward this goal, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Jiayi Huang

Cognitive Diagnosis (CD) has become a critical task in AI-empowered education, supporting personalized learning by accurately assessing students' cognitive states. However, traditional CD models often struggle in cold-start scenarios due to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Yu He , Zihan Yao , Chentao Song , Tianyu Qi , Jun Liu , Ming Li , Qing Huang

Most Recommender Systems (RecSys) do not provide an indication of confidence in their decisions. Therefore, they do not distinguish between recommendations of which they are certain, and those where they are not. Existing confidence methods…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Norman Knyazev , Harrie Oosterhuis

Effective learning support requires understanding not only what learners know but also how accurately they perceive their own understanding. This metacognitive dimension, known as knowledge monitoring, fundamentally influences…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Gen Li , Li Chen , Cheng Tang , Boxuan Ma , Yuncheng Jiang , Daisuke Deguchi , Takayoshi Yamashita , Atsushi Shimada

Knowledge distillation (KD) has received much attention due to its success in compressing networks to allow for their deployment in resource-constrained systems. While the problem of adversarial robustness has been studied before in the KD…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Tom A. Lamb , Rudy Brunel , Krishnamurthy DJ Dvijotham , M. Pawan Kumar , Philip H. S. Torr , Francisco Eiras

A safe and trustworthy use of Large Language Models (LLMs) requires an accurate expression of confidence in their answers. We propose a novel Reinforcement Learning approach that allows to directly fine-tune LLMs to express calibrated…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-03 David Bani-Harouni , Chantal Pellegrini , Paul Stangel , Ege Özsoy , Kamilia Zaripova , Nassir Navab , Matthias Keicher

Reliable confidence estimation for the predictions is important in many safety-critical applications. However, modern deep neural networks are often overconfident for their incorrect predictions. Recently, many calibration methods have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Fei Zhu , Zhen Cheng , Xu-Yao Zhang , Cheng-Lin Liu

A key aspect of human cognition is metacognition - the ability to assess one's own knowledge and judgment reliability. While deep learning models can express confidence in their predictions, they often suffer from poor calibration, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-12 Le Tuan Minh Trinh , Le Minh Vu Pham , Thi Minh Anh Pham , An Duc Nguyen

To overcome the imbalanced multimodal learning problem, where models prefer the training of specific modalities, existing methods propose to control the training of uni-modal encoders from different perspectives, taking the inter-modal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Yake Wei , Siwei Li , Ruoxuan Feng , Di Hu

In educational technology and learning sciences, there are multiple uses for a predictive model of whether a student will perform a task correctly or not. For example, an intelligent tutoring system may use such a model to estimate whether…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-01-13 April Galyardt , Ilya Goldin

Automatic dialogue coherence evaluation has attracted increasing attention and is crucial for developing promising dialogue systems. However, existing metrics have two major limitations: (a) they are mostly trained in a simplified two-level…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Zheng Ye , Liucun Lu , Lishan Huang , Liang Lin , Xiaodan Liang

Despite the general assumption that completely locked-in state (CLIS) patients remain conscious and aware of their environment, the effectiveness of brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) in facilitating communication has been limited, as…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-30 Nicoli Leal , Rute Bettencourt , Urbano J. Nunes , Gabriel Pires

This paper proposes the use of "multicalibration" to yield interpretable and reliable confidence scores for outputs generated by large language models (LLMs). Multicalibration asks for calibration not just marginally, but simultaneously…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-09 Gianluca Detommaso , Martin Bertran , Riccardo Fogliato , Aaron Roth