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Recent work in synthetic data generation in the time-series domain has focused on the use of Generative Adversarial Networks. We propose a novel architecture for synthetically generating time-series data with the use of Variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-08 Abhyuday Desai , Cynthia Freeman , Zuhui Wang , Ian Beaver

The rapid expansion of cross-border e-commerce (CBEC) has created significant opportunities for small- and medium-sized sellers, yet financing remains a critical challenge due to their limited credit histories. Third-party logistics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-08 Qingkai Zhang , L. Jeff Hong , Houmin Yan

The synthesis of product design concepts stands at the crux of early-phase development processes for technical products, traditionally posing an intricate interdisciplinary challenge. The application of deep learning methods, particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-22 Phillip Mueller , Lars Mikelsons

We construct realistic equity option market simulators based on generative adversarial networks (GANs). We consider recurrent and temporal convolutional architectures, and assess the impact of state compression. Option market simulators are…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-21 Magnus Wiese , Lianjun Bai , Ben Wood , Hans Buehler

Modelling in finance is a challenging task: the data often has complex statistical properties and its inner workings are largely unknown. Deep learning algorithms are making progress in the field of data-driven modelling, but the lack of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-07 Florian Eckerli , Joerg Osterrieder

This paper provides an insight to the time-varying dynamics of the shape of the distribution of financial return series by proposing an exponential weighted moving average model that jointly estimates volatility, skewness and kurtosis over…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-08 A. Gabrielsen , P. Zagaglia , A. Kirchner , Z. Liu

Conditional Generative Adversarial Networks~(CGAN) are a recent and popular method for generating samples from a probability distribution conditioned on latent information. The latent information often comes in the form of a discrete label…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-19 Edoardo Lisi , Mohammad Malekzadeh , Hamed Haddadi , F. Din-Houn Lau , Seth Flaxman

Accurate forecasting of risk is the key to successful risk management techniques. Using the largest stock index futures from twelve European bourses, this paper presents VaR measures based on their unconditional and conditional…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-30 John Cotter

Time series generation (TSG) synthesizes realistic sequences and has achieved remarkable success. Among TSG, conditional models generate sequences given observed covariates, however, such models learn observational correlations without…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Yutong Xia , Chang Xu , Yuxuan Liang , Li Zhao , Qingsong Wen , Roger Zimmermann , Jiang Bian

The estimation of loss distributions for dynamic portfolios requires the simulation of scenarios representing realistic joint dynamics of their components. We propose a novel data-driven approach for simulating realistic, high-dimensional…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-19 Rama Cont , Mihai Cucuringu , Renyuan Xu , Chao Zhang

Turbulent flows have historically presented formidable challenges to predictive computational modeling. Traditional numerical simulations often require vast computational resources, making them infeasible for numerous engineering…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-11-15 Han Gao , Xu Han , Xiantao Fan , Luning Sun , Li-Ping Liu , Lian Duan , Jian-Xun Wang

We propose a deep generative approach to sampling from a conditional distribution based on a unified formulation of conditional distribution and generalized nonparametric regression function using the noise-outsourcing lemma. The proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-22 Xingyu Zhou , Yuling Jiao , Jin Liu , Jian Huang

Models of human motion commonly focus either on trajectory prediction or action classification but rarely both. The marked heterogeneity and intricate compositionality of human motion render each task vulnerable to the data degradation and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Anthony Bourached , Robert Gray , Xiaodong Guan , Ryan-Rhys Griffiths , Ashwani Jha , Parashkev Nachev

Generating temporal data under conditions is crucial for forecasting, imputation, and generative tasks. Such data often has metadata and partially observed signals that jointly influence the generated values. However, existing methods face…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Aditya Shankar , Lydia Y. Chen , Arie van Deursen , Rihan Hai

The R package BigVAR allows for the simultaneous estimation of high-dimensional time series by applying structured penalties to the conventional vector autoregression (VAR) and vector autoregression with exogenous variables (VARX)…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-24 William Nicholson , David Matteson , Jacob Bien

Efforts to predict stock market outcomes have yielded limited success due to the inherently stochastic nature of the market, influenced by numerous unpredictable factors. Many existing prediction approaches focus on single-point…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-19 Jingyi Gu , Wenlu Du , Guiling Wang

High-dimensional time series data appear in many scientific areas in the current data-rich environment. Analysis of such data poses new challenges to data analysts because of not only the complicated dynamic dependence between the series,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Di Wang , Ruey S. Tsay

High-frequency banking environments face a critical trade-off between low-latency fraud detection and the regulatory explainability demanded by GDPR. Traditional rule-based and discriminative models struggle with "zero-day" attacks due to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Nasim Abdirahman Ismail , Enis Karaarslan

Score-based diffusion models have emerged as one of the most promising frameworks for deep generative modelling. In this work we conduct a systematic comparison and theoretical analysis of different approaches to learning conditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-29 Georgios Batzolis , Jan Stanczuk , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb , Christian Etmann

The operation and planning of large-scale power systems are becoming more challenging with the increasing penetration of stochastic renewable generation. In order to minimize the decision risks in power systems with large amount of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Congmei Jiang , Yize Chen , Yongfang Mao , Yi Chai , Mingbiao Yu
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