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Multi-model ensemble analysis integrates information from multiple climate models into a unified projection. However, existing integration approaches based on model averaging can dilute fine-scale spatial information and incur bias from…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-12 Trevor Harris , Bo Li , Ryan Sriver

Nowadays, Breast cancer has risen to become one of the most prominent causes of death in recent years. Among all malignancies, this is the most frequent and the major cause of death for women globally. Manually diagnosing this disease…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-01 Taminul Islam , Arindom Kundu , Nazmul Islam Khan , Choyon Chandra Bonik , Flora Akter , Md Jihadul Islam

We introduce \underline{F}actor-\underline{A}ugmented \underline{Ma}trix \underline{R}egression (FAMAR) to address the growing applications of matrix-variate data and their associated challenges, particularly with high-dimensionality and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-29 Elynn Chen , Jianqing Fan , Xiaonan Zhu

This thesis designs a prediction system based on matrix factorization to predict the classification accuracy of a specific model on a particular dataset. In this thesis, we conduct comprehensive empirical research on more than fifty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Yunbo Dong

This research paper explores the performance of Machine Learning (ML) algorithms and techniques that can be used for financial asset price forecasting. The prediction and forecasting of asset prices and returns remains one of the most…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-06 Philip Ndikum

Ensembling is a powerful technique for improving the accuracy of machine learning models, with methods like stacking achieving strong results in tabular tasks. In time series forecasting, however, ensemble methods remain underutilized, with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Nathanael Bosch , Oleksandr Shchur , Nick Erickson , Michael Bohlke-Schneider , Caner Türkmen

The growing instability of both global and domestic economic environments has increased the risk of financial distress at the household level. However, traditional econometric models often rely on delayed and aggregated data, limiting their…

To mitigate the uncertainty of variable renewable resources, two off-the-shelf machine learning tools are deployed to forecast the solar power output of a solar photovoltaic system. The support vector machines generate the forecasts and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-02 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury

Predicting the probability of non-performing loans for individuals has a vital and beneficial role for banks to decrease credit risk and make the right decisions before giving the loan. The trend to make these decisions are based on credit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Rufael Fekadu , Anteneh Getachew , Yishak Tadele , Nuredin Ali , Israel Goytom

Forecasting models that are trained across sets of many time series, known as Global Forecasting Models (GFM), have shown recently promising results in forecasting competitions and real-world applications, outperforming many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-07 Kasun Bandara , Hansika Hewamalage , Yuan-Hao Liu , Yanfei Kang , Christoph Bergmeir

The article is concerned with the problem of multi-step financial time series forecasting of Foreign Exchange (FX) rates. To address this problem, we introduce a regression network termed RegPred Net. The exchange rate to forecast is…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-12 Linwei Li , Paul-Amaury Matt , Christian Heumann

Mesoscale forecasts are now routinely performed as elements of operational forecasts and their outputs do appear convincing. However, despite their realistic appearance at times the comparison to observations is less favorable. At the grid…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-10-26 Markus Gross

High-resolution daytime satellite imagery has become a promising source to study economic activities. These images display detailed terrain over large areas and allow zooming into smaller neighborhoods. Existing methods, however, have…

Given the continuous increase in dataset sizes and the complexity of forecasting models, the trade-off between forecast accuracy and computational cost is emerging as an extremely relevant topic, especially in the context of ensemble…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Marco Zanotti

Machine Reading Comprehension (MRC) is an active field in natural language processing with many successful developed models in recent years. Despite their high in-distribution accuracy, these models suffer from two issues: high training…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Razieh Baradaran , Hossein Amirkhani

Production forecasting is a key step to design the future development of a reservoir. A classical way to generate such forecasts consists in simulating future production for numerical models representative of the reservoir. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-28 Raphaël Deswarte , Véronique Gervais , Gilles Stoltz , Sébastien da Veiga

This work explores the application of ensemble modeling to the multidimensional regression problem of trajectory prediction for vehicles in urban environments. As newer and bigger state-of-the-art prediction models for autonomous driving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Divya Thuremella , Yi Yang , Simon Wanna , Lars Kunze , Daniele De Martini

We move beyond "Is Machine Learning Useful for Macroeconomic Forecasting?" by adding the "how". The current forecasting literature has focused on matching specific variables and horizons with a particularly successful algorithm. In…

Additive smooth models, such as Generalized additive models (GAMs) of location, scale, and shape (GAMLSS), are a popular choice for modeling experimental data. However, software available to fit such models is usually not tailored…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-17 Joshua Krause , Jelmer P. Borst , Jacolien van Rij

With origins in game theory, probabilistic values like Shapley values, Banzhaf values, and semi-values have emerged as a central tool in explainable AI. They are used for feature attribution, data attribution, data valuation, and more.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-14 R. Teal Witter , Yurong Liu , Christopher Musco