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We introduce the Group-R2 decomposition prior, a hierarchical shrinkage prior that extends R2-based priors to structured regression settings with known groups of predictors. By decomposing the prior distribution of the coefficient of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-28 Javier Enrique Aguilar , David Kohns , Aki Vehtari , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Shrinkage priors are a popular Bayesian paradigm to handle sparsity in high-dimensional regression. Still limited, however, is a flexible class of shrinkage priors to handle grouped sparsity, where covariates exhibit some natural grouping…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Eric Yanchenko , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

The training of high-dimensional regression models on comparably sparse data is an important yet complicated topic, especially when there are many more model parameters than observations in the data. From a Bayesian perspective, inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-03 Javier Enrique Aguilar , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) treat neural network weights as random variables, which aim to provide posterior uncertainty estimates and avoid overfitting by performing inference on the posterior weights. However, the selection of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Tsai Hor Chan , Dora Yan Zhang , Guosheng Yin , Lequan Yu

In high dimensional regression, global local shrinkage priors have gained significant traction for their ability to yield sparse estimates, improve parameter recovery, and support accurate predictive modeling. While recent work has explored…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-19 Javier Enrique Aguilar , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Ordinal regression with a high-dimensional covariate space has many important application areas including gene expression studies. The lack of an intrinsic numeric value associated with ordinal responses, however, makes methods based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-26 Eric Yanchenko

Prior distributions for high-dimensional linear regression require specifying a joint distribution for the unobserved regression coefficients, which is inherently difficult. We instead propose a new class of shrinkage priors for linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-09 Yan Dora Zhang , Brian P. Naughton , Howard D. Bondell , Brian J. Reich

We present the ARR2 prior, a joint prior over the auto-regressive components in Bayesian time-series models and their induced $R^2$. Compared to other priors designed for times-series models, the ARR2 prior allows for flexible and intuitive…

Computation · Statistics 2025-03-06 David Kohns , Noa Kallioinen , Yann McLatchie , Aki Vehtari

Spatially dependent data arises in many applications, and Gaussian processes are a popular modelling choice for these scenarios. While Bayesian analyses of these problems have proven to be successful, selecting prior distributions for these…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-14 Eric Yanchenko , Howard D. Bondell , Brian J. Reich

In Bayesian analysis, the selection of a prior distribution is typically done by considering each parameter in the model. While this can be convenient, in many scenarios it may be desirable to place a prior on a summary measure of the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Eric Yanchenko , Howard D. Bondell , Brian J. Reich

The method of Bayesian variable selection via penalized credible regions separates model fitting and variable selection. The idea is to search for the sparsest solution within the joint posterior credible regions. Although the approach was…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-02 Yan Zhang , Howard D. Bondell

Recent literature has effectively leveraged diffusion models trained on continuous variables as priors for solving inverse problems. Notably, discrete diffusion models with discrete latent codes have shown strong performance, particularly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Naoki Murata , Chieh-Hsin Lai , Yuhta Takida , Toshimitsu Uesaka , Bac Nguyen , Stefano Ermon , Yuki Mitsufuji

We present vir, an R package for variational inference with shrinkage priors. Our package implements variational and stochastic variational algorithms for linear and probit regression models, the use of which is a common first step in many…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-18 Suchit Mehrotra , Arnab Maity

When analyzing data from multiple sources, it is often convenient to strike a careful balance between two goals: capturing the heterogeneity of the samples and sharing information across them. We introduce a novel framework to model a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Laura D'Angelo , Bernardo Nipoti , Andrea Ongaro

Diffusion models have become a central tool in deep generative modeling, but standard formulations rely on a single network and a single diffusion schedule to transform a simple prior, typically a standard normal distribution, into the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-29 Takuro Kutsuna

R2 score is the standard metric for evaluating regression tasks, offering a normalized magnitude-agnostic measure of accuracy that captures variance. However, R2 has three key limitations: it is limited to at most two dimensional inputs, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Jaesung Yoo , Stefan Lemke , Jian Zhong Guo , Kanaka Rajan , Adam Hantman

Variance parameters in additive models are typically assigned independent priors that do not account for model structure. We present a new framework for prior selection based on a hierarchical decomposition of the total variance along a…

Blind face restoration usually synthesizes degraded low-quality data with a pre-defined degradation model for training, while more complex cases could happen in the real world. This gap between the assumed and actual degradation hurts the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Zhixin Wang , Xiaoyun Zhang , Ziying Zhang , Huangjie Zheng , Mingyuan Zhou , Ya Zhang , Yanfeng Wang

Projected priors were originally introduced to accommodate parameter constraints, but have recently regained popularity due to their ability to assign probability mass to low-dimensional parameter sets, such as the spaces of sparse vectors,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Leo L Duan , Sunghyun Cho , Mingzhang Yin

Penalized regression methods, such as $L_1$ regularization, are routinely used in high-dimensional applications, and there is a rich literature on optimality properties under sparsity assumptions. In the Bayesian paradigm, sparsity is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-22 Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati , Natesh S. Pillai , David B. Dunson
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