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Certain monotonicity properties of the Poisson approximation to the binomial distribution are established. As a natural application of these results, exact (rather than approximate) tests of hypotheses on an unknown value of the parameter…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Iosif Pinelis

Random graphs offer a useful mathematical representation of a variety of real world complex networks. Exponential random graphs, for example, are particularly suited towards generating random graphs constrained to have specified statistical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-09 Alessio Catanzaro , Diego Garlaschelli , Subodh P. Patil

In applied probability, the normal approximation is often used for the distribution of data with assumed additive structure. This tradition is based on the central limit theorem for sums of (independent) random variables. However, it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Alexandra Dorofeeva , Victor Korolev , Alexander Zeifman

Let $G_{k,n}$ be a group of permutations of $kn$ objects which permutes things independently in disjoint blocks of size $k$ and then permutes the blocks. We investigate the probabilistic and/or enumerative aspects of random elements of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Persi Diaconis , Nathan Tung

Stein's method is used to obtain two theorems on multivariate normal approximation. Our main theorem, Theorem 1.2, provides a bound on the distance to normality for any nonnegative random vector. Theorem 1.2 requires multivariate size bias…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Larry Goldstein , Yosef Rinott

Binary particle coagulation can be modelled as the repeated random process of the combination of two particles to form a third. The kinetics can be represented by population rate equations based on a mean field assumption, according to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-25 James Burnett , Ian J. Ford

The Peaks Over Threshold (POT) method is the most popular statistical method for the analysis of univariate extremes. Even though there is a rich applied literature on Bayesian inference for the POT, the asymptotic theory for such proposals…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Clément Dombry , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

Let T be the homogeneous tree with degree and G a finitely generated group whose Cayley graph is T. The associated lamplighter group is the wreath product of the cyclic group of order r with G. For a large class of random walks on this…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-05 Anders Karlsson , Wolfgang Woess

Using Stein's method and the Malliavin calculus of variations, we derive explicit estimates for the Gamma approximation of functionals of a Poisson measure. In particular, conditions are presented under which the distribution of a sequence…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-16 Giovanni Peccati , Christoph Thaele

We investigate convolution semigroups of probability measures with continuous densities on locally compact abelian groups, which have a discrete subgroup such that the factor group is compact. Two interesting examples of the quotient…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-25 David Applebaum

Small subgraph counts can be used as summary statistics for large random graphs. We use the Stein-Chen method to derive Poisson approximations for the distribution of the number of subgraphs in the stochastic block model which are…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-21 Matthew Coulson , Robert E. Gaunt , Gesine Reinert

We derive the class of normalized generalized Gamma processes from Poisson-Kingman models (Pitman, 2003) with tempered alfa-stable mixing distribution. Relying on this construction it can be shown that in Bayesian nonparametrics, results on…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-14 Annalisa Cerquetti

A short proof is given of a necessary and sufficient condition for the normalized occupation measure of a L\'evy process in a metrizable compact group to be asymptotically uniform with probability one.

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-16 Arno Berger , Steven N. Evans

We provide a general result for bounding the difference between point probabilities of integer supported distributions and the translated Poisson distribution, a convenient alternative to the discretized normal. We illustrate our theorem in…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 A. D. Barbour , Adrian Röllin , Nathan Ross

Let $k,d $ be positive integers. We determine a sequence of constants that are asymptotic to the probability that the cluster at the origin in a $d$-dimensional Poisson Boolean model with balls of fixed radius is of order $k$, as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Mathew D. Penrose , Xiaochuan Yang

This paper deals with U-statistics of Poisson processes and multiple Wiener-It\^o integrals on the Poisson space. Via sharp bounds on the cumulants for both classes of random variables, moderate deviation principles, concentration…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-13 Matthias Schulte , Christoph Thaele

Let $\xi$ be the stationary occupation field generated by a Poisson system of independent simple symmetric random walks on $\mathbb Z$ in space--time dimension $1+1$. For a finite set $A\subset\mathbb Z$, we consider the classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Ao Huang , Guanglin Rang , Zhonggen Su

This paper deals with Poisson approximation to weighted sums of locally dependent random variables using Stein's method. The derived result represents a significant improvement of existing results. To illustrate the effectiveness of our…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-08 Pratima Eknath Kadu

The usual random walk on a group (homogeneous both in time and in space) is determined by a probability measure on the group. In a random walk with random transition probabilities this single measure is replaced with a stationary sequence…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Vadim A. Kaimanovich , Yuri Kifer , Ben-Zion Rubshtein

We construct a general stochastic process and prove weak convergence results. It is scaled in space and through the parameters of its distribution. We show that our simplified scaling is equivalent to time scaling used frequently. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-01 Mine Caglar