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Machine Learning (ML) models are being increasingly employed for credit risk evaluation, with their effectiveness largely hinging on the quality of the input data. In this paper we investigate the impact of several data quality issues,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Andrea Maurino

Credit default poses significant challenges to financial institutions and consumers, resulting in substantial financial losses and diminished trust. As such, credit default risk management has been a critical topic in the financial…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Yuanhong Wu , Jingyan Xu , Wei Ye , Christina Schweikert , D. Frank Hsu

This article proposes a method for measuring the latent risks involved in the recovery process of non performing loans in financial institutions and business firms that deal with collection and recovery processes. To that end, we apply the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-08-20 Mauro R. Oliveira , Francisco Louzada

Transfer learning, also referred as knowledge transfer, aims at reusing knowledge from a source dataset to a similar target one. While many empirical studies illustrate the benefits of transfer learning, few theoretical results are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-19 David Obst , Badih Ghattas , Jairo Cugliari , Georges Oppenheim , Sandra Claudel , Yannig Goude

Financial sentiment analysis allows financial institutions like Banks and Insurance Companies to better manage the credit scoring of their customers in a better way. Financial domain uses specialized mechanisms which makes sentiment…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-05-06 Tohida Rehman , Raghubir Bose , Samiran Chattopadhyay , Debarshi Kumar Sanyal

In recent years, real-world external controls have grown in popularity as a tool to empower randomized placebo-controlled trials, particularly in rare diseases or cases where balanced randomization is unethical or impractical. However, as…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Chenyin Gao , Shu Yang , Mingyang Shan , Wenyu Ye , Ilya Lipkovich , Douglas Faries

We consider the problem of constructing an appropriate multivariate model for the study of the counterparty credit risk in credit rating migration problem. For this financial problem different multivariate Markov chain models were proposed.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-08 Guglielmo D'Amico , Raimondo Manca , Giovanni Salvi

Credit risk scoring must support high-stakes lending decisions where data distributions change over time, probability estimates must be reliable, and group-level fairness is required. While modern machine learning models improve default…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Srikumar Nayak

FinTech lending (e.g., micro-lending) has played a significant role in facilitating financial inclusion. It has reduced processing times and costs, enhanced the user experience, and made it possible for people to obtain loans who may not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Xiyang Hu , Yan Huang , Beibei Li , Tian Lu

Machine learning currently plays an increasingly important role in people's lives in areas such as credit scoring, auto-driving, disease diagnosing, and insurance quoting. However, in many of these areas, machine learning models have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-23 Zhuo Zhao

Modern systems (e.g., deep neural networks, big data analytics, and compilers) are highly configurable, which means they expose different performance behavior under different configurations. The fundamental challenge is that one cannot…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-02-27 Mohammad Ali Javidian , Pooyan Jamshidi , Marco Valtorta

Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (SMEs) are known to play a vital role in economic growth, employment, and innovation. However, they tend to face significant challenges in accessing credit due to limited financial histories, collateral…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-13 Sahab Zandi , Kamesh Korangi , Juan C. Moreno-Paredes , María Óskarsdóttir , Christophe Mues , Cristián Bravo

In practice, it is very demanding and sometimes impossible to collect datasets of tagged data large enough to successfully train a machine learning model, and one possible solution to this problem is transfer learning. This study aims to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-13 Erik Otović , Marko Njirjak , Dario Jozinović , Goran Mauša , Alberto Michelini , Ivan Štajduhar

A major requirement for credit scoring models is to provide a maximally accurate risk prediction. Additionally, regulators demand these models to be transparent and auditable. Thus, in credit scoring, very simple predictive models such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-30 Michael Bücker , Gero Szepannek , Alicja Gosiewska , Przemyslaw Biecek

The use of neural networks has been very successful in a wide variety of applications. However, it has recently been observed that it is difficult to generalize the performance of neural networks under the condition of distributional shift.…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-20 Dangxing Chen

Classical finance models are based on the premise that investors act rationally and utilize all available information when making portfolio decisions. However, these models often fail to capture the anomalies observed in intertemporal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Annamaria Porreca , Viviana Ventre , Roberta Martino , Salvador Cruz Rambaud , Fabrizio Maturo

A standard quantitative method to access credit risk employs a factor model based on joint multivariate normal distribution properties. By extending a one-factor Gaussian copula model to make a more accurate default forecast, this paper…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-07 Meng-Jou Lu , Cathy Yi-Hsuan Chen , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Modelling Consumer Indebtedness has proven to be a problem of complex nature. In this work we utilise Data Mining techniques and methods to explore the multifaceted aspect of Consumer Indebtedness by examining the contribution of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-23 Alexandros Ladas , Eamonn Ferguson , Uwe Aickelin , Jon Garibaldi

This paper develops a two-dimensional structural framework for valuing credit default swaps and corporate bonds in the presence of default contagion. Modelling the values of related firms as correlated geometric Brownian motions with…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Helen Haworth , Christoph Reisinger , William Shaw

This paper studies the consequences of capturing non-linear dependence among the covariates that drive the default of different obligors and the overall riskiness of their credit portfolio. Joint default modeling is, without loss of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Margherita Doria , Elisa Luciano , Patrizia Semeraro