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Related papers: Explaining Drift using Shapley Values

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Concept Drift has been extensively studied within the context of Stream Learning. However, it is often assumed that the deployed model's predictions play no role in the concept drift the system experiences. Closer inspection reveals that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Brandon Gower-Winter , Georg Krempl , Sergey Dragomiretskiy , Tineke Jelsma , Arno Siebes

This research proposes a novel drift detection methodology for machine learning (ML) models based on the concept of ''deformation'' in the vector space representation of data. Recognizing that new data can act as forces stretching,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Giancarlo Cobino , Simone Farci

Data taken from observations of the natural world or laboratory measurements often depend on parameters which can vary in unexpected ways. In this paper we demonstrate how machine learning can be leveraged to detect changes in global…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-11-25 Logan M. Kageorge , Roman O. Grigoriev , Michael F. Schatz

Machine learning models in dynamic environments often suffer from concept drift, where changes in the data distribution degrade performance. While detecting this drift is a well-studied topic, explaining how and why the model's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-12 Ignacy Stępka , Jerzy Stefanowski

In Continual Learning (CL) contexts, concept drift typically refers to the analysis of changes in data distribution. A drift in the input data can have negative consequences on a learning predictor and the system's stability. The majority…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Sebastian Basterrech

Recent interest in the external validity of prediction models (i.e., the problem of different train and test distributions, known as dataset shift) has produced many methods for finding predictive distributions that are invariant to dataset…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-20 Adarsh Subbaswamy , Bryant Chen , Suchi Saria

Deep neural networks have demonstrated remarkable performance across various domains, yet their decision-making processes remain opaque. Although many explanation methods are dedicated to bringing the obscurity of DNNs to light, they…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Kanglong Fan , Yunqiao Yang , Chen Ma

In this paper, we propose ShapTST, a framework that enables time-series transformers to efficiently generate Shapley-value-based explanations alongside predictions in a single forward pass. Shapley values are widely used to evaluate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Qisen Cheng , Jinming Xing , Chang Xue , Xiaoran Yang

Concept drift is a major issue that greatly affects the accuracy and reliability of many real-world applications of machine learning. We argue that to tackle concept drift it is important to develop the capacity to describe and analyze it.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-04 Geoffrey I. Webb , Loong Kuan Lee , François Petitjean , Bart Goethals

Accurate time series forecasting models are often compromised by data drift, where underlying data distributions change over time, leading to significant declines in prediction performance. To address this challenge, this study proposes an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-30 Nikhil Pawar , Guilherme Vieira Hollweg , Akhtar Hussain , Wencong Su , Van-Hai Bui

When learning from streaming data, a change in the data distribution, also known as concept drift, can render a previously-learned model inaccurate and require training a new model. We present an adaptive learning algorithm that extends…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Ashraf Tahmasbi , Ellango Jothimurugesan , Srikanta Tirthapura , Phillip B. Gibbons

In the classic machine learning framework, models are trained on historical data and used to predict future values. It is assumed that the data distribution does not change over time (stationarity). However, in real-world scenarios, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-13 Mansour Zoubeirou A Mayaki , Michel Riveill

The proliferation of large models has intensified the need for efficient data valuation methods to quantify the contribution of individual data providers. Traditional approaches, such as game-theory-based Shapley value and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Le Ma , Shirao Yang , Zihao Wang , Yinggui Wang , Lei Wang , Tao Wei , Kejun Zhang

Increasingly, Internet of Things (IoT) domains, such as sensor networks, smart cities, and social networks, generate vast amounts of data. Such data are not only unbounded and rapidly evolving. Rather, the content thereof dynamically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-19 Ali Pesaranghader , Herna Viktor , Eric Paquet

As diffusion models are deployed in real-world settings, and their performance is driven by training data, appraising the contribution of data contributors is crucial to creating incentives for sharing quality data and to implementing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Chris Lin , Mingyu Lu , Chanwoo Kim , Su-In Lee

Online updating of time series forecasting models aims to tackle the challenge of concept drifting by adjusting forecasting models based on streaming data. While numerous algorithms have been developed, most of them focus on model design…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 YiFan Zhang , Weiqi Chen , Zhaoyang Zhu , Dalin Qin , Liang Sun , Xue Wang , Qingsong Wen , Zhang Zhang , Liang Wang , Rong Jin

Accurate prediction of nonstationary multivariate time series remains a critical challenge in complex industrial systems such as iron ore sintering. In practice, pronounced concept drift compounded by significant label verification latency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Yumeng Zhao , Shengxiang Yang , Xianpeng Wang

In healthcare, making the best possible predictions with complex models (e.g., neural networks, ensembles/stacks of different models) can impact patient welfare. In order to make these complex models explainable, we present DeepSHAP for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-28 Hugh Chen , Scott Lundberg , Su-In Lee

The notion of concept drift refers to the phenomenon that the distribution generating the observed data changes over time. If drift is present, machine learning models may become inaccurate and need adjustment. Many technologies for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Fabian Hinder , Valerie Vaquet , Johannes Brinkrolf , Barbara Hammer

In machine learning, concept drift is an evolution of information that invalidates the current data model. It happens when the statistical properties of the input data change over time in unforeseen ways. Concept drift detection is crucial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Honorius Galmeanu , Razvan Andonie