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The identification of Linear Time-Varying (LTV) systems from input-output data is a fundamental yet challenging ill-posed inverse problem. This work introduces a unified Bayesian framework that models the system's impulse response, $h(t,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-01 Yaniv Shulman

Time-varying linear state-space models are powerful tools for obtaining mathematically interpretable representations of neural signals. For example, switching and decomposed models describe complex systems using latent variables that evolve…

Variational inference algorithms have proven successful for Bayesian analysis in large data settings, with recent advances using stochastic variational inference (SVI). However, such methods have largely been studied in independent or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-07 Nicholas J. Foti , Jason Xu , Dillon Laird , Emily B. Fox

We propose a new computationally efficient sampling scheme for Bayesian inference involving high dimensional probability distributions. Our method maps the original parameter space into a low-dimensional latent space, explores the latent…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-15 Babak Shahbaba , Luis Martinez Lomeli , Tian Chen , Shiwei Lan

We consider continuous-time diffusion models driven by fractional Brownian motion. Observations are assumed to possess a non-trivial likelihood given the latent path. Due to the non-Markovianity and high-dimensionality of the latent paths,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-25 Alexandros Beskos , Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos

Statistical models often assume that data are generated near a structured, smooth, or low-dimensional set. A common approach is to use Bayesian latent variable models, in which each observation is associated with a latent coordinate on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Leo L Duan , Yuexi Wang , Jason Xu

In recent years, pre-trained large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable efficiency in achieving an inference-time few-shot learning capability known as in-context learning. However, existing literature has highlighted the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Xinyi Wang , Wanrong Zhu , Michael Saxon , Mark Steyvers , William Yang Wang

To address three important issues involved in latent variable models (LVMs), including capturing infrequent patterns, achieving small-sized but expressive models and alleviating overfitting, several studies have been devoted to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-27 Pengtao Xie , Jun Zhu , Eric P. Xing

Despite exceptional predictive performance of Deep sequence models (DSMs), the main concern of their deployment centers around the lack of uncertainty awareness. In contrast, probabilistic models quantify the uncertainty associated with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Wenlong Chen

This work considers variational Bayesian inference as an inexpensive and scalable alternative to a fully Bayesian approach in the context of sparsity-promoting priors. In particular, the priors considered arise from scale mixtures of Normal…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-01 Kody J. H. Law , Vitaly Zankin

We present a variational method for online state estimation and parameter learning in state-space models (SSMs), a ubiquitous class of latent variable models for sequential data. As per standard batch variational techniques, we use…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-16 Andrew Campbell , Yuyang Shi , Tom Rainforth , Arnaud Doucet

Network models have been popular for modeling and representing complex relationships and dependencies between observed variables. When data comes from a dynamic stochastic process, a single static network model cannot adequately capture…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-04-03 Mladen Kolar , Eric P. Xing

This manuscript develops computationally efficient online learning for multivariate spatiotemporal models. The method relies on matrix-variate Gaussian distributions, dynamic linear models, and Bayesian predictive stacking to efficiently…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Luca Presicce , Sudipto Banerjee

We develop a variational Bayesian (VB) approach for estimating large-scale dynamic network models in the network autoregression framework. The VB approach allows for the automatic identification of the dynamic structure of such a model and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-19 Wei-Ting Lai , Ray-Bing Chen , Ying Chen , Thorsten Koch

Despite recent advances, sampling-based inference for Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) remains a significant challenge in probabilistic deep learning. While sampling-based approaches do not require a variational distribution assumption,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Emanuel Sommer , Jakob Robnik , Giorgi Nozadze , Uros Seljak , David Rügamer

Relational events are a type of social interactions, that sometimes are referred to as dynamic networks. Its dynamics typically depends on emerging patterns, so-called endogenous variables, or external forces, referred to as exogenous…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-31 Igor Artico , Ernst Wit

We introduce a novel unsupervised learning method for time series data with latent dynamical structure: the recognition-parametrized Gaussian state space model (RP-GSSM). The RP-GSSM is a probabilistic model that learns Markovian Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Samo Hromadka , Kai Biegun , Lior Fox , James Heald , Maneesh Sahani

High-dimensional data are routinely collected in many areas. We are particularly interested in Bayesian classification models in which one or more variables are imbalanced. Current Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for posterior…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-15 Deborshee Sen , Matthias Sachs , Jianfeng Lu , David Dunson

Longitudinal binary relational data can be better understood by implementing a latent space model for dynamic networks. This approach can be broadly extended to many types of weighted edges by using a link function to model the mean of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-19 Daniel K. Sewell , Yuguo Chen

Computational saliency models for still images have gained significant popularity in recent years. Saliency prediction from videos, on the other hand, has received relatively little interest from the community. Motivated by this, in this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-11-16 Cagdas Bak , Aysun Kocak , Erkut Erdem , Aykut Erdem
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