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In reliable decision-making systems based on machine learning, models have to be robust to distributional shifts or provide the uncertainty of their predictions. In node-level problems of graph learning, distributional shifts can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Gleb Bazhenov , Denis Kuznedelev , Andrey Malinin , Artem Babenko , Liudmila Prokhorenkova

The Metropolis algorithm involves producing a Markov chain to converge to a specified target density $\pi$. In order to improve its efficiency, we can use the Rejection-Free version of the Metropolis algorithm, which avoids the inefficiency…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-20 Sigeng Chen , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal , Aki Dote , Hirotaka Tamura , Ali Sheikholeslami

Adaptive importance sampling is a class of techniques for finding good proposal distributions for importance sampling. Often the proposal distributions are standard probability distributions whose parameters are adapted based on the…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-10 Topi Paananen , Juho Piironen , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Aki Vehtari

We study sampling problems associated with potentials that lack smoothness. The potentials can be either convex or non-convex. Departing from the standard smooth setting, the potentials are only assumed to be weakly smooth or non-smooth, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Jiaming Liang , Yongxin Chen

We consider message-efficient continuous random sampling from a distributed stream, where the probability of inclusion of an item in the sample is proportional to a weight associated with the item. The unweighted version, where all weights…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-04-09 Rajesh Jayaram , Gokarna Sharma , Srikanta Tirthapura , David P. Woodruff

The choice of approximate posterior distribution is one of the core problems in variational inference. Most applications of variational inference employ simple families of posterior approximations in order to allow for efficient inference,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-15 Danilo Jimenez Rezende , Shakir Mohamed

The naive importance sampling (IS) estimator generally does not work well in examples involving simultaneous inference on several targets, as the importance weights can take arbitrarily large values, making the estimator highly unstable. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-20 Vivekananda Roy , Evangelos Evangelou

Particle filters are a frequent choice for inference tasks in nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space models. They can either be used for state inference by approximating the filtering distribution or for parameter inference by approximating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Domonkos Csuzdi , Olivér Törő , Tamás Bécsi

Reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo (RJMCMC) proposals that achieve reasonable acceptance rates and mixing are notoriously difficult to design in most applications. Inspired by recent advances in deep neural network-based normalizing…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-28 Laurence Davies , Robert Salomone , Matthew Sutton , Christopher Drovandi

Nonparametric estimation of the conditional distribution of a response given high-dimensional features is a challenging problem. It is important to allow not only the mean but also the variance and shape of the response density to change…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-05 Francesca Petralia , Joshua Vogelstein , David B. Dunson

In this article, we introduce a new variable selection technique through trimming for finite mixture of regression models. Compared to the traditional variable selection techniques, the new method is robust and not sensitive to outliers.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-06 Sijia Xiang , Weixin Yao

In a regression model, prediction is typically performed after model selection. The large variability in the model selection makes the prediction unstable. Thus, it is essential to reduce the variability in model selection and improve…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-11 Wataru Yoshida , Kei Hirose

We present a randomized approximation scheme for the permanent of a matrix with nonnegative entries. Our scheme extends a recursive rejection sampling method of Huber and Law (SODA 2008) by replacing the upper bound for the permanent with a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Juha Harviainen , Antti Röyskö , Mikko Koivisto

We discuss an acceptance-rejection algorithm for the random number generation from the Kolmogorov distribution. Since the cumulative distribution function (CDF) is expressed as a series, in order to obtain the density function we need to…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-30 Paolo Onorati , Brunero Liseo

In the regression problem, we consider the problem of estimating the variance function by the means of aggregation methods. We focus on two particular aggregation setting: Model Selection aggregation (MS) and Convex aggregation (C) where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-07 Ahmed Zaoui

In a multifidelity setting, data are available under the same conditions from two (or more) sources, e.g. computer codes, one being lower-fidelity but computationally cheaper, and the other higher-fidelity and more expensive. This work…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-25 Minji Kim , Kevin O'Connor , Vladas Pipiras , Themistoklis Sapsis

We present an autodifferentiable rejection sampling algorithm termed Rejection Sampling with Autodifferentiation (RSA). In conjunction with reweighting, we show that RSA can be used for efficient parameter estimation and model exploration.…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-12-09 Nick Heller , Phil Ilten , Tony Menzo , Stephen Mrenna , Benjamin Nachman , Andrzej Siodmok , Manuel Szewc , Ahmed Youssef

Causal inference requires evaluating models on balanced distributions between treatment and control groups, while training data often exhibits imbalance due to historical decision-making policies. Most conventional statistical methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-21 Akira Tanimoto

The neural text generation suffers from the text degeneration issue such as repetition. Traditional stochastic sampling methods only focus on truncating the unreliable "tail" of the distribution, and do not address the "head" part, which we…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-08-27 Xinran Zhang , Maosong Sun , Jiafeng Liu , Xiaobing Li

We study the problem of training diffusion and flow generative models to sample from target distributions defined by an exponential tilting of a base density; a formulation that subsumes both sampling from unnormalized densities and reward…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-04 Carles Domingo-Enrich , Yuanqi Du , Michael S. Albergo