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We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems where the slow motion is driven by fractional Brownian motion. We develop statistical estimators for both the Hurst index as well as a vector of unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-03-26 Solesne Bourguin , Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

For equidistant discretizations of fractional Brownian motion (fBm), the probabilities of ordinal patterns of order d=2 are monotonically related to the Hurst parameter H. By plugging the sample relative frequency of those patterns…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-01-11 Mathieu Sinn , Karsten Keller

We estimate the Hurst parameter $H$ of a fractional Brownian motion from discrete noisy data observed along a high frequency sampling scheme. The presence of systematic experimental noise makes recovery of $H$ more difficult since relevant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Arnaud Gloter , Marc Hoffmann

Consider an estimation of the Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$ and the volatility parameter $\sigma>0$ for a fractional Brownian motion with a drift term under high-frequency observations with a finite time interval. In the present paper, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-13 Tetsuya Takabatake

We study differential equations with a linear, path dependent drift and discrete delay in the diffusion term driven by a $\gamma$-H\"older rough path for $\gamma > \frac{1}{3}$. We prove well-posedness of these systems and establish a…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Mazyar Ghani Varzaneh , Sebastian Riedel

We find an explicit expression for the cross-covariance between stochastic integral processes with respect to a $d$-dimensional fractional Brownian motion (fBm) $B_t$ with Hurst parameter $H>1/2$, where the integrands are vector fields…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-16 Yohaï Maayan , Eddy Mayer-Wolf

A uniform bounded variation estimate for finite volume approximations of the nonlinear scalar conservation law $\partial_t \alpha + \mathrm{div}(\boldsymbol{u}f(\alpha)) = 0$ in two and three spatial dimensions with an initial data of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-06 Gopikrishnan Chirappurathu Remesan

The paper suggests a way of stochastic integration of random integrands with respect to fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst parameter H> 1/2. The integral is defined initially on the processes that are "piecewise" predictable on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Nikolai Dokuchaev

This paper studies the behaviour of quadratic variations of a stochastic wave equation driven by a noise that is white in space and fractional in time. Complementing the analysis of quadratic variations in the space component carried out by…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-29 Radomyra Shevchenko

We consider Langevin equation involving fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index $H\in(0,\frac12)$. Its solution is the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and with unknown drift parameter $\theta$. We construct the estimator that is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-20 Kestutis Kubilius , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko , Oleg Seleznjev

While stochastic variational inference is relatively well known for scaling inference in Bayesian probabilistic models, related methods also offer ways to circumnavigate the approximation of analytically intractable expectations. The key…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-08 David A. Knowles

Small noise problems are quite important for all types of stochastic differential equations. In this paper we focus on rough differential equations driven by scaled fractional Brownian rough path with Hurst parameter H between 1/4 and 1/2.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-27 Yuzuru Inahama , Yong Xu , Xiaoyu Yang

In this paper we study the asymptotic theory for quadratic variation of a harmonizable fractional $\al$-stable process. We show a law of large numbers with a non-ergodic limit and obtain weak convergence towards a L\'evy-driven Rosenblatt…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Mark Podolskij

In this paper we define (empirical) quadratic variations for a Gaussian isotropic random field $f$ on a unit sphere as sums over equidistant increments on one single geodesic line on the surface of the sphere. We prove a noncentral limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-26 Radomyra Shevchenko

Fractional Brownian motion is a non-Markovian Gaussian process $X_t$, indexed by the Hurst exponent $H$. It generalises standard Brownian motion (corresponding to $H=1/2$). We study the probability distribution of the maximum $m$ of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-25 Mathieu Delorme , Kay Joerg Wiese

We introduce a simulation-based, amortised Bayesian inference scheme to infer the parameters of random walks. Our approach learns the posterior distribution of the walks' parameters with a likelihood-free method. In the first step a graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Hippolyte Verdier , François Laurent , Alhassan Cassé , Christian Vestergaard , Jean-Baptiste Masson

Consider ``stochastic differential equations" driven by fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H (1/4 <H< 1). Their solutions are sometimes called fractional diffusion processes. The main purpose of this paper is conditioning these…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Yuzuru Inahama

We study the first-passage time, the distribution of the maximum, and the absorption probability of fractional Brownian motion of Hurst parameter $H$ with both a linear and a non-linear drift. The latter appears naturally when applying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-12 Maxence Arutkin , Benjamin Walter , Kay Joerg Wiese

In this paper, we investigate a deep learning method for predicting path-dependent processes based on discretely observed historical information. This method is implemented by considering the prediction as a nonparametric regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-20 Xudong Zheng , Yuecai Han

In this paper, we construct consistent statistical estimators of the Hurst index, volatility coefficient, and drift parameter for Bessel processes driven by fractional Brownian motion with $H<1/2$. As an auxiliary result, we also prove the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-25 Yuliya Mishura , Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko
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